Alemannia Aachen vs Verl: match statistics

Alemannia Aachen lead the home standings and are showing clearly stronger current form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches and drawn one. During this period, they scored 16 goals, averaging 3.2 per match, while conceding just 4. Verl have won only 2 of their last 5 games and suffered 3 defeats, scoring 7 goals and conceding 8. The hosts have also collected more than twice as many points over the last five matchdays—2.6 compared with 1.2—which confirms their greater consistency. The difference in attacking efficiency, combined with Aachen’s significantly more stable defense, points to a home win.

The strongest signal for BTTS - No comes from Verl, whose last 5 matches have not seen both teams score a single time, while Alemannia recorded BTTS - Yes in 80% of cases. Aachen are in excellent attacking form, scoring an average of 3.2 goals and 16 goals in total across their five matches, so their goal looks highly likely. The visitors have averaged 1.4 goals with an xG of 1.54, but they are facing a team conceding only 0.8 goals per match and allowing opponents an xG of 1.04. Verl concede an average of 1.6 goals, so the most likely scenario appears to be a home win to nil, meaning BTTS - No.

The strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals, as both teams have been involved in matches featuring at least three goals in 80% of their last five fixtures. Alemannia Aachen scored 16 goals during this period, averaging 3.2 per match, while Verl conceded an average of 1.6 goals, clearly supporting the hosts’ attacking potential. Verl scored 7 goals in five appearances, whereas Aachen conceded just 4, which is why the projection for the visitors is lower at 1.05 goals. The combined xG from the last five matches points to attacking activity from both sides: 1.38 for Aachen and 1.54 for Verl, although the hosts’ exceptionally high finishing efficiency should partially regress towards the mean. A projected total of 2.70 goals gives a clear edge to Over 1.5, while the 2.5 line remains considerably more balanced.

Alemannia Aachen are in excellent form: across their last five matches, they have scored an average of 3.2 goals and conceded just 0.8, while Verl have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. The hosts won four of those five matches and remained unbeaten, whereas Verl suffered three defeats. Before the break, Aachen averaged 1.2 goals scored and just 0.4 conceded, taking a lead at the break in 60% of their matches, which supports the home-side advantage in the first half. Their advantage should be maintained after the interval, as Aachen averaged 2.0 goals scored and 0.4 conceded in second halves, compared with Verl’s average of 0.75 goals scored during that period.