Almería vs Ceuta: match statistics
Almería displays significantly better home form with a 55% win rate and an impressive average of 2.18 goals per game at home, while Ceuta wins only 18% of their away matches. The hosts possess far superior offensive statistics, averaging 7 shots on target and 17.45 total shots per match with a 13% conversion rate, which exceeds Ceuta's modest 2.64 shots on target per game on the road. The difference in xG is also clear – 1.97 for Almería versus 1.04 for the visitors, confirming the home side's qualitative advantage. Ceuta has a negative goal difference of -7 away from home and a high 36% of matches without scoring a goal, which, against Almería's solid defense (27% clean sheets), limits their chances. Despite the hosts' recent poor run, their dominance in home matches and clear statistical superiority point towards their victory.
Almería vs Ceuta: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Almería played against Ceuta in Segunda División (Spain). The game was played on February 1, 2026. Final score: 4:2.
Recent form
Almería has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Ceuta has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Almería scores 1.78 goals per game and allows 1.43. Ceuta scores 1.22 and allows 1.30. Games in this league average 2.53 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 70% of Almería's games and 52% of Ceuta's. The Over 2.5 rates are 70% and 52%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Almería has the higher season xG average, 1.71 to 1.31 per game. Almería takes 15.5 shots per game, while Ceuta takes 11.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Almería leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 1.04 goals per game after halftime. Ceuta leads at halftime in 30% and scores 0.57 after halftime.
When the teams score
Almería's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). For Ceuta, it is minutes 0-15 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Segunda División games average 2.53 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Almería displays significantly better home form with a 55% win rate and an impressive average of 2.18 goals per game at home, while Ceuta wins only 18% of their away matches. The hosts possess far superior offensive statistics, averaging 7 shots on target and 17.45 total shots per match with a 13% conversion rate, which exceeds Ceuta's modest 2.64 shots on target per game on the road. The difference in xG is also clear – 1.97 for Almería versus 1.04 for the visitors, confirming the home side's qualitative advantage. Ceuta has a negative goal difference of -7 away from home and a high 36% of matches without scoring a goal, which, against Almería's solid defense (27% clean sheets), limits their chances. Despite the hosts' recent poor run, their dominance in home matches and clear statistical superiority point towards their victory.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Almería | Ceuta | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Ceuta is 125% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Almería · 1.8 pts / game - Ceuta
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Almería is 46% better for: goals scored per game.
1.78 goals / game - Almería · 1.22 goals / game - Ceuta
Ceuta is 10% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.43 goals / game - Almería · 1.3 goals / game - Ceuta
Almería scores in 91% of games (21 of 23 meczów), while Ceuta keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 meczów).
Ceuta scores in 74% of games (17 of 23 meczów), while Almería keeps a clean sheet in 26% (6 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Almería
Over / Under - Ceuta
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Almería is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.48 pts / game - Almería · 1.22 pts / game - Ceuta
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Almería - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Ceuta - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Almería
Ceuta
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Segunda División).
Teams vs league
| Almería | Liga | Ceuta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.22 | 2.53 | • 2.52 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 55% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 70% | 49% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 28% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 65% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 75% | ▼ 57% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Almería's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Ceuta. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Almería vs Ceuta?
The Segunda División match finished Almería 4:2 Ceuta. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Almería vs Ceuta?
Almería score 1.78 goals per game on average and Ceuta 1.22. The Segunda División average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Almería's matches and 52% of Ceuta's.
What form are Almería and Ceuta in?
Over the last 5 games Almería have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Ceuta 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Almería vs Ceuta?
The statistical background for Almería vs Ceuta — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.