Almería vs Málaga CF: match statistics
Almería vs Málaga CF: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Almería play Málaga CF in Segunda División (Spain). The match date is 19 April 2026 at 21:00. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Almería: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Málaga CF: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Almería scores 1.87 and concedes 1.48 goals per match. Málaga CF scores 1.72 and concedes 1.17. League average: 2.63 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Almería 72%, Málaga CF 61%. Over 2.5: Almería 70%, Málaga CF 57%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Almería has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.60. Almería: 15.2 shots per match, Málaga CF: 13.9.
Match halves
Almería: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.04. Málaga CF: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Almería: 76-90+ (22 goals). Málaga CF: 76-90+ (22 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Segunda División: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 0-1-2. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 67%.
Match description
Almería is the favorite in this match: the hosts score on average 2.53 goals per home game, while Málaga averages only 1.24 goals away. At home Almería averages 17.29 shots and 6.88 shots on target with a conversion rate of 15%, compared to Málaga’s 11.82 shots and 3.82 on target with a 10% conversion, giving the hosts a clear advantage in both quantity and quality of chances. In terms of chance quality Almería’s home xG is 1.93, while Málaga generates an average away xG of 1.34 and their opponents’ average xG against them on the road is 1.60, indicating Almería creates better opportunities than the visitors’ defense typically concedes. Form is similar for both teams (1.8 points over the last 5 matches each), but Almería have won 3 of their last 5 matches, whereas Málaga are on a 5-game unbeaten run (2 wins, 3 draws), providing the visitors stability at the cost of less offensive edge. Additionally, a 71% home win rate for Almería versus a 35% away win rate for Málaga, and only 6% of Almería’s home games without scoring (versus 24% FTS for Málaga away) support a home victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Almería | Málaga CF | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Málaga CF is 38% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Almería · 2.2 pts / match - Málaga CF
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Almería is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
1.87 goals / match - Almería · 1.72 goals / match - Málaga CF
Málaga CF is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.48 goals / match - Almería · 1.17 goals / match - Málaga CF
Almería scores in 87% of matches (40 of 46 matches), while Málaga CF keeps a clean sheet in 28% (13 of 46 matches).
Málaga CF scores in 85% of matches (39 of 46 matches), while Almería keeps a clean sheet in 22% (10 of 46 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Almería
Over / Under — Málaga CF
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Málaga CF is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Almería · 1.57 pts / match - Málaga CF
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Almería - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Málaga CF - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (22 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (24). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (22 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Almería
Málaga CF
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Segunda División).
Teams vs league
| Almería | Liga | Málaga CF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.35 | 2.63 | ▲ 2.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 72% | 56% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 70% | 50% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 26% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 68% | • 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 75% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Almería 0 - 1 - 2 Málaga CF. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Almería vs Málaga CF?
The Segunda División match finished Almería 3:2 Málaga CF. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Almería and Málaga CF?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Almería won 0, Málaga CF won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Almería vs Málaga CF?
Almería score 1.87 goals per game on average and Málaga CF 1.72. The Segunda División average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 72% of Almería's matches and 61% of Málaga CF's.
What form are Almería and Málaga CF in?
Over the last 5 games Almería have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Málaga CF 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Almería vs Málaga CF?
The statistical background for Almería vs Málaga CF — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.