Al Najma vs Neom SC: match statistics
Al Najma vs Neom SC: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Al Najma played against Neom SC in Professional League (Saudi Arabia). The game was played on April 11, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Al Najma has 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.00 points per game. Neom SC has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Al Najma scores 0.93 goals per game and allows 2.44. Neom SC scores 1.29 and allows 1.39. Games in this league average 3.06 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of Al Najma's games and 61% of Neom SC's. The Over 2.5 rates are 70% and 54%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 57% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Neom SC has the higher season xG average, 1.38 to 1.06 per game. Al Najma takes 9.2 shots per game, while Neom SC takes 12.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Al Najma leads at halftime in 11% of its games and scores 0.63 goals per game after halftime. Neom SC leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.68 after halftime.
When the teams score
Al Najma's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (10 goals). For Neom SC, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Professional League games average 3.06 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 57% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Neom SC is the favorite: Al Najma sits 18th with just 1 win this season, while Neom has 11 wins and is 8th. The hosts have serious defensive issues — Al Najma conceded 66 goals this season, averaging 2.38 goals conceded per home match, and allowed 20 goals in their last 5 matches (4.0 per game). Neom shows superior offensive efficiency and chance quality: the visitors scored 36 goals this season, averaging 1.43 goals away with xG 1.37, versus Al Najma who score 1.15 at home with xG 1.21. Additionally, Neom attempts more shots (12.36 vs 10.69) and more shots on target (4.86 vs 3.31), has higher possession (52% vs 48%) and 14% clean sheets away compared to 0% for the hosts, all favoring the visitors. Considering Al Najma's 0 points in the last 5 matches and Neom's 1.4 points on average in that period, I predict an away win; pick 2 with a probability of 65%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The "Both Teams To Score" scenario appears more likely: Al Najma has a season BTTS of 57% while Neom has 64%, the league records 59% of matches with both teams scoring, and in the last 5 fixtures both teams have BTTS at 60%. Recent form strongly favors goals: Al Najma averages 0.8 scored and 4.0 conceded in the last 5 matches (total 4 scored and 20 conceded), whereas Neom averages 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded (8-8). xG and shot metrics confirm chance creation: offensive xG 1.38 vs 1.37 and xG conceded 1.41 for Al Najma vs 1.21 for Neom; shots on target 4.64 vs 4.86 with conversion 9% vs 12%. Season totals reinforce the picture — Al Najma 25 scored/66 conceded vs Neom 36 scored/39 conceded; although clean sheet percentage is 29% vs 14%, Al Najma’s last 5 matches (avg 4.0 conceded) increase the likelihood of conceding. Considering BTTS 57%/64%, last5 BTTS 60%/60% and Al Najma’s significant defensive issues, I assess BTTS at 75% vs 25% and recommend the "Yes" (BTTS - Yes) selection.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG model and current form indicate a higher-scoring meeting: home xG 1.38 and away 1.37, while xG conceded is 1.41 (Al Najma) and 1.21 (Neom), yielding estimated goals of 1.30 for Al Najma and 1.39 for Neom (total 2.69). Seasonal metrics show Over 1.5 in 71% of Al Najma’s matches and 64% of Neom’s, and Over 2.5 in 64% and 43% (average 54%); additionally BTTS is 57% and 64%, so both teams score frequently. Al Najma’s form is particularly susceptible to conceding: in the last 5 matches their average goals scored is 0.8 and conceded 4.0 (total 4.8 goals per match in their games), which increases the likelihood of high-scoring games. By a Poisson model with total xG=2.69 the probability of at least 2 goals is about 75%, and at least 3 goals about 50%; considering seasonal and recent trends I lift the chance of Over 2.5 to ~56%. The strongest signal is Over 1.5 (≈75% probability), therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the best line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
At half-time the most common score is a draw: hosts were level at the break in 50% of matches and visitors in 57%, with average goals at the break 1.07 (home) vs 1.14 (away). In the second half the visitors score more — on average 0.79 goals after the break compared to 0.57 for the hosts, and second-half goal balance is −6 for the hosts versus 0 for the visitors. Form and efficiency are highlighted by the numbers: season points averages 1.57 for the visitors vs 1.21 for the hosts, shot conversion 12% vs 9% and expected goals against 1.21 for the visitors versus 1.41 for the hosts, suggesting better defensive resilience from the visitors. Additionally the hosts have lost all of their last 5 matches (100% losses in the last 5), while the visitors have a 40% win rate in that period, therefore the most likely and strongest signal is half-time draw and visitors to win at full-time (X/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Al Najma | Neom SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Neom SC is 39% better for: goals scored per game.
0.93 goals / game - Al Najma · 1.29 goals / game - Neom SC
Neom SC is 76% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.44 goals / game - Al Najma · 1.39 goals / game - Neom SC
Al Najma scores in 67% of games (18 of 27 meczów), while Neom SC keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 meczów).
Neom SC scores in 79% of games (22 of 28 meczów), while Al Najma keeps a clean sheet in 7% (2 of 27 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Najma
Over / Under - Neom SC
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Neom SC is 99% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.7 pts / game - Al Najma · 1.39 pts / game - Neom SC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Najma - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 11% of games and wins 4%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Neom SC - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 2.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -11 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (23). Late-goal balance (76-90): -19 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Al Najma
Neom SC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Professional League).
Teams vs league
| Al Najma | Liga | Neom SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.37 | 3.06 | ▼ 2.68 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 59% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 70% | 57% | ▼ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 7% | 23% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 74% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 81% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Al Najma's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Neom SC. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Najma vs Neom SC?
The Professional League match finished Al Najma 2:1 Neom SC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Najma vs Neom SC?
Al Najma score 0.93 goals per game on average and Neom SC 1.29. The Professional League average is 3.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Al Najma's matches and 61% of Neom SC's.
What form are Al Najma and Neom SC in?
Over the last 5 games Al Najma have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Neom SC 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Najma vs Neom SC?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Al Najma vs Neom SC: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.