England - National LeagueData current as of September 13, 2026

Aldershot Town vs Carlisle United: match statistics

125%(2.60)
X20%(3.60)
255%(1.80)

Carlisle United displays significantly better form and a higher league position (3rd place) compared to Aldershot Town (17th place). The visitors boast an impressive 59% away win rate and a positive goal difference (+3), whereas the hosts concede an average of 2 goals per home match and hold a negative goal difference (-3). Aldershot shows very poor home form with a 50% loss rate and only a 31% win rate, confirmed by a streak of defeats in recent home games. In their last 5 away matches, Carlisle has demonstrated stability (3 wins in the last 5 away fixtures with a form sequence of 'wwlwwlwdwwlwdlwlw'), alongside better defensive efficiency (averaging 1.29 goals conceded away). The xG statistics also favor the visitors, who, despite a similar xG For (1.57 vs 1.74), possess a significantly better xG Against (1.63 vs the hosts' 1.49), indicating a more balanced game.

Aldershot Town vs Carlisle United: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Aldershot Town played against Carlisle United in National League (England). The game was played on March 10, 2026. Final score: 0:2.

Recent form

Aldershot Town has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Carlisle United has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Aldershot Town scores 1.71 goals per game and allows 1.86. Carlisle United scores 1.83 and allows 1.22. Games in this league average 2.93 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 71% of Aldershot Town's games and 53% of Carlisle United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 74% and 61%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 57% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Carlisle United has the higher season xG average, 1.81 to 1.67 per game. Aldershot Town takes 12.9 shots per game, while Carlisle United takes 14.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Aldershot Town leads at halftime in 26% of its games and scores 1.09 goals per game after halftime. Carlisle United leads at halftime in 44% and scores 0.94 after halftime.

When the teams score

Aldershot Town's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (17 goals). For Carlisle United, it is minutes 16-30 (14 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

National League games average 2.93 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 57% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Carlisle United displays significantly better form and a higher league position (3rd place) compared to Aldershot Town (17th place). The visitors boast an impressive 59% away win rate and a positive goal difference (+3), whereas the hosts concede an average of 2 goals per home match and hold a negative goal difference (-3). Aldershot shows very poor home form with a 50% loss rate and only a 31% win rate, confirmed by a streak of defeats in recent home games. In their last 5 away matches, Carlisle has demonstrated stability (3 wins in the last 5 away fixtures with a form sequence of 'wwlwwlwdwwlwdlwlw'), alongside better defensive efficiency (averaging 1.29 goals conceded away). The xG statistics also favor the visitors, who, despite a similar xG For (1.57 vs 1.74), possess a significantly better xG Against (1.63 vs the hosts' 1.49), indicating a more balanced game.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

0 : 2
First half
0 : 0
Second half

Game stats

58Possession (%)42
Aldershot TownCarlisle United
14Shots11
Aldershot TownCarlisle United
2Shots on target7
Aldershot TownCarlisle United
1.59xG1.5
Aldershot TownCarlisle United
9Corners3
Aldershot TownCarlisle United
77Dangerous attacks42
Aldershot TownCarlisle United
10Fouls9
Aldershot TownCarlisle United
2Cards4
Aldershot TownCarlisle United

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Aldershot TownCarlisle United
1.71Goals scored / game1.83
Aldershot TownCarlisle United
1.86Goals allowed / game1.22
Aldershot TownCarlisle United
53%Average possession50%
Aldershot TownCarlisle United
4.54Shots on target / game5.97
Aldershot TownCarlisle United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.94Shots per game14.33
Aldershot TownCarlisle United
4.54Shots on target5.97
Aldershot TownCarlisle United
13.2%Shot conversion12.8%
Aldershot TownCarlisle United
53%Possession50%
Aldershot TownCarlisle United
1.67xG for1.81
Aldershot TownCarlisle United
1.54xG against1.45
Aldershot TownCarlisle United

Shooting quality

Aldershot Town: Efficient finishingCarlisle United: Attacking
Aldershot TownCarlisle United
Accuracy (shots on target)35%42%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Carlisle United is 11% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / game - Aldershot Town · 2 pts / game - Carlisle United

Aldershot Town
WWWLL
Season result split
31% W20% D49% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-7-17
1.14 pts / game · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-3-8
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
WLDWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.69Opponent xG: 1.14BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Carlisle United
WWLWD
Season result split
61% W17% D22% L
Season (W-D-L)
22-6-8
2.00 pts / game · goal difference +22
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
10-2-5
Last 5 away
2-1-2
DLWLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.51Opponent xG: 1.79BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Carlisle United is 7% better for: goals scored per game.

1.71 goals / game - Aldershot Town · 1.83 goals / game - Carlisle United

Carlisle United is 52% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.86 goals / game - Aldershot Town · 1.22 goals / game - Carlisle United

Aldershot Town scoring profile: very strong

Aldershot Town scores in 83% of games (29 of 35 meczów), while Carlisle United keeps a clean sheet in 33% (12 of 36 meczów).

Carlisle United scoring profile: very strong

Carlisle United scores in 86% of games (31 of 36 meczów), while Aldershot Town keeps a clean sheet in 14% (5 of 35 meczów).

60Goals scored (season)66
Aldershot TownCarlisle United
65Goals conceded (season)44
Aldershot TownCarlisle United
3.57Average goals per game3.06
Aldershot TownCarlisle United
8Goals scored (last 5)11
Aldershot TownCarlisle United
7Goals conceded (last 5)7
Aldershot TownCarlisle United

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal86%
Aldershot TownCarlisle United
54%2 goals58%
Aldershot TownCarlisle United
20%3 goals31%
Aldershot TownCarlisle United
11%4 goals6%
Aldershot TownCarlisle United

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal67%
Aldershot TownCarlisle United
54%2 goals33%
Aldershot TownCarlisle United
29%3 goals17%
Aldershot TownCarlisle United
11%4 goals3%
Aldershot TownCarlisle United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

57%
League average

Goal patterns

23%BTTS at half-time19%
Aldershot TownCarlisle United
6%BTTS in both halves8%
Aldershot TownCarlisle United
23%Scored in both halves28%
Aldershot TownCarlisle United

BTTS and goal count

66%Min. 3 goals and BTTS44%
Aldershot TownCarlisle United
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
Aldershot TownCarlisle United
80%BTTS - last 580%
Aldershot TownCarlisle United

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

74%Min. 1 goal before half-time78%
Aldershot TownCarlisle United
46%Min. 2 goals before half-time42%
Aldershot TownCarlisle United
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time25%
Aldershot TownCarlisle United

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time78%
Aldershot TownCarlisle United
63%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Aldershot TownCarlisle United
43%Min. 3 goals after half-time28%
Aldershot TownCarlisle United

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Carlisle United is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.14 pts / game - Aldershot Town · 1.61 pts / game - Carlisle United

Aldershot Town - half-time state
26% leading37% draw37% trailing
Carlisle United - half-time state
44% leading28% draw28% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.14Points per game (1st half)1.61
Aldershot TownCarlisle United
0.63Goals scored (1st half)0.89
Aldershot TownCarlisle United
0.83Goals conceded (1st half)0.56
Aldershot TownCarlisle United
1.46Average goals (1st half)1.44
Aldershot TownCarlisle United
46%Clean sheet before half-time58%
Aldershot TownCarlisle United
57%No goal before half-time44%
Aldershot TownCarlisle United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.34Points per game (2nd half)1.69
Aldershot TownCarlisle United
1.09Goals scored (2nd half)0.94
Aldershot TownCarlisle United
1.03Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
Aldershot TownCarlisle United
2.11Average goals (2nd half)1.61
Aldershot TownCarlisle United
29%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Aldershot TownCarlisle United
37%No goal after half-time42%
Aldershot TownCarlisle United

Aldershot Town - second-half results

34% W31% D34% L
40
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
47
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.14
PPG before half-time
Lead holding119%

Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 31%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Carlisle United - second-half results

47% W28% D25% L
58
Half-time points
32
Half-time goals
+12
Goal difference (1st half)
61
Second-half points
+10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.61
PPG before half-time
Lead holding139%

Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 61%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Aldershot Town - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.80
Goals scored / game0.80.8
Goals allowed / game0.80.6
Average goals per game1.61.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Carlisle United - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.000.80
Goals scored / game1.60.6
Goals allowed / game0.21.2
Average goals per game1.81.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+7-3
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 8

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Aldershot Town
ScoredConceded
7
9
0-15
7
12
16-30
8
8
31-45
9
13
46-60
12
14
61-75
17
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

Carlisle United
ScoredConceded
10
5
0-15
14
3
16-30
8
12
31-45
11
8
46-60
9
5
61-75
14
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (14 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.31
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.5 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
113%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
62%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-40%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
71%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Aldershot Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.32
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
108%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
138%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.66
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

Carlisle United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.36
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.25
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.23
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
136%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
77%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).

Teams vs league

Aldershot TownLigaCarlisle United
Average goals per game 3.572.93 3.06
Both teams scored 71%57% 53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 74%57% 61%
Clean sheets 14%24% 33%
Goal before half-time 74%72% 78%
Goal after half-time 86%81% 78%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.93
Average goals per game
57%
Both teams scored
57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.58
Home goals / game
1.35
Away goals / game
+17%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defensive advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Aldershot TownYellow cardOliver Scott
  2. Carlisle UnitedYellow cardRegan Linney
  3. Carlisle UnitedYellow cardLuke Thomas Armstrong
  4. Carlisle UnitedYellow cardHayden Atkinson
  5. Aldershot TownSubstitutionOn: Tyler Jayden FrostOff: Jed Meerholz
  6. Carlisle UnitedYellow cardGabriel Breeze
  7. Aldershot TownSubstitutionOn: Ryheem Leonard Cole ShecklefordOff: Brody Peart
  8. Aldershot TownYellow cardWilliam Nightingale

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

James DurkinMatches officiated: 10
4.3Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 230%Home wins30%Draws40%Away wins

Head-to-head

Record from Aldershot Town's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Carlisle United. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Carlisle United FC
2 : 0
Aldershot Town FC

FAQ

What was the result of Aldershot Town vs Carlisle United?

The National League match finished Aldershot Town 0:2 Carlisle United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Aldershot Town vs Carlisle United?

Aldershot Town score 1.71 goals per game on average and Carlisle United 1.83. The National League average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Aldershot Town's matches and 53% of Carlisle United's.

What form are Aldershot Town and Carlisle United in?

Over the last 5 games Aldershot Town have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Carlisle United 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aldershot Town vs Carlisle United?

The statistical background for Aldershot Town vs Carlisle United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.