Al Khaleej vs Al Ahli: match statistics
Al Khaleej vs Al Ahli: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Al Khaleej played against Al Ahli in Professional League (Saudi Arabia). The game was played on May 20, 2026. Venue: EGO STADIUM. Final score: 1:4.
Recent form
Al Khaleej has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Al Ahli has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Al Khaleej scores 1.61 goals per game and allows 1.76. Al Ahli scores 2.03 and allows 0.73. Games in this league average 3.02 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 64% of Al Khaleej's games and 45% of Al Ahli's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 52%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 57% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Al Ahli has the higher season xG average, 1.58 to 1.30 per game. Al Khaleej takes 11.6 shots per game, while Al Ahli takes 12.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Al Khaleej leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 0.94 goals per game after halftime. Al Ahli leads at halftime in 48% and scores 1.15 after halftime.
When the teams score
Al Khaleej's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (14 goals). For Al Ahli, it is minutes 76-90+ (17 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Professional League games average 3.02 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 57% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Ahli is the clear favorite: they sit 3rd in the table versus Al Khaleej's 11th and have 24 wins this season compared to the hosts' 10. Recent form also favors the visitors — Al Ahli have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 4, while Al Khaleej have no wins (0-1-4), scoring 4 and conceding 14. The defensive gap is significant: Al Khaleej concede 1.69 goals per home game (avg xG against 1.53), whereas Al Ahli concede only 0.69 goals away (xG against 0.93) and have clean sheets in 63% of away matches versus 19% for the hosts. Offensively the hosts average 1.69 goals at home with xG 1.28 and fail to score in 44% of games, while the visitors have xG 1.38 away and fail to score in 19% of matches; additionally Al Ahli average 4.38 shots on target away compared to 3.94 for the hosts. Considering the advantage in form (an average of 2.4 points in the last 5 matches for Al Ahli versus 0.2 for Al Khaleej), better defense (0.69 conceded vs 1.69) and higher clean sheet rate, I predict an Al Ahli win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I pick 'Yes' — Al Khaleej averages 2.65 goals scored at home this season and has a seasonal BTTS rate of 59%, indicating frequent Goal/Goal outcomes at home. Key signal is form: in the last 5 matches Al Khaleej conceded 14 goals (2.8 per game) and 80% of those matches were BTTS, while Al Ahli scored 12 goals in their last 5 (2.4 per game) and has a recent xG of 1.58, so they should find the net. Seasonally Al Ahli, however, has 63% clean sheets expected (clean sheets), which nominally reduces BTTS likelihood, but their seasonal average goals conceded 0.69 versus recent 0.8 shows they are currently slightly more vulnerable than season average. Technically the combined seasonal xG of both teams is 1.77+1.38=3.15 (above the league average 3.02), and the hosts' shots and shots on target (14.53 and 6.0) versus the visitors (11.25 and 4.38) indicate high goal potential on both sides. Considering Al Khaleej conceded 14 goals in the last 5 and Al Ahli scored 12, I assess BTTS probability at 72% for 'Yes' and 28% for 'No'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model projects 1.35 expected goals for Al Khaleej (attacking xG 1.77 vs opponents’ xG conceded 0.93) and 1.21 for Al Ahli (attacking xG 1.38 vs opponents’ xG conceded 1.03), totaling 2.56 expected goals. Under a Poisson distribution with λ=2.56 the probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) is approximately 72.5%, while the probability of three or more goals (Over 2.5) is about 47%. Seasonal stats support Over 1.5: Al Khaleej records Over 1.5 in 94% of matches, Al Ahli in 50% (average ~72%); for Over 2.5 the hosts are at 71% and the visitors at 31% (average ~51%), giving a mixed signal for 2.5. The last 5 matches show a combined 16 goals (4 by the hosts and 12 by the visitors), averaging 3.2 goals in recent games, which slightly increases the likelihood of Over 2.5 versus the pure xG model. Therefore I recommend an Over 1.5 bet as the strongest signal (ou_pred_line=1.5, side='over') with an assigned probability of 75% for Over 1.5, moderate support for Over 2.5 (48%) and low chance for Over 3.5 (26%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Seasonal statistics favor Al Khaleej: the hosts average 2.65 goals per home match versus Al Ahli's 1.38 away, possess an xG of 1.77 versus the visitors' 1.38, and register more shots (14.53 vs 11.25) and shots on target (6.0 vs 4.38), with conversion rates of 18% compared to 12%. Al Khaleej led at the break in 59% of matches and average 1.06 goals by half-time versus Al Ahli's 0.69; in first halves the hosts scored 26 goals compared to the visitors' 14, indicating they are more likely to have the lead after 45 minutes. Form must be considered: in the last five matches Al Khaleej's sequence is 'lldll' with a 0% win rate, while Al Ahli are 'lwwww' with an 80% win rate in their last five, and the visitors led at the break in 80% of those games, scoring on average 1.6 goals before half-time. Combining the season-long home advantage for Al Khaleej (82% home win rate) and their second-half efficiency (second-half related metrics at 71%), but adjusting the forecast in favor of Al Ahli's current form, the most likely scenario is Al Khaleej leading at half-time and winning the match (HT/FT 1/1), which I assign approximately a 31% probability.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Al Khaleej | Al Ahli | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Al Ahli is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Al Khaleej · 2.4 pts / game - Al Ahli
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Ahli is 26% better for: goals scored per game.
1.61 goals / game - Al Khaleej · 2.03 goals / game - Al Ahli
Al Ahli is 141% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.76 goals / game - Al Khaleej · 0.73 goals / game - Al Ahli
Al Khaleej scores in 73% of games (24 of 33 meczów), while Al Ahli keeps a clean sheet in 52% (17 of 33 meczów).
Al Ahli scores in 91% of games (30 of 33 meczów), while Al Khaleej keeps a clean sheet in 12% (4 of 33 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Khaleej
Over / Under - Al Ahli
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Ahli is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / game - Al Khaleej · 1.85 pts / game - Al Ahli
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Khaleej - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Al Ahli - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 48% of games and wins 73%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +8 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Al Khaleej
Al Ahli
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Professional League).
Teams vs league
| Al Khaleej | Liga | Al Ahli | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.36 | 3.02 | ▼ 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 59% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 57% | ▼ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 12% | 23% | ▲ 52% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 75% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 81% | • 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Al Khaleej's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Al Ahli. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Khaleej vs Al Ahli?
The Professional League match finished Al Khaleej 1:4 Al Ahli. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Khaleej vs Al Ahli?
Al Khaleej score 1.61 goals per game on average and Al Ahli 2.03. The Professional League average is 3.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Al Khaleej's matches and 45% of Al Ahli's.
What form are Al Khaleej and Al Ahli in?
Over the last 5 games Al Khaleej have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Al Ahli 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Khaleej vs Al Ahli?
The statistical background for Al Khaleej vs Al Ahli — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.