Almagro vs Deportivo Morón: match statistics
Deportivo Morón is in significantly better form with four wins in their last five matches and an impressive record of 10 goals scored while conceding only 3. The visitors remain unbeaten away this season, recording 50% wins and 50% draws, which translates to a solid 2.6 points per game. Almagro, on the other hand, is struggling with issues, particularly in attack, where they average only 0.5 goals per game at home and fail to score in half of their home matches. The higher xG for the visitors (1.58 vs 1.21) along with a significantly better shot accuracy (17% vs 6%) further supports Deportivo Morón. Considering all statistics, the visitors are the clear favorites for this match.
Almagro vs Deportivo Morón: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Almagro played against Deportivo Morón in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The game was played on March 28, 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
Almagro has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Deportivo Morón has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Almagro scores 0.40 goals per game and allows 0.80. Deportivo Morón scores 2.00 and allows 0.80. Games in this league average 1.84 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 20% of Almagro's games and 60% of Deportivo Morón's. The Over 2.5 rates are 0% and 40%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 32% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Deportivo Morón has the higher season xG average, 1.62 to 1.12 per game. Almagro takes 6.8 shots per game, while Deportivo Morón takes 12.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Almagro leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.40 goals per game after halftime. Deportivo Morón leads at halftime in 40% and scores 1.40 after halftime.
When the teams score
Almagro's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (1 goals). For Deportivo Morón, it is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Prim B Nacional games average 1.84 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 32% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Deportivo Morón is in significantly better form with four wins in their last five matches and an impressive record of 10 goals scored while conceding only 3. The visitors remain unbeaten away this season, recording 50% wins and 50% draws, which translates to a solid 2.6 points per game. Almagro, on the other hand, is struggling with issues, particularly in attack, where they average only 0.5 goals per game at home and fail to score in half of their home matches. The higher xG for the visitors (1.58 vs 1.21) along with a significantly better shot accuracy (17% vs 6%) further supports Deportivo Morón. Considering all statistics, the visitors are the clear favorites for this match.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument against BTTS is the offensive decline of Almagro in their last 5 matches: an average of 0.4 goals and only 20% of matches featuring BTTS. Deportivo Morón boasts solid defensive metrics (50% clean sheets for the season and just 0.6 goals conceded per match in the last 5), which reduces the likelihood of the hosts finding the net. Meanwhile, the visitors are in excellent form ('dwwww') and have been scoring an average of 2.0 goals in their last 5 outings, while Almagro concedes a high xG against (1.61 in last5), making a Morón goal look probable. Although Almagro's seasonal BTTS rate (67%) and both teams' lack of FTS suggest some potential for goals, the current form trends and Morón's defense shift the advantage towards a scenario where both teams do NOT score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The league's goal average is low (1.88), and the percentage of matches with Over 2.5 goals is only 32%, which naturally supports under lines. Almagro has been averaging just 0.4 goals in their last 5 matches and has a 0% Over 2.5 record, even though their season-long home xG (1.65) suggests a potential that has recently declined significantly (last5 xG for 1.04). Deportivo Morón is in good form (WWWWW), scoring 2.0 goals per match in their last 5 games, but simultaneously conceding little (0.6). Their season CS% is 50%, which limits the risk of a 'goal-fest'. The xG matchup (home xG for 1.65 vs away xG against 1.12, and away xG for 1.58 vs home xG against 0.99) indicates a moderate level of scoring opportunities, closer to 2–3 goals than 4+. Therefore, the strongest signal is Under 3.5, which secures the bet even with a 2:1 or 1:2 scoreline, and the league data and the visitors' defensive solidity support such a scenario.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The key signal is current form: Almagro has only 1.0 PPG and averages 0.4 goals in their last 5 matches, while Deportivo Morón boasts 2.6 PPG with 2.0 goals per match and a 'dwwww' series run. In first halves, Almagro in their last5 fails to score (scoredAVGHT 0.0) and trails at the break in a significant 60% of cases, whereas Morón leads at half-time in 60% of their last5 (last5_leadingAtHT). Defensively, Morón is solid (seasonConcededAVG 0.5, CS 50%), which, coupled with the league's low-scoring profile and high clean sheet rate (CS 74%), strengthens the away win scenario. At the same time, the average xG is similar (1.65 vs 1.58), so a closely contested match is the most likely outcome, but with Morón holding the edge due to better second-half efficiency and score control (wins_2hg_percentage 100%, cs_2hg_percentage 100%). Therefore, I rate the 2/2 variant the highest, and see X/2 and 2/X as alternatives in case of a prolonged stalemate or a late equalizer by the hosts.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Almagro | Deportivo Morón | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.17 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Deportivo Morón is 120% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Almagro · 2.2 pts / game - Deportivo Morón
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Deportivo Morón is 400% better for: goals scored per game.
0.4 goals / game - Almagro · 2 goals / game - Deportivo Morón
Almagro scores in 40% of games (2 of 5 meczów), while Deportivo Morón keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 meczów).
Deportivo Morón scores in 100% of games (5 of 5 meczów), while Almagro keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Almagro
Over / Under - Deportivo Morón
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportivo Morón is 250% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.4 pts / game - Almagro · 1.4 pts / game - Deportivo Morón
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Almagro - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Deportivo Morón - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 60%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +6 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Almagro
Deportivo Morón
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| Almagro | Liga | Deportivo Morón | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.20 | 1.84 | ▲ 2.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 20% | 41% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 32% | ▲ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 38% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 62% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 71% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Almagro vs Deportivo Morón?
The Prim B Nacional match finished Almagro 2:0 Deportivo Morón. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Almagro vs Deportivo Morón?
Almagro score 0.40 goals per game on average and Deportivo Morón 2.00. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 32% of games. Both teams score in 20% of Almagro's matches and 60% of Deportivo Morón's.
What form are Almagro and Deportivo Morón in?
Over the last 5 games Almagro have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Deportivo Morón 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Almagro vs Deportivo Morón?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Almagro vs Deportivo Morón: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.