Al Draih vs Al Raed: match statistics
Al Draih vs Al Raed: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Al Draih played against Al Raed in First Division (Saudi Arabia). The game was played on April 21, 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Recent form
Al Draih has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Al Raed has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Al Draih scores 2.38 goals per game and allows 1.00. Al Raed scores 1.79 and allows 1.31. Games in this league average 2.91 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 59% of Al Draih's games and 62% of Al Raed's. The Over 2.5 rates are 69% and 52%, compared with league averages of 61% for BTTS and 59% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Al Draih has the higher season xG average, 1.94 to 1.63 per game. Al Draih takes 16.3 shots per game, while Al Raed takes 13.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Al Draih leads at halftime in 52% of its games and scores 1.31 goals per game after halftime. Al Raed leads at halftime in 38% and scores 1.07 after halftime.
When the teams score
Al Draih's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (19 goals). For Al Raed, it is minutes 76-90+ (16 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
First Division games average 2.91 goals. Both teams score in 61% of games, and 59% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Draih has a clear offensive and home advantage: at home they average 2.86 goals per match (69 goals this season) and record an average xG of 2.04, while Al Raed score 1.50 goals away with xG 1.68. The hosts generate significantly more high-quality chances — 7.57 shots on target and 17.29 attempts per home match with a conversion rate of 17%, versus the visitors' 4.93 on target, 13.36 attempts and 11% efficiency. Defensively Al Draih concedes only 0.79 goals per home game and keep 43% clean sheets, whereas Al Raed allow 1.43 goals away and have 21% of away matches without conceding; season totals are 29 goals conceded for the hosts versus 38 for the guests. Form trend confirms the home side's edge: in the last 5 matches Al Draih scored 13 goals and average 2.2 points per match (3 wins, 2 draws), while Al Raed scored 7 goals and 1.4 points (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). Considering the advantage in xG, shots on target and higher efficiency (17% vs 11%), I project a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis supports BTTS - Yes: Al Draih has a season BTTS rate of 73% (80% in the last 5 matches), while the league average is 62% of games with both teams scoring. The home side scores 2.07 goals per game with xG for 1.60, whereas Al Raed concedes 1.43 goals on average and has xG against 1.20, suggesting Al Draih has a realistic chance to score (1.60 > 1.20). Conversely, Al Raed posts xG for 1.68 and averages 1.5 goals per game while Al Draih concedes xG against 1.07, so Al Raed should also create scoring opportunities (1.68 > 1.07). Additionally, last 5 matches: Al Draih scored 13 goals (2.6 avg) and conceded 5 (1.0), Al Raed scored 7 (1.4) and conceded 5 (1.0), indicating both teams have been scoring and conceding recently. Considering the high home season BTTS of 73%, the league average 62% and the xG comparisons (1.60 vs 1.20 and 1.68 vs 1.07), I assess the probability of BTTS 'yes' at 72% versus 28% for 'no'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model projects 1.40 expected goals for Al Draih (xG_for 1.60 vs xG_against_away 1.20) and 1.38 for Al Raed (xG_for 1.68 vs xG_against_home 1.07), totaling 2.78 xG. With that aggregate, a Poisson distribution yields approximately a 76.6% probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5), about 52.6% for at least 3 goals (Over 2.5) and roughly 30.4% for at least 4 goals (Over 3.5). Seasonal stats support this direction: the home side records Over 1.5 in 80% and Over 2.5 in 60% of matches, the away side has Over 1.5 in 71% and Over 2.5 in 43%, while both teams scored in 73% (home) and 50% (away) of cases respectively. Given the combined xG of 2.78 and the high incidence of matches above 1.5 goals, the strongest signal is the Over 1.5 play (pick: Over at 1.5); Over 2.5 has moderate backing (~53%), and Over 3.5 is less likely (~30%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is 1/1 (Al Draih leads at the break and wins), which I assign a 40% probability. In the last 5 matches the home side led at halftime in 60% of cases (3 of 5) and score an average of 1.0 goals by the break versus 0.4 for Al Raed, strongly favoring an HT lead. Al Draih shows better form and efficiency: season-long 1.87 points per match versus 1.21 for the opponent and 53% wins this season compared to Al Raed’s 29%, hence the advantage on the Full-Time result. After the break the hosts average 1.4 goals versus 0.71 for the visitors, and with similar xG (1.6 vs 1.68) the higher conversion rate for Al Draih (15% vs 11%) suggests maintaining or extending the lead. Additionally, low first-half BTTS (13% for the hosts vs 21% for the visitors) supports the first goal coming from Al Draih, making the HT/FT 1/1 the strongest signal from the data.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Al Draih | Al Raed | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Al Draih is 57% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / game - Al Draih · 1.4 pts / game - Al Raed
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Draih is 33% better for: goals scored per game.
2.38 goals / game - Al Draih · 1.79 goals / game - Al Raed
Al Draih is 31% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - Al Draih · 1.31 goals / game - Al Raed
Al Draih scores in 93% of games (27 of 29 meczów), while Al Raed keeps a clean sheet in 28% (8 of 29 meczów).
Al Raed scores in 83% of games (24 of 29 meczów), while Al Draih keeps a clean sheet in 38% (11 of 29 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Draih
Over / Under - Al Raed
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Draih is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.79 pts / game - Al Draih · 1.45 pts / game - Al Raed
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Draih - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 52% of games and wins 66%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Al Raed - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 41%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Al Draih
Al Raed
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Al Draih | Liga | Al Raed | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.38 | 2.91 | ▲ 3.10 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 59% | 61% | • 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 69% | 59% | ▼ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 22% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 75% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 83% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Al Draih's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Al Raed. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Draih vs Al Raed?
The First Division match finished Al Draih 1:3 Al Raed. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Draih vs Al Raed?
Al Draih score 2.38 goals per game on average and Al Raed 1.79. The First Division average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Al Draih's matches and 62% of Al Raed's.
What form are Al Draih and Al Raed in?
Over the last 5 games Al Draih have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Al Raed 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Draih vs Al Raed?
The statistical background for Al Draih vs Al Raed — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.