Altay vs Astana: match statistics
Altay vs Astana: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Altay play Astana in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match date is 27 May 2026 at 13:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Altay: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Astana: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Altay scores 0.71 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Astana scores 1.47 and concedes 1.12. League average: 2.27 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Altay 41%, Astana 47%. Over 2.5: Altay 24%, Astana 47%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 41%.
xG, shots and style
Astana has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.23. Altay: 10.6 shots per match, Astana: 15.5.
Match halves
Altay: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.53. Astana: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Altay: 76-90+ (6 goals). Astana: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.27 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 41%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Astana are favorites due to significantly superior chance creation: the visitors average 14.8 shots per away match (4.8 on target) and xG 1.59, whereas Altay at home record 9.33 shots (2.83 on target) and xG 1.07. However, Altay possess a solid home defence — conceding only 0.67 goals per match and keeping a clean sheet in 50% of games, while Astana concede 1.6 goals away and have only 20% clean sheets. The hosts also have huge attacking problems: just 0.17 goals per home match on average and fail to score in 83% of home fixtures. Last five-match forms are not decisive but slightly favor Astana (1.2 points per match and 2 wins in the last 5) over Altay (1.0 point per match and 1 win), and a possession advantage of 59% versus 42% increases the visitors’ chances. As a result I predict an Astana win, while acknowledging low finishing quality from both sides — estimated probabilities: 55% for the visitors, 30% draw, 15% for Altay.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Altay | Astana | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Astana is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Altay · 2 pts / match - Astana
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Astana is 107% better for: goals scored per match.
0.71 goals / match - Altay · 1.47 goals / match - Astana
Altay is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.06 goals / match - Altay · 1.12 goals / match - Astana
Altay scores in 53% of matches (9 of 17 matches), while Astana keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).
Astana scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while Altay keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Altay
Over / Under — Astana
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Astana is 109% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.76 pts / match - Altay · 1.59 pts / match - Astana
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Altay - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Astana - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Altay
Astana
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Altay | Liga | Astana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.76 | 2.27 | ▲ 2.59 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 51% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 24% | 41% | ▲ 47% |
| Clean sheets | • 29% | 30% | • 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 62% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 59% | 70% | • 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Altay vs Astana?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Altay 1:1 Astana. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Altay vs Astana?
Altay score 0.71 goals per game on average and Astana 1.47. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Altay's matches and 47% of Astana's.
What form are Altay and Astana in?
Over the last 5 games Altay have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Astana 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Altay vs Astana?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.