Al Ahly vs Wadi Degla: match statistics
Al Ahly displays solid home form with 67% of home matches won and just one defeat all season. The hosts hold an advantage in possession (61% vs 55%) and a higher average xG in home games (1.76 vs 1.33 xG for the visitors away). Wadi Degla shows better recent overall form (2.0 PPG vs 1.2 PPG for Al Ahly); however, their efficiency is lower on the road, confirmed by shot conversion rates (13% vs 10%). Both teams share an identical goal difference in their matches (+4), suggesting even quality, but home advantage and superior xG metrics favor a marginal victory for Al Ahly. Nevertheless, there is a real chance of a draw given the visitors' good disposition in their last five matches.
Al Ahly vs Wadi Degla: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Al Ahly played against Wadi Degla in Egyptian Premier League (Egypt). The game was played on January 27, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Al Ahly has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Wadi Degla has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Al Ahly scores 1.67 goals per game and allows 1.08. Wadi Degla scores 1.29 and allows 0.93. Games in this league average 1.95 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of Al Ahly's games and 64% of Wadi Degla's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 43%, compared with league averages of 44% for BTTS and 35% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Al Ahly has the higher season xG average, 1.88 to 1.31 per game. Al Ahly takes 16.8 shots per game, while Wadi Degla takes 10.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Al Ahly leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 0.92 goals per game after halftime. Wadi Degla leads at halftime in 14% and scores 0.86 after halftime.
When the teams score
Al Ahly's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (4 goals). For Wadi Degla, it is minutes 61-75 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Egyptian Premier League games average 1.95 goals. Both teams score in 44% of games, and 35% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Ahly displays solid home form with 67% of home matches won and just one defeat all season. The hosts hold an advantage in possession (61% vs 55%) and a higher average xG in home games (1.76 vs 1.33 xG for the visitors away). Wadi Degla shows better recent overall form (2.0 PPG vs 1.2 PPG for Al Ahly); however, their efficiency is lower on the road, confirmed by shot conversion rates (13% vs 10%). Both teams share an identical goal difference in their matches (+4), suggesting even quality, but home advantage and superior xG metrics favor a marginal victory for Al Ahly. Nevertheless, there is a real chance of a draw given the visitors' good disposition in their last five matches.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Al Ahly | Wadi Degla | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Al Ahly is 38% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / game - Al Ahly · 1.6 pts / game - Wadi Degla
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Ahly is 29% better for: goals scored per game.
1.67 goals / game - Al Ahly · 1.29 goals / game - Wadi Degla
Wadi Degla is 16% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.08 goals / game - Al Ahly · 0.93 goals / game - Wadi Degla
Al Ahly scores in 75% of games (9 of 12 meczów), while Wadi Degla keeps a clean sheet in 21% (3 of 14 meczów).
Wadi Degla scores in 71% of games (10 of 14 meczów), while Al Ahly keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Ahly
Over / Under - Wadi Degla
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Ahly is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.75 pts / game - Al Ahly · 1 pts / game - Wadi Degla
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Ahly - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Wadi Degla - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Al Ahly
Wadi Degla
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Egyptian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Al Ahly | Liga | Wadi Degla | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.75 | 1.95 | ▲ 2.21 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 44% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 35% | ▲ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 37% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 55% | ▲ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 67% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Ahly vs Wadi Degla?
The Egyptian Premier League match finished Al Ahly 3:1 Wadi Degla. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Ahly vs Wadi Degla?
Al Ahly score 1.67 goals per game on average and Wadi Degla 1.29. The Egyptian Premier League average is 1.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Al Ahly's matches and 64% of Wadi Degla's.
What form are Al Ahly and Wadi Degla in?
Over the last 5 games Al Ahly have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Wadi Degla 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Ahly vs Wadi Degla?
The statistical background for Al Ahly vs Wadi Degla — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.