Netherlands - Eerste DivisieYanmar StadionData current as of September 18, 2026

Almere City vs Heracles: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Almere City vs Heracles: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Almere City plays Heracles in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The game is scheduled for September 18, 2026. Venue: Yanmar Stadion.

Recent form

Almere City has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Heracles has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, with 3.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Almere City scores 2.50 goals per game and allows 0.67. Heracles scores 4.00 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 3.83 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Almere City's games and 83% of Heracles's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 100%, compared with league averages of 75% for BTTS and 72% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Heracles has the higher season xG average, 2.40 to 1.85 per game. Almere City takes 16.7 shots per game, while Heracles takes 21.2.

First-half and second-half trends

Almere City leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 2.17 goals per game after halftime. Heracles leads at halftime in 83% and scores 2.00 after halftime.

When the teams score

Almere City's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For Heracles, it is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Eerste Divisie games average 3.83 goals. Both teams score in 75% of games, and 72% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(3.20)
(3.85)
(1.99)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

2.5Goals scored / game4
Almere CityHeracles
0.67Goals allowed / game1.5
Almere CityHeracles
41%Average possession55%
Almere CityHeracles
6.83Shots on target / game9.17
Almere CityHeracles

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

16.67Shots per game21.17
Almere CityHeracles
6.83Shots on target9.17
Almere CityHeracles
15%Shot conversion18.9%
Almere CityHeracles
41%Possession55%
Almere CityHeracles
1.85xG for2.4
Almere CityHeracles
1.87xG against1.17
Almere CityHeracles

Shooting quality

Almere City: Counter-attackingHeracles: Dominant
Almere CityHeracles
Accuracy (shots on target)41%43%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.44

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Heracles is 25% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / game - Almere City · 3 pts / game - Heracles

Almere City
WWWLW
Season result split
67% W17% D17% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-1
2.17 pts / game · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Last 5 at home
1-0-1
WL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.79Opponent xG: 1.89BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
Heracles
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
100% W0% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-0-0
3.00 pts / game · goal difference +15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-0-0
Last 5 away
3-0-0
WWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 4.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 2.38Opponent xG: 1.17BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Heracles is 60% better for: goals scored per game.

2.5 goals / game - Almere City · 4 goals / game - Heracles

Almere City is 124% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.67 goals / game - Almere City · 1.5 goals / game - Heracles

Almere City scoring profile: very strong

Almere City scores in 83% of games (5 of 6 games), while Heracles keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 games).

Heracles scoring profile: very strong

Heracles scores in 100% of games (6 of 6 games), while Almere City keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 games).

15Goals scored (season)24
Almere CityHeracles
4Goals conceded (season)9
Almere CityHeracles
3.17Average goals per game5.5
Almere CityHeracles
14Goals scored (last 5)20
Almere CityHeracles
3Goals conceded (last 5)6
Almere CityHeracles

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal100%
Almere CityHeracles
67%2 goals100%
Almere CityHeracles
67%3 goals100%
Almere CityHeracles
33%4 goals50%
Almere CityHeracles

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal83%
Almere CityHeracles
0%2 goals50%
Almere CityHeracles
0%3 goals17%
Almere CityHeracles
0%4 goals0%
Almere CityHeracles

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time17%
Almere CityHeracles
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Almere CityHeracles
33%Scored in both halves100%
Almere CityHeracles

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS83%
Almere CityHeracles
33%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
Almere CityHeracles
40%BTTS - last 580%
Almere CityHeracles

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

33%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
Almere CityHeracles
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time67%
Almere CityHeracles
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time33%
Almere CityHeracles

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Almere CityHeracles
83%Min. 2 goals after half-time100%
Almere CityHeracles
50%Min. 3 goals after half-time67%
Almere CityHeracles

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Heracles is 150% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / game - Almere City · 2.5 pts / game - Heracles

Almere City - half-time state
0% leading100% draw0% trailing
Heracles - half-time state
83% leading0% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per game (1st half)2.5
Almere CityHeracles
0.33Goals scored (1st half)2
Almere CityHeracles
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
Almere CityHeracles
0.67Average goals (1st half)2.33
Almere CityHeracles
67%Clean sheet before half-time83%
Almere CityHeracles
67%No goal before half-time0%
Almere CityHeracles

After half-time (2nd half)

2.17Points per game (2nd half)1.83
Almere CityHeracles
2.17Goals scored (2nd half)2
Almere CityHeracles
0.33Goals conceded (2nd half)1.17
Almere CityHeracles
2.5Average goals (2nd half)3.17
Almere CityHeracles
67%Clean sheet after half-time33%
Almere CityHeracles
17%No goal after half-time0%
Almere CityHeracles

Almere City - second-half results

67% W17% D17% L
6
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Heracles - second-half results

50% W33% D17% L
15
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+10
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding120%

Leads at halftime in 83% of games and wins 100%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.8

Allows 0.8 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Almere City - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.002.40
Goals scored / game0.42.4
Goals allowed / game0.40.2
Average goals per game0.82.6
1 goal40%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference0+11
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Heracles - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.402.20
Goals scored / game2.02.0
Goals allowed / game0.40.8
Average goals per game2.42.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%100%
3 goals40%60%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal0%0%
Goal difference+8+6
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 10

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Almere City
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
1
0
16-30
0
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
5
1
61-75
6
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

Heracles
ScoredConceded
4
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
8
1
31-45
2
2
46-60
6
1
61-75
4
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

4.33
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
2.0 : 2.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
113%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
67%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
83%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
4+
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Almere City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.85
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.65
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+1.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
122%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
38%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.8
Late goals
40% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
40%

Heracles

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+1.60
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.33
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
225%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
73%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).

Teams vs league

Almere CityLigaHeracles
Average goals per game 3.173.83 5.50
Both teams scored 50%75% 83%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 67%72% 100%
Clean sheets 33%13% 17%
Goal before half-time 33%80% 100%
Goal after half-time 100%89% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.83
Average goals per game
75%
Both teams scored
72%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
13%
Clean sheets
2.05
Home goals / game
1.78
Away goals / game
+15%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defensive advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
89%
1 goal
63%
2 goals
36%
3 goals
20%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Almere City and Heracles play?

Almere City face Heracles on September 18, 2026 in Eerste Divisie at Yanmar Stadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Almere City vs Heracles?

Almere City score 2.50 goals per game on average and Heracles 4.00. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 72% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Almere City's matches and 83% of Heracles's.

What form are Almere City and Heracles in?

Over the last 5 games Almere City have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Heracles 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Almere City vs Heracles?

The statistical background for Almere City vs Heracles — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.