Alianza Lima vs UCV Moquegua: match statistics
Alianza Lima vs UCV Moquegua: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Alianza Lima play UCV Moquegua in Primera División (Peru). The match date is 3 May 2026 at 03:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Alianza Lima: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. UCV Moquegua: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Alianza Lima scores 1.78 and concedes 0.50 goals per match. UCV Moquegua scores 1.06 and concedes 1.44. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Alianza Lima 44%, UCV Moquegua 50%. Over 2.5: Alianza Lima 39%, UCV Moquegua 67%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Alianza Lima has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.13. Alianza Lima: 14.1 shots per match, UCV Moquegua: 10.4.
Match halves
Alianza Lima: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.94. UCV Moquegua: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Alianza Lima: 76-90+ (10 goals). UCV Moquegua: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
I back the home win ('1') because Alianza Lima averages 3.2 goals per home game and has a 100% home win rate (9 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses). Defensively the hosts are very solid: they concede just 0.4 goals on average at home and kept a clean sheet in 60% of matches, whereas UCV Moquegua concedes 1.83 goals on average away and has only a 17% clean sheet rate. In attack and chance quality Alianza holds a clear advantage — 20 shots per game (8 on target) at home versus 9.17 (3.5 on target) for the visitors, with home xG 2.12 vs away xG 1.02. Trends confirm the gap: Alianza scored 12 goals in the last 5 matches and won 4 of 5 (at home a 5/5 run), UCV have 9 goals in the last 5 and 3 wins, but 67% of their away games end without scoring. Based on this I estimate the probabilities as 80% home win, 12% draw and 8% away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Alianza Lima | UCV Moquegua | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Alianza Lima is 267% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Alianza Lima · 0.6 pts / match - UCV Moquegua
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Alianza Lima is 68% better for: goals scored per match.
1.78 goals / match - Alianza Lima · 1.06 goals / match - UCV Moquegua
Alianza Lima is 188% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.5 goals / match - Alianza Lima · 1.44 goals / match - UCV Moquegua
Alianza Lima scores in 89% of matches (16 of 18 matches), while UCV Moquegua keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
UCV Moquegua scores in 61% of matches (11 of 18 matches), while Alianza Lima keeps a clean sheet in 50% (9 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Alianza Lima
Over / Under — UCV Moquegua
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Alianza Lima is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.83 pts / match - Alianza Lima · 1.22 pts / match - UCV Moquegua
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Alianza Lima - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 72%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
UCV Moquegua - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Alianza Lima
UCV Moquegua
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Alianza Lima | Liga | UCV Moquegua | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.28 | 2.67 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 53% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 24% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 65% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 80% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Alianza Lima vs UCV Moquegua?
The Primera División match finished Alianza Lima 2:1 UCV Moquegua. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Alianza Lima vs UCV Moquegua?
Alianza Lima score 1.78 goals per game on average and UCV Moquegua 1.06. The Primera División average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Alianza Lima's matches and 50% of UCV Moquegua's.
What form are Alianza Lima and UCV Moquegua in?
Over the last 5 games Alianza Lima have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and UCV Moquegua 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Alianza Lima vs UCV Moquegua?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.