Al Nassr vs Al Shabab: match statistics
Al Nassr clearly dominates this matchup in every statistical aspect. The hosts sit in 2nd place with an impressive record of 86% home wins, averaging 3.14 goals scored per match while conceding just 0.86. Conversely, Al Shabab is in 14th position with catastrophic away results—0% wins, 71% matches without scoring, and an average of only 0.29 goals per game. The gap in quality is drastic: Al Nassr holds the advantage in possession (62% vs 39%), shots on target (8.14 vs 2.29), and efficiency (16% vs 3%). Current form further confirms the hosts' superiority—Al Nassr is on a 5-match winning streak at home, while Al Shabab has lost 4 of their last 5 matches. A goal difference of +16 for the hosts compared to -7 for the visitors in away games points unequivocally to a certain victory for Al Nassr.
Al Nassr vs Al Shabab: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Al Nassr played against Al Shabab in Professional League (Saudi Arabia). The game was played on January 17, 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Recent form
Al Nassr has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Al Shabab has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Al Nassr scores 2.79 goals per game and allows 1.07. Al Shabab scores 0.86 and allows 1.57. Games in this league average 3.05 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 64% of Al Nassr's games and 57% of Al Shabab's. The Over 2.5 rates are 79% and 29%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Al Nassr has the higher season xG average, 2.21 to 1.33 per game. Al Nassr takes 19.8 shots per game, while Al Shabab takes 12.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Al Nassr leads at halftime in 57% of its games and scores 1.64 goals per game after halftime. Al Shabab leads at halftime in 7% and scores 0.57 after halftime.
When the teams score
Al Nassr's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). For Al Shabab, it is minutes 61-75 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Professional League games average 3.05 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Nassr clearly dominates this matchup in every statistical aspect. The hosts sit in 2nd place with an impressive record of 86% home wins, averaging 3.14 goals scored per match while conceding just 0.86. Conversely, Al Shabab is in 14th position with catastrophic away results—0% wins, 71% matches without scoring, and an average of only 0.29 goals per game. The gap in quality is drastic: Al Nassr holds the advantage in possession (62% vs 39%), shots on target (8.14 vs 2.29), and efficiency (16% vs 3%). Current form further confirms the hosts' superiority—Al Nassr is on a 5-match winning streak at home, while Al Shabab has lost 4 of their last 5 matches. A goal difference of +16 for the hosts compared to -7 for the visitors in away games points unequivocally to a certain victory for Al Nassr.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Al Nassr | Al Shabab | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Al Nassr is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Al Nassr · 0.6 pts / game - Al Shabab
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Nassr is 224% better for: goals scored per game.
2.79 goals / game - Al Nassr · 0.86 goals / game - Al Shabab
Al Nassr is 47% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.07 goals / game - Al Nassr · 1.57 goals / game - Al Shabab
Al Nassr scores in 100% of games (14 of 14 meczów), while Al Shabab keeps a clean sheet in 14% (2 of 14 meczów).
Al Shabab scores in 64% of games (9 of 14 meczów), while Al Nassr keeps a clean sheet in 36% (5 of 14 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Nassr
Over / Under - Al Shabab
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Nassr is 223% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.07 pts / game - Al Nassr · 0.64 pts / game - Al Shabab
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Nassr - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 57% of games and wins 71%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Al Shabab - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 7% of games and wins 14%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -7 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Al Nassr
Al Shabab
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Professional League).
Teams vs league
| Al Nassr | Liga | Al Shabab | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.86 | 3.05 | ▼ 2.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 60% | ▼ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 79% | 56% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 22% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 73% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 93% | 80% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Nassr vs Al Shabab?
The Professional League match finished Al Nassr 3:2 Al Shabab. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Nassr vs Al Shabab?
Al Nassr score 2.79 goals per game on average and Al Shabab 0.86. The Professional League average is 3.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Al Nassr's matches and 57% of Al Shabab's.
What form are Al Nassr and Al Shabab in?
Over the last 5 games Al Nassr have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Al Shabab 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Nassr vs Al Shabab?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Al Nassr vs Al Shabab: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.