Al Mabarrah vs Al Ahed: match statistics
Al Ahed clearly dominates in this clash in terms of all key statistics. The visitors occupy 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 10 wins and only 4 defeats, achieving an 88% win rate on the road. Al Mabarrah are only in 8th position with a very modest goal tally – just 7 goals in the entire season and an average of 1 goal per match at home. Al Ahed score an average of 2.13 goals away from home with a 22% conversion rate and ball possession dominance at 60%, which translates into a qualitative advantage also visible in xG (1.38 vs 0.88). The visitors' form confirms their strength – a series of "wwwwlwww" on the road and a goal difference of +13 in away matches point to a clear favorite. Considering all statistical data, an Al Ahed victory is the most likely scenario for this match.
Al Mabarrah vs Al Ahed: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Al Mabarrah played against Al Ahed in Lebanese Premier League (Lebanon). The game was played on February 15, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Al Mabarrah has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Al Ahed has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Al Mabarrah scores 0.54 goals per game and allows 1.00. Al Ahed scores 1.71 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.19 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 23% of Al Mabarrah's games and 29% of Al Ahed's. The Over 2.5 rates are 23% and 50%, compared with league averages of 30% for BTTS and 37% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Al Ahed has the higher season xG average, 1.39 to 0.95 per game. Al Mabarrah takes 5.5 shots per game, while Al Ahed takes 10.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Al Mabarrah leads at halftime in 15% of its games and scores 0.31 goals per game after halftime. Al Ahed leads at halftime in 50% and scores 0.93 after halftime.
When the teams score
Al Mabarrah's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). For Al Ahed, it is minutes 0-15 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Lebanese Premier League games average 2.19 goals. Both teams score in 30% of games, and 37% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Ahed clearly dominates in this clash in terms of all key statistics. The visitors occupy 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 10 wins and only 4 defeats, achieving an 88% win rate on the road. Al Mabarrah are only in 8th position with a very modest goal tally – just 7 goals in the entire season and an average of 1 goal per match at home. Al Ahed score an average of 2.13 goals away from home with a 22% conversion rate and ball possession dominance at 60%, which translates into a qualitative advantage also visible in xG (1.38 vs 0.88). The visitors' form confirms their strength – a series of "wwwwlwww" on the road and a goal difference of +13 in away matches point to a clear favorite. Considering all statistical data, an Al Ahed victory is the most likely scenario for this match.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Al Mabarrah | Al Ahed | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 48% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Al Mabarrah is 11% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Al Mabarrah · 1.8 pts / game - Al Ahed
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Ahed is 217% better for: goals scored per game.
0.54 goals / game - Al Mabarrah · 1.71 goals / game - Al Ahed
Al Mabarrah scores in 38% of games (5 of 13 meczów), while Al Ahed keeps a clean sheet in 57% (8 of 14 meczów).
Al Ahed scores in 86% of games (12 of 14 meczów), while Al Mabarrah keeps a clean sheet in 46% (6 of 13 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Mabarrah
Over / Under - Al Ahed
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Ahed is 119% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.85 pts / game - Al Mabarrah · 1.86 pts / game - Al Ahed
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Mabarrah - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 23%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Al Ahed - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 71%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Al Mabarrah
Al Ahed
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Lebanese Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Al Mabarrah | Liga | Al Ahed | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.54 | 2.19 | ▲ 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 23% | 30% | • 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 23% | 37% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 46% | 42% | ▲ 57% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 62% | 55% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 46% | 72% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Al Mabarrah's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Al Ahed. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Mabarrah vs Al Ahed?
The Lebanese Premier League match finished Al Mabarrah 1:0 Al Ahed. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Mabarrah vs Al Ahed?
Al Mabarrah score 0.54 goals per game on average and Al Ahed 1.71. The Lebanese Premier League average is 2.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 23% of Al Mabarrah's matches and 29% of Al Ahed's.
What form are Al Mabarrah and Al Ahed in?
Over the last 5 games Al Mabarrah have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Al Ahed 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Mabarrah vs Al Ahed?
The statistical background for Al Mabarrah vs Al Ahed — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.