Alemannia Aachen vs MSV Duisburg: match statistics
Alemannia Aachen vs MSV Duisburg: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Alemannia Aachen play MSV Duisburg in 3. Liga (Germany). The match date is 24 April 2026 at 19:00. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Alemannia Aachen: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. MSV Duisburg: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Alemannia Aachen scores 2.00 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. MSV Duisburg scores 1.74 and concedes 1.29. League average: 3.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Alemannia Aachen 71%, MSV Duisburg 66%. Over 2.5: Alemannia Aachen 74%, MSV Duisburg 63%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Alemannia Aachen: 12.4 shots per match, MSV Duisburg: 12.4.
Match halves
Alemannia Aachen: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.03. MSV Duisburg: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 1.03.
Goals by minute
Alemannia Aachen: 16-30 (15 goals). MSV Duisburg: 76-90+ (17 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3. Liga: 3.21 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I predict a home win (1). Alemannia Aachen creates more opportunities at home: average home xG 1.57 vs MSV’s 1.38 xG on the road, and average shots on target 4.63 vs 3.94 for the visitors. In the last 5 matches the hosts scored 12 goals (2.4 per game) and have 4 wins and 1 draw, averaging 2.6 points per game, while MSV scored 10 goals (2.0 per game) and recorded 4 wins and 1 loss (2.4 points per game). Defensively the edge is with MSV: over the season MSV conceded 44 goals vs 54 for Alemannia, and away they concede 1.59 goals per game vs 1.69 conceded by the hosts; additionally MSV have 41% clean sheets away compared to 19% for Aachen. Conversion differences are marginal (shot conversion 12% for Aachen vs 13% for MSV), and overall goals average is 3.25 for Aachen’s home matches vs 3.06 in MSV’s away games, so I expect an open game with a slight home advantage driven by a higher volume of created chances.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Alemannia Aachen | MSV Duisburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Alemannia Aachen is 63% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Alemannia Aachen · 1.6 pts / match - MSV Duisburg
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Alemannia Aachen is 15% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Alemannia Aachen · 1.74 goals / match - MSV Duisburg
MSV Duisburg is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Alemannia Aachen · 1.29 goals / match - MSV Duisburg
Alemannia Aachen scores in 82% of matches (31 of 38 matches), while MSV Duisburg keeps a clean sheet in 29% (11 of 38 matches).
MSV Duisburg scores in 79% of matches (30 of 38 matches), while Alemannia Aachen keeps a clean sheet in 13% (5 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Alemannia Aachen
Over / Under — MSV Duisburg
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Alemannia Aachen is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.76 pts / match - Alemannia Aachen · 1.39 pts / match - MSV Duisburg
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Alemannia Aachen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
MSV Duisburg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Alemannia Aachen
MSV Duisburg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Alemannia Aachen | Liga | MSV Duisburg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.50 | 3.21 | ▼ 3.03 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 64% | ▲ 66% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 74% | 64% | • 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 21% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 84% | 77% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | • 84% | 83% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Alemannia Aachen 0 - 0 - 1 MSV Duisburg. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Alemannia Aachen vs MSV Duisburg?
The 3. Liga match finished Alemannia Aachen 3:1 MSV Duisburg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Alemannia Aachen vs MSV Duisburg?
Alemannia Aachen score 2.00 goals per game on average and MSV Duisburg 1.74. The 3. Liga average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Alemannia Aachen's matches and 66% of MSV Duisburg's.
What form are Alemannia Aachen and MSV Duisburg in?
Over the last 5 games Alemannia Aachen have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and MSV Duisburg 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Alemannia Aachen vs MSV Duisburg?
The statistical background for Alemannia Aachen vs MSV Duisburg — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.