Aluminij vs Celje: match statistics
Celje are the clear favorite in this match, sitting top of the table with an impressive record of 15 wins, 5 draws, and only 2 defeats. The visitors have been unbeaten away from home for a considerable time, winning 64% of their away matches and scoring an average of 2.82 goals per game. Aluminij are in poor home form with just a 30% win rate and a negative goal difference (-4), losing 50% of their home matches. The difference in ball possession quality (49% vs 63%) and shooting accuracy (14% vs 21%) further favors Celje. Considering that Celje have not had a single away game without scoring this season, we expect them to secure a confident victory, although the hosts' decent scoring form could make the match more open than the class difference suggests.
Aluminij vs Celje: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Aluminij played against Celje in PrvaLiga (Slovenia). The game was played on February 22, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Aluminij has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Celje has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Aluminij scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 1.73. Celje scores 2.52 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 3.17 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 77% of Aluminij's games and 57% of Celje's. The Over 2.5 rates are 77% and 74%, compared with league averages of 61% for BTTS and 65% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Celje has the higher season xG average, 1.89 to 1.40 per game. Aluminij takes 10.1 shots per game, while Celje takes 15.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Aluminij leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 0.95 goals per game after halftime. Celje leads at halftime in 52% and scores 1.52 after halftime.
When the teams score
Aluminij's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (15 goals). For Celje, it is minutes 76-90+ (16 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
PrvaLiga games average 3.17 goals. Both teams score in 61% of games, and 65% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Celje are the clear favorite in this match, sitting top of the table with an impressive record of 15 wins, 5 draws, and only 2 defeats. The visitors have been unbeaten away from home for a considerable time, winning 64% of their away matches and scoring an average of 2.82 goals per game. Aluminij are in poor home form with just a 30% win rate and a negative goal difference (-4), losing 50% of their home matches. The difference in ball possession quality (49% vs 63%) and shooting accuracy (14% vs 21%) further favors Celje. Considering that Celje have not had a single away game without scoring this season, we expect them to secure a confident victory, although the hosts' decent scoring form could make the match more open than the class difference suggests.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Aluminij | Celje | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Celje is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Aluminij · 1.4 pts / game - Celje
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Celje is 68% better for: goals scored per game.
1.5 goals / game - Aluminij · 2.52 goals / game - Celje
Celje is 73% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.73 goals / game - Aluminij · 1 goals / game - Celje
Aluminij scores in 91% of games (20 of 22 meczów), while Celje keeps a clean sheet in 39% (9 of 23 meczów).
Celje scores in 87% of games (20 of 23 meczów), while Aluminij keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Aluminij
Over / Under - Celje
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Celje is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.09 pts / game - Aluminij · 1.74 pts / game - Celje
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aluminij - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Celje - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 52% of games and wins 65%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +13 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Aluminij
Celje
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (PrvaLiga).
Teams vs league
| Aluminij | Liga | Celje | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 3.23 | 3.17 | ▲ 3.52 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 77% | 61% | ▼ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 77% | 65% | ▲ 74% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 21% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | • 86% | 86% | ▲ 91% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 81% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Aluminij's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Celje. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Aluminij vs Celje?
The PrvaLiga match finished Aluminij 2:1 Celje. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Aluminij and Celje?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Aluminij won 0, Celje won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Aluminij vs Celje?
Aluminij score 1.50 goals per game on average and Celje 2.52. The PrvaLiga average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 77% of Aluminij's matches and 57% of Celje's.
What form are Aluminij and Celje in?
Over the last 5 games Aluminij have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Celje 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aluminij vs Celje?
The statistical background for Aluminij vs Celje — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


