Alcione vs Renate: match statistics

Renate have shown clearly better form in their last five matches: they have won 3 games, scored 11 goals and averaged 2 points per match. Over the same period, Alcione have scored just 3 goals, recorded 1 win and suffered 2 defeats, averaging 1 point per game. The visitors’ attack is therefore significantly more effective, although their defense has conceded 9 goals in five matches, giving the hosts a chance to find the net. Alcione have conceded only 4 goals during this period, but their limited attacking output may not be enough against a Renate side that have won 3 of their last 4 matches without defeat. The superior quality of their recent results and an 8-goal advantage in scoring strongly point to an away win.

Renate have shown very strong attacking potential over their last five matches, scoring an average of 2.2 goals, while Alcione conceded 0.8 goals per game. Although the hosts scored only 3 goals during this period, averaging 0.6, Renate allowed opponents 1.8 goals per match and have an average xG against of 1.51. Alcione’s creative potential remains higher than their results alone suggest, with average xG of 1.47, while Renate generate 1.79 xG in attack. BTTS occurred in 40% of Alcione’s last five matches and in 60% of Renate’s games, so the stronger attacking signals and the visitors’ weaker defense slightly tilt the forecast towards BTTS - Yes.

Renate are in clearly better offensive form: they have scored 11 goals in their last five matches, averaging 2.2 per game, while Alcione have managed just 3 goals. At the same time, Renate have conceded an average of 1.8 goals, compared with 0.8 for Alcione, which should give the hosts a realistic chance of ending their poor scoring run. Both sides retain solid creative potential, with average xG figures from their last five matches of 1.47 for Alcione and 1.79 for Renate. Although only 20% of Alcione’s recent matches went over 2.5 goals, as many as 80% of Renate’s games reached that threshold, making Over 1.5 the safest pick.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Renate win at full-time, as both teams were level after 45 minutes in 40% of their last five matches. Alcione scored just 0.2 goals per match before the break and failed to score in the first half in 80% of those games, significantly limiting the hosts’ chances of taking an early lead. After the break, Renate averaged 1.4 goals compared with Alcione’s 0.4, while the visitors won the second half in 60% of their recent matches. Renate’s stronger current form, including a 60% win rate and an average of 2.2 goals scored per match compared with Alcione’s 0.6, supports the expectation that the balanced start will ultimately turn in the visitors’ favor.