Lebanon - Lebanese Premier LeagueBourj Hammoud StadiumData current as of 23 July 2026

Al Nejmeh vs Al Mabarrah: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Al Nejmeh vs Al Mabarrah: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Al Nejmeh play Al Mabarrah in Lebanese Premier League (Lebanon). The match date is 21 June 2026 at 14:30. Venue: Bourj Hammoud Stadium.

Current form

Al Nejmeh: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Al Mabarrah: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Al Nejmeh scores 1.85 and concedes 0.56 goals per match. Al Mabarrah scores 0.50 and concedes 1.80. League average: 2.44 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Al Nejmeh 37%, Al Mabarrah 20%. Over 2.5: Al Nejmeh 48%, Al Mabarrah 35%. League level: BTTS 33%, Over 2.5 43%.

xG, shots and style

Al Nejmeh has higher xG: 1.44 vs 0.93. Al Nejmeh: 7.7 shots per match, Al Mabarrah: 5.8.

Match halves

Al Nejmeh: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 1.04. Al Mabarrah: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.30.

Goals by minute

Al Nejmeh: 76-90+ (13 goals). Al Mabarrah: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Lebanese Premier League: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 33%, Over 2.5 43%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.50)
(3.32)
(6.96)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Al NejmehAl Mabarrah
1.85Goals scored / match0.5
Al NejmehAl Mabarrah
0.56Goals conceded / match1.8
Al NejmehAl Mabarrah
41%Average possession44%
Al NejmehAl Mabarrah
3.19Shots on target / match2.25
Al NejmehAl Mabarrah

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7.67Shots per match5.8
Al NejmehAl Mabarrah
3.19Shots on target2.25
Al NejmehAl Mabarrah
24.2%Shot conversion8.6%
Al NejmehAl Mabarrah
41%Possession44%
Al NejmehAl Mabarrah
1.44xG for0.93
Al NejmehAl Mabarrah
0.75xG against1.38
Al NejmehAl Mabarrah

Shooting quality

Al Nejmeh: Counter-attackingAl Mabarrah: Balanced
Al NejmehAl Mabarrah
Accuracy (shots on target)42%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.190.16
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.580.22

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Al Nejmeh
WWDWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
59% W30% R11% P
Season (W-D-L)
16-8-3
2.07 pts / match · goal difference +35
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
10-2-1
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 1.43Opponent xG: 0.82BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Al Mabarrah
LLLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
20% W30% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-6-10
0.90 pts / match · goal difference -26
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-5
0.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-3-7
Last 5 away
0-1-4
DLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 4.2xG: 0.85Opponent xG: 1.68BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Al Nejmeh is 270% better for: goals scored per match.

1.85 goals / match - Al Nejmeh · 0.5 goals / match - Al Mabarrah

Al Nejmeh is 221% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.56 goals / match - Al Nejmeh · 1.8 goals / match - Al Mabarrah

Al Nejmeh scoring profile: very strong

Al Nejmeh scores in 81% of matches (22 of 27 matches), while Al Mabarrah keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 matches).

Al Mabarrah scoring profile: more difficult

Al Mabarrah scores in 35% of matches (7 of 20 matches), while Al Nejmeh keeps a clean sheet in 56% (15 of 27 matches).

50Goals scored (season)10
Al NejmehAl Mabarrah
15Goals conceded (season)36
Al NejmehAl Mabarrah
2.41Average goals in match2.3
Al NejmehAl Mabarrah
9Goals scored (last 5)2
Al NejmehAl Mabarrah
1Goals conceded (last 5)21
Al NejmehAl Mabarrah

How often they score at least...

81%1 goal35%
Al NejmehAl Mabarrah
48%2 goals15%
Al NejmehAl Mabarrah
30%3 goals0%
Al NejmehAl Mabarrah
19%4 goals0%
Al NejmehAl Mabarrah

How often they concede at least...

44%1 goal65%
Al NejmehAl Mabarrah
11%2 goals50%
Al NejmehAl Mabarrah
0%3 goals25%
Al NejmehAl Mabarrah
0%4 goals20%
Al NejmehAl Mabarrah

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

33%
League average

Goal patterns

19%BTTS at half-time10%
Al NejmehAl Mabarrah
4%BTTS in both halves0%
Al NejmehAl Mabarrah
41%Scored in both halves15%
Al NejmehAl Mabarrah

BTTS and goal count

26%Min. 3 goals and BTTS15%
Al NejmehAl Mabarrah
22%Min. 3 goals without BTTS20%
Al NejmehAl Mabarrah
20%BTTS - last 520%
Al NejmehAl Mabarrah

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

59%Min. 1 goal before half-time60%
Al NejmehAl Mabarrah
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time35%
Al NejmehAl Mabarrah
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
Al NejmehAl Mabarrah

2nd half

70%Min. 1 goal after half-time65%
Al NejmehAl Mabarrah
41%Min. 2 goals after half-time25%
Al NejmehAl Mabarrah
19%Min. 3 goals after half-time10%
Al NejmehAl Mabarrah

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Al Nejmeh is 159% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.81 pts / match - Al Nejmeh · 0.7 pts / match - Al Mabarrah

Al Nejmeh - half-time state
44% leading48% draw7% trailing
Al Mabarrah - half-time state
10% leading40% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.81Points per match (1st half)0.7
Al NejmehAl Mabarrah
0.78Goals scored (1st half)0.2
Al NejmehAl Mabarrah
0.26Goals conceded (1st half)1.1
Al NejmehAl Mabarrah
1.04Average goals (1st half)1.3
Al NejmehAl Mabarrah
74%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Al NejmehAl Mabarrah
48%No goal before half-time80%
Al NejmehAl Mabarrah

After half-time (2nd half)

1.96Points per match (2nd half)1.15
Al NejmehAl Mabarrah
1.04Goals scored (2nd half)0.3
Al NejmehAl Mabarrah
0.26Goals conceded (2nd half)0.7
Al NejmehAl Mabarrah
1.3Average goals (2nd half)1
Al NejmehAl Mabarrah
78%Clean sheet after half-time60%
Al NejmehAl Mabarrah
33%No goal after half-time70%
Al NejmehAl Mabarrah

Al Nejmeh - second-half results

52% W41% R7% P
49
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
+14
Goal difference (1st half)
53
Second-half points
+21
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.81
PPG before half-time
Lead holding134%

Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Al Mabarrah - second-half results

25% W40% R35% P
14
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-18
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.70
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.4

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Al Nejmeh - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.20
Goals scored / match0.61.2
Goals conceded / match0.00.2
Average goals in match0.61.4
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%80%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+3+5
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Al Mabarrah - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.200.60
Goals scored / match0.20.2
Goals conceded / match2.61.6
Average goals in match2.81.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals60%40%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-12-7
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Al Nejmeh
ScoredConceded
8
2
0-15
7
1
16-30
7
5
31-45
4
2
46-60
11
1
61-75
13
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.

Al Mabarrah
ScoredConceded
0
6
0-15
0
6
16-30
4
10
31-45
3
3
46-60
1
5
61-75
2
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.36
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 0.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
29%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+70%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
28%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Al Nejmeh

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.69
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.60
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-18.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.41
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
138%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
51%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

Al Mabarrah

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.45
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.85
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+13.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.43
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.42
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
45%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
134%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.90
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Lebanese Premier League).

Teams vs league

Al NejmehLigaAl Mabarrah
Average goals in match 2.412.44 2.30
Both teams scored 37%33% 20%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 48%43% 35%
Clean sheets 56%39% 35%
Goal before half-time 59%57% 60%
Goal after half-time 70%77% 65%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.44
Average goals per match
33%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
39%
Clean sheets
1.34
Home goals / match
1.10
Away goals / match
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
57%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Al Nejmeh 0 - 1 - 0 Al Mabarrah. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Al Nejmeh and Al Mabarrah play?

Al Nejmeh face Al Mabarrah on 21 June 2026 in Lebanese Premier League at Bourj Hammoud Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Al Nejmeh vs Al Mabarrah?

Al Nejmeh score 1.85 goals per game on average and Al Mabarrah 0.50. The Lebanese Premier League average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Al Nejmeh's matches and 20% of Al Mabarrah's.

What form are Al Nejmeh and Al Mabarrah in?

Over the last 5 games Al Nejmeh have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Al Mabarrah 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Nejmeh vs Al Mabarrah?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Al Nejmeh vs Al Mabarrah: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.