Al Hilal vs Al Nassr: match statistics
Al Hilal is in impressive form as the undefeated league leader, boasting a record of 11 wins and 2 draws, having won all of their last 5 matches. The hosts hold a distinct home advantage with an 86% win rate and a solid average of 2.29 goals scored per game against just 0.86 conceded. Al Nassr, despite sitting second in the league, has shown instability recently with a form run of WWDLL and 8 goals conceded in the last 5 games. While xG statistics are similar for both sides, Al Hilal possesses the psychological edge and the momentum of five consecutive victories. Expect a tightly contested match between two top-tier teams; however, Al Hilal's unbeaten streak and home ground advantage give them the upper hand, though a draw remains a distinct possibility in this high-profile clash.
Al Hilal vs Al Nassr: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Al Hilal played against Al Nassr in Professional League (Saudi Arabia). The game was played on January 12, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Al Hilal has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 3.00 points per game. Al Nassr has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Al Hilal scores 2.69 goals per game and allows 0.92. Al Nassr scores 2.92 and allows 0.92. Games in this league average 3.06 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 54% of Al Hilal's games and 62% of Al Nassr's. The Over 2.5 rates are 69% and 77%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 57% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Al Nassr has the higher season xG average, 2.31 to 2.09 per game. Al Hilal takes 16.9 shots per game, while Al Nassr takes 20.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Al Hilal leads at halftime in 69% of its games and scores 1.31 goals per game after halftime. Al Nassr leads at halftime in 54% and scores 1.77 after halftime.
When the teams score
Al Hilal's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (10 goals). For Al Nassr, it is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Professional League games average 3.06 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 57% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Hilal is in impressive form as the undefeated league leader, boasting a record of 11 wins and 2 draws, having won all of their last 5 matches. The hosts hold a distinct home advantage with an 86% win rate and a solid average of 2.29 goals scored per game against just 0.86 conceded. Al Nassr, despite sitting second in the league, has shown instability recently with a form run of WWDLL and 8 goals conceded in the last 5 games. While xG statistics are similar for both sides, Al Hilal possesses the psychological edge and the momentum of five consecutive victories. Expect a tightly contested match between two top-tier teams; however, Al Hilal's unbeaten streak and home ground advantage give them the upper hand, though a draw remains a distinct possibility in this high-profile clash.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Al Hilal | Al Nassr | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 46% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Al Hilal is 114% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / game - Al Hilal · 1.4 pts / game - Al Nassr
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Nassr is 9% better for: goals scored per game.
2.69 goals / game - Al Hilal · 2.92 goals / game - Al Nassr
Al Hilal scores in 100% of games (13 of 13 meczów), while Al Nassr keeps a clean sheet in 38% (5 of 13 meczów).
Al Nassr scores in 100% of games (13 of 13 meczów), while Al Hilal keeps a clean sheet in 46% (6 of 13 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Hilal
Over / Under - Al Nassr
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Hilal is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.31 pts / game - Al Hilal · 2 pts / game - Al Nassr
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Hilal - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 69% of games and wins 85%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Al Nassr - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 54% of games and wins 77%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 0% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Al Hilal
Al Nassr
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Professional League).
Teams vs league
| Al Hilal | Liga | Al Nassr | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.62 | 3.06 | ▲ 3.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 54% | 59% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 69% | 57% | ▲ 77% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 46% | 23% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 74% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 80% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Hilal vs Al Nassr?
The Professional League match finished Al Hilal 3:1 Al Nassr. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Hilal vs Al Nassr?
Al Hilal score 2.69 goals per game on average and Al Nassr 2.92. The Professional League average is 3.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Al Hilal's matches and 62% of Al Nassr's.
What form are Al Hilal and Al Nassr in?
Over the last 5 games Al Hilal have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Al Nassr 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Hilal vs Al Nassr?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.