Al Taawon vs Al Ahli: match statistics
Al Taawon vs Al Ahli: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Al Taawon played against Al Ahli in Professional League (Saudi Arabia). The game was played on May 11, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Al Taawon has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Al Ahli has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Al Taawon scores 1.84 goals per game and allows 1.32. Al Ahli scores 2.00 and allows 0.74. Games in this league average 3.04 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 65% of Al Taawon's games and 45% of Al Ahli's. The Over 2.5 rates are 55% and 48%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 57% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Al Ahli has the higher season xG average, 1.60 to 1.28 per game. Al Taawon takes 11.3 shots per game, while Al Ahli takes 13.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Al Taawon leads at halftime in 42% of its games and scores 1.03 goals per game after halftime. Al Ahli leads at halftime in 45% and scores 1.19 after halftime.
When the teams score
Al Taawon's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (14 goals). For Al Ahli, it is minutes 76-90+ (16 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Professional League games average 3.04 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 57% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Ahli are the clear favorites: they have 22 wins this season versus Al Taawon’s 15 and have won 4 of their last 5, averaging 2.4 pts/match over the last five, while Al Taawon have won 2 of 5 and average 1.4 pts/match. The visitors’ defense makes the difference — Al Ahli concede just 0.67 goals on average away and record 67% clean sheets on the road, whereas the hosts concede 1.4 goals at home and have only 27% clean sheets. The home side do attack effectively at home: 1.8 goals per match with 12.67 shots and 4 on target, and a 14% conversion rate, compared to the visitors’ 1.33 goals away and 12% conversion, so Al Taawon are slightly more efficient in front of goal. xG also points to Al Ahli’s defensive edge — visitors’ average away xG for is 1.4 with xG against 0.88, while the hosts have xG for 1.39 and xG against 1.24, suggesting fewer high-quality chances for Al Taawon. Considering the visitors’ sustained strong form and the large gap in average goals conceded (0.67 vs 1.4) as well as Al Ahli’s 60% away win rate versus the hosts’ 47% home win rate, I predict an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The "yes" scenario is more likely: Al Taawon averages 2.63 goals per home game (xG_for 1.78), has a season BTTS rate of 63% and BTTS in the last 5 matches of 80%. Al Ahli averages 1.33 goals away (xG_for 1.4) this season and has scored an average of 2.0 goals in the last 5 matches, so they have realistic scoring potential despite a lower seasonal BTTS. Against this stands a high clean sheet rate for the away side (67%) and an average of 0.67 goals conceded by away teams per match, which reduces the likelihood of both teams scoring. Additionally, the league has a season BTTS of 59% and an average of 3.05 goals per game; the home side averages 6.06 shots on target and has a conversion rate of 18%, increasing the probability that Al Taawon will score, while xG stats (1.78 vs 1.4) also indicate chances for the visitors. Considering the home offensive superiority (2.63 vs 1.33), recent BTTS forms (80% vs 40% in the last 5) and the league’s 59% BTTS, I predict BTTS - Yes with approximately a 65% probability.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
My forecast is based on xG: Al Taawon generates 1.78 xG at home, Al Ahli has 1.40 xG away, and opponents’ defenses concede xG against of 0.88 (Al Ahli) and 1.06 (Al Taawon); combining these values and adjusting for approx. a 9% home advantage yields 1.45 expected goals for Al Taawon and 1.13 for Al Ahli (total 2.58). Seasonal averages confirm the home side’s offensive role: Al Taawon scores 2.63 goals on average at home and has 69% of matches Over 2.5, while Al Ahli scores 1.33 away and has only 27% Over 2.5 and 67% clean sheets on the road. A Poisson distribution for a total of 2.58 gives probabilities of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) ≈73%, Over 2.5 ≈48% and Over 3.5 ≈26%, consistent with seasonal rates (home Over1.5 94% vs away 47%, home Over2.5 69% vs away 27%). Additionally, Al Taawon has a higher shot conversion 18% vs 12% for Al Ahli and averages 14.5 shots per match vs 11.4 for the visitors, increasing the hosts’ scoring chances. For these reasons the strongest data signal is Over 1.5 (selection: over, line 1.5) — it has the highest probability (73%) and is supported by xG advantage and shot volume.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Al Taawon led at the break in 9 home matches (56%) and averages 0.94 goals scored and 0.50 conceded in the first half, while Al Ahli averages 0.67 scored and 0.20 conceded in the first half, giving the hosts an early advantage. Additionally, Al Taawon posts a higher xG of 1.78 versus the visitors' 1.4, more shots on target 6.06 vs 4.4 and a better conversion rate of 18% vs 12%, which increases the chance of a goal before the break. Over the full match the hosts score an average of 2.63 goals at home and win 81% of games, and in the second half they average 1.69 goals and have 75% wins in second halves; therefore the scenario of leading at the break and winning the match (1/1) looks strongest. At the same time Al Ahli have an 80% win rate and 67% clean sheets in their last 5 away matches, so I keep weight on alternatives X/1 (11%) and 2/2 (12%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Al Taawon | Al Ahli | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Al Ahli is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Al Taawon · 2 pts / game - Al Ahli
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Ahli is 9% better for: goals scored per game.
1.84 goals / game - Al Taawon · 2 goals / game - Al Ahli
Al Ahli is 78% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.32 goals / game - Al Taawon · 0.74 goals / game - Al Ahli
Al Taawon scores in 84% of games (26 of 31 meczów), while Al Ahli keeps a clean sheet in 52% (16 of 31 meczów).
Al Ahli scores in 90% of games (28 of 31 meczów), while Al Taawon keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 31 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Taawon
Over / Under - Al Ahli
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Ahli is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.58 pts / game - Al Taawon · 1.77 pts / game - Al Ahli
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Taawon - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 42% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Al Ahli - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 45% of games and wins 71%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +7 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Al Taawon
Al Ahli
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Professional League).
Teams vs league
| Al Taawon | Liga | Al Ahli | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.16 | 3.04 | ▼ 2.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 59% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 55% | 57% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 23% | ▲ 52% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 75% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 81% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Al Taawon's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Al Ahli. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Taawon vs Al Ahli?
The Professional League match finished Al Taawon 1:2 Al Ahli. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Taawon vs Al Ahli?
Al Taawon score 1.84 goals per game on average and Al Ahli 2.00. The Professional League average is 3.04 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Al Taawon's matches and 45% of Al Ahli's.
What form are Al Taawon and Al Ahli in?
Over the last 5 games Al Taawon have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Al Ahli 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Taawon vs Al Ahli?
The statistical background for Al Taawon vs Al Ahli — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.