Altay vs Aktobe: match statistics
Altay vs Aktobe: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Altay play Aktobe in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match date is 19 July 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 2:4.
Current form
Altay: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Aktobe: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Altay scores 0.78 and concedes 1.22 goals per match. Aktobe scores 1.44 and concedes 1.11. League average: 2.31 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Altay 44%, Aktobe 44%. Over 2.5: Altay 28%, Aktobe 39%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Aktobe has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.25. Altay: 10.7 shots per match, Aktobe: 12.9.
Match halves
Altay: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.61. Aktobe: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.94.
Goals by minute
Altay: 76-90+ (7 goals). Aktobe: 46-60 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.31 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Altay at home averages 10.67 shots, including 4 on target, scoring 0.67 goals with an xG of 1.26 and conceding 0.89 goals, which indicates chance creation with low finishing. Despite that, the hosts have won only 11% of home matches and 56% of their home games end in draws, highlighting the defensive nature of their performances. Aktobe away averages 8.57 shots and 2.71 on target, scores 0.71 goals with an xG of 0.99 but concedes 1.57 goals on average; their away record is 0% wins and 71% losses. In the last 5 matches Altay have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses (PPG 1.4), while Aktobe have 3 wins and 2 losses (PPG 1.8), so the visitors are in better form, but that does not offset their away weaknesses and lack of clean sheets (Aktobe CS 0% vs Altay CS 44%). Therefore I forecast a draw as the most likely outcome, with a moderate chance of a narrow home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Altay | Aktobe | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.19 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Aktobe is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Altay · 1.8 pts / match - Aktobe
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aktobe is 85% better for: goals scored per match.
0.78 goals / match - Altay · 1.44 goals / match - Aktobe
Aktobe is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.22 goals / match - Altay · 1.11 goals / match - Aktobe
Altay scores in 56% of matches (10 of 18 matches), while Aktobe keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 matches).
Aktobe scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Altay keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Altay
Over / Under — Aktobe
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Aktobe is 108% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.72 pts / match - Altay · 1.5 pts / match - Aktobe
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Altay - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Aktobe - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Altay
Aktobe
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Altay | Liga | Aktobe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.31 | ▲ 2.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 52% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 28% | 42% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | • 28% | 29% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 62% | • 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 61% | 70% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Altay 0 - 0 - 1 Aktobe. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Altay vs Aktobe?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Altay 2:4 Aktobe. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Altay vs Aktobe?
Altay score 0.78 goals per game on average and Aktobe 1.44. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Altay's matches and 44% of Aktobe's.
What form are Altay and Aktobe in?
Over the last 5 games Altay have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Aktobe 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Altay vs Aktobe?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.