Al Gharafa vs Al Rayyan: match statistics
The match promises to be very balanced, suggesting a draw. Al Gharafa has an impressive home record with 75% wins and an average of 1.88 goals per match, yet their recent form is alarming – only 1 victory in the last 5 matches and as many as 11 goals conceded. Al Rayyan presents solid away form with 50% wins and an average of 2.4 goals scored per match, without a single goalless match on the road. The visitors' recent form is significantly better (1.6 points per game vs 0.6 for the hosts), which balances out Al Gharafa's home ground advantage. The identical goal difference of both teams (+6) and similar xG values (1.69 vs 1.70) confirm the even character of the clash. Considering the hosts' form crisis and the guests' good disposition, the most probable result is a draw, although a slight advantage for Al Gharafa stems from the home ground factor.
Al Gharafa vs Al Rayyan: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Al Gharafa played against Al Rayyan in Stars League (Qatar). The game was played on February 26, 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Recent form
Al Gharafa has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Al Rayyan has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Al Gharafa scores 1.63 goals per game and allows 1.31. Al Rayyan scores 2.06 and allows 1.56. Games in this league average 3.27 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 56% of Al Gharafa's games and 75% of Al Rayyan's. The Over 2.5 rates are 63% and 69%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 61% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Al Rayyan has the higher season xG average, 1.66 to 1.52 per game. Al Gharafa takes 13.3 shots per game, while Al Rayyan takes 14.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Al Gharafa leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 1.13 goals per game after halftime. Al Rayyan leads at halftime in 38% and scores 1.06 after halftime.
When the teams score
Al Gharafa's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Al Rayyan, it is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Stars League games average 3.27 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 61% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be very balanced, suggesting a draw. Al Gharafa has an impressive home record with 75% wins and an average of 1.88 goals per match, yet their recent form is alarming – only 1 victory in the last 5 matches and as many as 11 goals conceded. Al Rayyan presents solid away form with 50% wins and an average of 2.4 goals scored per match, without a single goalless match on the road. The visitors' recent form is significantly better (1.6 points per game vs 0.6 for the hosts), which balances out Al Gharafa's home ground advantage. The identical goal difference of both teams (+6) and similar xG values (1.69 vs 1.70) confirm the even character of the clash. Considering the hosts' form crisis and the guests' good disposition, the most probable result is a draw, although a slight advantage for Al Gharafa stems from the home ground factor.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Al Gharafa | Al Rayyan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Al Rayyan is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Al Gharafa · 1.6 pts / game - Al Rayyan
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Rayyan is 26% better for: goals scored per game.
1.63 goals / game - Al Gharafa · 2.06 goals / game - Al Rayyan
Al Gharafa is 19% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.31 goals / game - Al Gharafa · 1.56 goals / game - Al Rayyan
Al Gharafa scores in 69% of games (11 of 16 meczów), while Al Rayyan keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 meczów).
Al Rayyan scores in 94% of games (15 of 16 meczów), while Al Gharafa keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Gharafa
Over / Under - Al Rayyan
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Rayyan is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / game - Al Gharafa · 1.44 pts / game - Al Rayyan
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Gharafa - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 63%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Al Rayyan - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Al Gharafa
Al Rayyan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Stars League).
Teams vs league
| Al Gharafa | Liga | Al Rayyan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.94 | 3.27 | ▲ 3.63 |
| Both teams scored | • 56% | 56% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 61% | ▲ 69% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 24% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 71% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 85% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Al Gharafa's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Al Rayyan. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Gharafa vs Al Rayyan?
The Stars League match finished Al Gharafa 3:2 Al Rayyan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Gharafa vs Al Rayyan?
Al Gharafa score 1.63 goals per game on average and Al Rayyan 2.06. The Stars League average is 3.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Al Gharafa's matches and 75% of Al Rayyan's.
What form are Al Gharafa and Al Rayyan in?
Over the last 5 games Al Gharafa have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Al Rayyan 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Gharafa vs Al Rayyan?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.