Al Gharafa vs Al Ahli: match statistics
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Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Al Gharafa vs Al Ahli: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Al Gharafa plays Al Ahli in Stars League (Qatar). The game is scheduled for October 22, 2026. Venue: Thani Bin Jassim Stadium.
Recent form
Al Gharafa has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Al Ahli has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Al Gharafa scores 1.20 goals per game and allows 2.20. Al Ahli scores 1.67 and allows 2.00. Games in this league average 3.47 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 80% of Al Gharafa's games and 33% of Al Ahli's. The Over 2.5 rates are 80% and 83%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 65% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Al Ahli has the higher season xG average, 2.09 to 2.06 per game. Al Gharafa takes 18.8 shots per game, while Al Ahli takes 17.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Al Gharafa leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.80 goals per game after halftime. Al Ahli leads at halftime in 17% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Al Gharafa's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (2 goals). For Al Ahli, it is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Stars League games average 3.47 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 65% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Al Gharafa | Al Ahli | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.19 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Al Ahli is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Al Gharafa · 1.4 pts / game - Al Ahli
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Ahli is 39% better for: goals scored per game.
1.2 goals / game - Al Gharafa · 1.67 goals / game - Al Ahli
Al Ahli is 10% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.2 goals / game - Al Gharafa · 2 goals / game - Al Ahli
Al Gharafa scores in 80% of games (4 of 5 games), while Al Ahli keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 games).
Al Ahli scores in 67% of games (4 of 6 games), while Al Gharafa keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Gharafa
Over / Under - Al Ahli
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Gharafa is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.8 pts / game - Al Gharafa · 0.67 pts / game - Al Ahli
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Gharafa - second-half results
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Al Ahli - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Al Gharafa
Al Ahli
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Stars League).
Teams vs league
| Al Gharafa | Liga | Al Ahli | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 3.40 | 3.47 | ▲ 3.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 56% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 80% | 65% | ▲ 83% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 26% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 71% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 85% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Al Gharafa's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Al Ahli. Games average 4.50 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
When do Al Gharafa and Al Ahli play?
Al Gharafa face Al Ahli on October 22, 2026 in Stars League at Thani Bin Jassim Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Al Gharafa and Al Ahli?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Al Gharafa won 1, Al Ahli won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Gharafa vs Al Ahli?
Al Gharafa score 1.20 goals per game on average and Al Ahli 1.67. The Stars League average is 3.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Al Gharafa's matches and 33% of Al Ahli's.
What form are Al Gharafa and Al Ahli in?
Over the last 5 games Al Gharafa have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Al Ahli 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Gharafa vs Al Ahli?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.