Lebanon - Lebanese Premier LeagueSour StadiumData current as of 23 July 2026

Al Ansar vs Al Ahed: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Al Ansar vs Al Ahed: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Al Ansar play Al Ahed in Lebanese Premier League (Lebanon). The match date is 17 March 2026 at 15:00. Venue: Sour Stadium.

Current form

Al Ansar: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Al Ahed: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Al Ansar scores 2.44 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. Al Ahed scores 1.54 and concedes 1.23. League average: 2.44 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Al Ansar 44%, Al Ahed 38%. Over 2.5: Al Ansar 56%, Al Ahed 50%. League level: BTTS 33%, Over 2.5 43%.

xG, shots and style

Al Ansar has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.32. Al Ansar: 10.9 shots per match, Al Ahed: 9.4.

Match halves

Al Ansar: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 1.33. Al Ahed: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.85.

Goals by minute

Al Ansar: 76-90+ (22 goals). Al Ahed: 61-75 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Lebanese Premier League: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 33%, Over 2.5 43%.

Head-to-head

3 H2H matches: 1-1-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2.44Goals scored / match1.54
Al AnsarAl Ahed
0.67Goals conceded / match1.23
Al AnsarAl Ahed
54%Average possession52%
Al AnsarAl Ahed
5.26Shots on target / match4.42
Al AnsarAl Ahed

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.93Shots per match9.42
Al AnsarAl Ahed
5.26Shots on target4.42
Al AnsarAl Ahed
22.4%Shot conversion16.3%
Al AnsarAl Ahed
54%Possession52%
Al AnsarAl Ahed
1.59xG for1.32
Al AnsarAl Ahed
0.85xG against1.07
Al AnsarAl Ahed

Shooting quality

Al Ansar: Efficient finishingAl Ahed: Efficient finishing
Al AnsarAl Ahed
Accuracy (shots on target)48%47%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.460.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Al Ansar is 57% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / match - Al Ansar · 1.4 pts / match - Al Ahed

Al Ansar
WWDWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
70% W19% R11% P
Season (W-D-L)
19-5-3
2.30 pts / match · goal difference +48
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
11-3-3
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
WWDWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.55Opponent xG: 0.92BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Al Ahed
WWDLL
Season result split
54% W8% R38% P
Season (W-D-L)
14-2-10
1.69 pts / match · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
8-1-5
Last 5 away
1-1-3
WLLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.05Opponent xG: 1.40BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Al Ansar is 58% better for: goals scored per match.

2.44 goals / match - Al Ansar · 1.54 goals / match - Al Ahed

Al Ansar is 84% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.67 goals / match - Al Ansar · 1.23 goals / match - Al Ahed

Al Ansar scoring profile: very strong

Al Ansar scores in 96% of matches (26 of 27 matches), while Al Ahed keeps a clean sheet in 38% (10 of 26 matches).

Al Ahed scoring profile: mixed

Al Ahed scores in 73% of matches (19 of 26 matches), while Al Ansar keeps a clean sheet in 56% (15 of 27 matches).

66Goals scored (season)40
Al AnsarAl Ahed
18Goals conceded (season)32
Al AnsarAl Ahed
3.11Average goals in match2.77
Al AnsarAl Ahed
16Goals scored (last 5)11
Al AnsarAl Ahed
4Goals conceded (last 5)10
Al AnsarAl Ahed

How often they score at least...

96%1 goal73%
Al AnsarAl Ahed
63%2 goals42%
Al AnsarAl Ahed
41%3 goals27%
Al AnsarAl Ahed
22%4 goals12%
Al AnsarAl Ahed

How often they concede at least...

44%1 goal62%
Al AnsarAl Ahed
19%2 goals35%
Al AnsarAl Ahed
4%3 goals15%
Al AnsarAl Ahed
0%4 goals8%
Al AnsarAl Ahed

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

33%
League average

Goal patterns

15%BTTS at half-time15%
Al AnsarAl Ahed
7%BTTS in both halves4%
Al AnsarAl Ahed
44%Scored in both halves35%
Al AnsarAl Ahed

BTTS and goal count

37%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
Al AnsarAl Ahed
19%Min. 3 goals without BTTS12%
Al AnsarAl Ahed
40%BTTS - last 560%
Al AnsarAl Ahed

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time69%
Al AnsarAl Ahed
41%Min. 2 goals before half-time35%
Al AnsarAl Ahed
19%Min. 3 goals before half-time23%
Al AnsarAl Ahed

2nd half

93%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
Al AnsarAl Ahed
59%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
Al AnsarAl Ahed
26%Min. 3 goals after half-time19%
Al AnsarAl Ahed

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Al Ansar is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.93 pts / match - Al Ansar · 1.5 pts / match - Al Ahed

Al Ansar - half-time state
48% leading48% draw4% trailing
Al Ahed - half-time state
38% leading35% draw27% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.93Points per match (1st half)1.5
Al AnsarAl Ahed
1.11Goals scored (1st half)0.69
Al AnsarAl Ahed
0.19Goals conceded (1st half)0.58
Al AnsarAl Ahed
1.3Average goals (1st half)1.27
Al AnsarAl Ahed
81%Clean sheet before half-time62%
Al AnsarAl Ahed
41%No goal before half-time54%
Al AnsarAl Ahed

After half-time (2nd half)

2.11Points per match (2nd half)1.58
Al AnsarAl Ahed
1.33Goals scored (2nd half)0.85
Al AnsarAl Ahed
0.48Goals conceded (2nd half)0.65
Al AnsarAl Ahed
1.81Average goals (2nd half)1.5
Al AnsarAl Ahed
56%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Al AnsarAl Ahed
19%No goal after half-time38%
Al AnsarAl Ahed

Al Ansar - second-half results

63% W22% R15% P
52
Half-time points
30
Half-time goals
+25
Goal difference (1st half)
57
Second-half points
+23
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.93
PPG before half-time
Lead holding146%

Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 70%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Al Ahed - second-half results

46% W19% R35% P
39
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding142%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Al Ansar - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.202.00
Goals scored / match1.41.8
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match1.62.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%100%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%0%
Goal difference+6+6
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 7
Al Ahed - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.20
Goals scored / match1.21.0
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match2.22.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals60%40%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Al Ansar
ScoredConceded
4
2
0-15
11
2
16-30
15
1
31-45
8
3
46-60
6
7
61-75
22
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (22 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +19 - wins late phases.

Al Ahed
ScoredConceded
8
3
0-15
4
6
16-30
6
6
31-45
7
4
46-60
9
7
61-75
6
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.94
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
120%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
41%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+70%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
70%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Al Ansar

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.74
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-13.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.85
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
182%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
61%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Al Ahed

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
140%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.29
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Lebanese Premier League).

Teams vs league

Al AnsarLigaAl Ahed
Average goals in match 3.112.44 2.77
Both teams scored 44%33% 38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 56%43% 50%
Clean sheets 56%39% 38%
Goal before half-time 63%57% 69%
Goal after half-time 93%77% 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.44
Average goals per match
33%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
39%
Clean sheets
1.34
Home goals / match
1.10
Away goals / match
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
57%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Al Ansar 1 - 1 - 1 Al Ahed. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Al Ansar and Al Ahed play?

Al Ansar face Al Ahed on 17 March 2026 in Lebanese Premier League at Sour Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Al Ansar and Al Ahed?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Al Ansar won 1, Al Ahed won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Al Ansar vs Al Ahed?

Al Ansar score 2.44 goals per game on average and Al Ahed 1.54. The Lebanese Premier League average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Al Ansar's matches and 38% of Al Ahed's.

What form are Al Ansar and Al Ahed in?

Over the last 5 games Al Ansar have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Al Ahed 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Ansar vs Al Ahed?

The statistical background for Al Ansar vs Al Ahed — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.