Albion vs Nacional: match statistics
Albion vs Nacional: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Albion play Nacional in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 4 May 2026 at 01:00. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Albion: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Nacional: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Albion scores 1.50 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. Nacional scores 1.55 and concedes 1.30. League average: 2.42 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Albion 60%, Nacional 55%. Over 2.5: Albion 55%, Nacional 65%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Nacional has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.24. Albion: 9.7 shots per match, Nacional: 11.9.
Match halves
Albion: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.70. Nacional: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.85.
Goals by minute
Albion: 31-45+ (7 goals). Nacional: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.42 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I back the home win. Albion in the last 5 matches has a record of 3 wins and 2 draws, averaging 2.2 points per game and scoring 12 goals, while Nacional in that period has 2 wins and 3 losses, averaging 1.2 points, scored 11 goals but conceded as many as 12. Albion’s defense and game control favor them: the hosts concede an average of 1.43 goals at home (14 overall), while Nacional concedes 1.86 goals away (18 overall); additionally Albion has 56% possession vs 52% and more shots on target (5.14 vs 4.43). Albion scores on average 2.14 goals at home with an average xG of 1.45, indicating a higher finishing efficiency than xG suggests, whereas Nacional away has an average xG of 1.37 with 1.86 goals scored and a slightly lower shot conversion (17% vs 18%). Given Albion’s better form (2.2 vs 1.2 pts in the last 5), more stable home defence and greater chance creation, I favour the hosts, though I expect an open match with goals.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Albion | Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nacional is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Albion · 2 pts / match - Nacional
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Albion is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.05 goals / match - Albion · 1.3 goals / match - Nacional
Albion scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
Nacional scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Albion keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Albion
Over / Under — Nacional
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Albion is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / match - Albion · 1.3 pts / match - Nacional
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Albion - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Albion
Nacional
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Albion | Liga | Nacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.55 | 2.42 | ▲ 2.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 53% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 46% | ▲ 65% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 27% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 69% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 73% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Albion 0 - 0 - 1 Nacional. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Albion vs Nacional?
The Primera División match finished Albion 3:2 Nacional. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Albion vs Nacional?
Albion score 1.50 goals per game on average and Nacional 1.55. The Primera División average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Albion's matches and 55% of Nacional's.
What form are Albion and Nacional in?
Over the last 5 games Albion have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Nacional 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Albion vs Nacional?
The statistical background for Albion vs Nacional — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.