Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu: match statistics
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Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Albirex Niigata plays Sagan Tosu in J2 League (Japan). The game is scheduled for October 21, 2026. Venue: Denka Big Swan Stadium.
Recent form
Albirex Niigata has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Sagan Tosu has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Albirex Niigata scores 1.36 goals per game and allows 1.73. Sagan Tosu scores 1.00 and allows 1.18. Games in this league average 2.59 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 64% of Albirex Niigata's games and 36% of Sagan Tosu's. The Over 2.5 rates are 64% and 36%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Sagan Tosu has the higher season xG average, 1.70 to 1.42 per game. Albirex Niigata takes 11.7 shots per game, while Sagan Tosu takes 15.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Albirex Niigata leads at halftime in 18% of its games and scores 0.73 goals per game after halftime. Sagan Tosu leads at halftime in 27% and scores 0.64 after halftime.
When the teams score
Albirex Niigata's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). For Sagan Tosu, it is minutes 61-75 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
J2 League games average 2.59 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Albirex Niigata | Sagan Tosu | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Albirex Niigata is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Albirex Niigata · 1.2 pts / game - Sagan Tosu
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Albirex Niigata is 36% better for: goals scored per game.
1.36 goals / game - Albirex Niigata · 1 goals / game - Sagan Tosu
Sagan Tosu is 47% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.73 goals / game - Albirex Niigata · 1.18 goals / game - Sagan Tosu
Albirex Niigata scores in 82% of games (9 of 11 games), while Sagan Tosu keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 games).
Sagan Tosu scores in 64% of games (7 of 11 games), while Albirex Niigata keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Albirex Niigata
Over / Under - Sagan Tosu
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sagan Tosu is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.09 pts / game - Albirex Niigata · 1.45 pts / game - Sagan Tosu
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Albirex Niigata - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 55%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Sagan Tosu - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Albirex Niigata
Sagan Tosu
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J2 League).
Teams vs league
| Albirex Niigata | Liga | Sagan Tosu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.09 | 2.59 | ▼ 2.18 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 54% | ▼ 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 48% | ▼ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 27% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 68% | ▼ 45% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 78% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
When do Albirex Niigata and Sagan Tosu play?
Albirex Niigata face Sagan Tosu on October 21, 2026 in J2 League at Denka Big Swan Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu?
Albirex Niigata score 1.36 goals per game on average and Sagan Tosu 1.00. The J2 League average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Albirex Niigata's matches and 36% of Sagan Tosu's.
What form are Albirex Niigata and Sagan Tosu in?
Over the last 5 games Albirex Niigata have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Sagan Tosu 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu?
The statistical background for Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.