Al Shamal vs Umm Salal: match statistics
Al Shamal vs Umm Salal: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Al Shamal played against Umm Salal in Stars League (Qatar). The game was played on April 4, 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Recent form
Al Shamal has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Umm Salal has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Al Shamal scores 1.72 goals per game and allows 1.17. Umm Salal scores 1.79 and allows 2.47. Games in this league average 3.30 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 44% of Al Shamal's games and 68% of Umm Salal's. The Over 2.5 rates are 56% and 84%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Al Shamal has the higher season xG average, 1.73 to 1.36 per game. Al Shamal takes 15.1 shots per game, while Umm Salal takes 11.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Al Shamal leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Umm Salal leads at halftime in 42% and scores 0.89 after halftime.
When the teams score
Al Shamal's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Umm Salal, it is minutes 31-45+ (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Stars League games average 3.30 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Shamal are the favorites for this match: in the last 5 games they have 4 wins and 1 loss, averaging 2.4 points per game in that period, and at home they score 1.78 goals and concede 1.33 on average. Chance-creation metrics favor the hosts — their home xG is 1.73 versus the visitors’ away xG of 1.31, and they also produce more shots (15.11 vs 11.44) and more shots on target (5.33 vs 4.44). Umm Salal, however, show clear finishing efficiency: they average 2.0 goals away with a conversion rate of 17% (Al Shamal 12%) and have scored 12 goals in their last 5 matches, so they can capitalize on their opportunities. Defensively the hosts look better — they have kept a clean sheet in 44% of home games, while the visitors record 22% clean sheets away and concede 2.33 goals on average on the road. Considering the advantage in chance creation (xG 1.73 vs 1.31), the hosts’ superior defense and the form of 4 wins in 5, I project an Al Shamal victory, although I expect Umm Salal to find the net as well.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show strong seasonal BTTS rates: Al Shamal 70% and Umm Salal 67% (league average 59%), favoring a "both teams to score" scenario. Defenses are vulnerable — Al Shamal concedes 2.6 goals per match, Umm Salal 2.33, while scoring 1.6 and 2.0 respectively, so both sides statistically score and concede. In the last 5 matches Umm Salal scored 12 goals (2.4 avg) and conceded 7 (1.4), Al Shamal scored 7 (1.4) and conceded 5 (1.0); xG confirms this picture: xG for home 1.39 vs away 1.31, and xG against 1.96 vs 2.33. Additionally, 80% of Al Shamal matches and 89% of Umm Salal matches finish over 2.5 goals, and the combination of over 2.5 goals and BTTS occurs for both teams in 70% and 67% of cases, further supporting a goals-from-both-sides outcome. Based on this I tip BTTS - Yes with 80% probability and 20% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have offensive profiles and leaky defenses: Al Shamal scores 1.6 and concedes 2.6 on average, Umm Salal scores 2.0 and concedes 2.33 per match. Home xG is 1.39, while xG against Umm Salal is 2.33 — averaging to ~1.86 expected goals for Al Shamal; similarly, away xG is 1.31 versus xG against Al Shamal 1.96 gives ~1.64 for Umm Salal, totaling ~3.50 goals. Season-long Over 2.5 occurred in 80% of Al Shamal’s matches and 89% of Umm Salal’s (average 84.5%), and in the last 5 meetings both teams exceeded 2.5 in 60% of games, confirming a propensity for high-scoring affairs. Additionally, both teams scored in 70% and 67% of matches, while clean sheets occurred in only 20% and 22% of games, increasing the likelihood of goals from both sides. As a result, the best line to play is Over 2.5 (estimated probability ≈78%), Over 1.5 is virtually certain (~95%), whereas Over 3.5 remains moderately likely (~54%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is 2/1 (Umm Salal leading at half-time, Al Shamal winning full-time). Umm Salal led at the break in 5 matches (56%), while Al Shamal were trailing at the break in 4 matches (40%), indicating a propensity for the visitors to be ahead at the break. However, the second half favors the home side: Al Shamal scored 5 goals in minutes 76–90, whereas Umm Salal conceded as many as 9 goals in that interval; additionally, Umm Salal concede on average 2.0 goals after the break versus 1.5 for the hosts. The last 5 matches confirm the hosts’ strength (4 wins, 80% win rate, and leading at the break in 60% of those games), so I expect that despite Umm Salal holding a lead at the break, the hosts will complete a turnaround in the second half.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Al Shamal | Umm Salal | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Umm Salal is 10% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Al Shamal · 2.2 pts / game - Umm Salal
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Shamal is 111% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.17 goals / game - Al Shamal · 2.47 goals / game - Umm Salal
Al Shamal scores in 78% of games (14 of 18 meczów), while Umm Salal keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 meczów).
Umm Salal scores in 84% of games (16 of 19 meczów), while Al Shamal keeps a clean sheet in 44% (8 of 18 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Shamal
Over / Under - Umm Salal
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Umm Salal is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / game - Al Shamal · 1.63 pts / game - Umm Salal
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Shamal - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 56%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Umm Salal - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 42% of games and wins 32%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 1.0 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Al Shamal
Umm Salal
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Stars League).
Teams vs league
| Al Shamal | Liga | Umm Salal | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.89 | 3.30 | ▲ 4.26 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 59% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 56% | 63% | ▲ 84% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 44% | 23% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 70% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 83% | 87% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Al Shamal's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Umm Salal. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Shamal vs Umm Salal?
The Stars League match finished Al Shamal 3:2 Umm Salal. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Shamal vs Umm Salal?
Al Shamal score 1.72 goals per game on average and Umm Salal 1.79. The Stars League average is 3.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Al Shamal's matches and 68% of Umm Salal's.
What form are Al Shamal and Umm Salal in?
Over the last 5 games Al Shamal have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Umm Salal 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Shamal vs Umm Salal?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.