Aluminij vs Mura: match statistics
Aluminij vs Mura: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Aluminij play Mura in PrvaLiga (Slovenia). The match date is 16 April 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Aluminij: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Mura: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Aluminij scores 1.24 and concedes 1.79 goals per match. Mura scores 1.03 and concedes 1.62. League average: 3.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Aluminij 68%, Mura 44%. Over 2.5: Aluminij 71%, Mura 53%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Mura has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.29. Aluminij: 9.4 shots per match, Mura: 11.5.
Match halves
Aluminij: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.82. Mura: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.56.
Goals by minute
Aluminij: 76-90+ (17 goals). Mura: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
PrvaLiga: 3.09 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-2-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 67%.
Match description
I predict a victory for Aluminij — at home they average 1.43 goals per match, while Mura score only 0.71 on the road. Mura failed to score in 57% of their away games, whereas Aluminij failed to score in just 14% of home matches, giving the hosts a clear edge in finishing. The quality of chances is similar (Aluminij xG For 1.35 at home vs Mura xG For 1.34 away), but the hosts register more shots on target (4.21 vs 3.07) and have a higher conversion rate (14% vs 7%), meaning they capitalize on opportunities more effectively. Defensively Aluminij concedes 1.86 goals at home, and Mura 2.14 away; the season goal differential is 40–28 in favor of Aluminij, and the fact that Mura have a 79% loss rate away and only 7% wins speaks against the visitors, despite Mura’s better recent points average over the last 5 matches (1.4 vs Aluminij’s 0.8). Considering the higher efficiency, greater number of shots on target and Mura’s markedly worse away stats, I assign 60% probability to the hosts winning, 20% to a draw and 20% to the visitors.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Aluminij | Mura | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mura is 500% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Aluminij · 1.2 pts / match - Mura
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aluminij is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1.24 goals / match - Aluminij · 1.03 goals / match - Mura
Mura is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.79 goals / match - Aluminij · 1.62 goals / match - Mura
Aluminij scores in 76% of matches (26 of 34 matches), while Mura keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 matches).
Mura scores in 56% of matches (19 of 34 matches), while Aluminij keeps a clean sheet in 15% (5 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Aluminij
Over / Under — Mura
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aluminij - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mura - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Aluminij
Mura
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (PrvaLiga).
Teams vs league
| Aluminij | Liga | Mura | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.03 | 3.09 | ▼ 2.65 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 59% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 65% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 23% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 79% | 86% | • 85% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 80% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Aluminij 1 - 2 - 0 Mura. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Aluminij vs Mura?
The PrvaLiga match finished Aluminij 2:1 Mura. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Aluminij and Mura?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Aluminij won 1, Mura won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Aluminij vs Mura?
Aluminij score 1.24 goals per game on average and Mura 1.03. The PrvaLiga average is 3.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Aluminij's matches and 44% of Mura's.
What form are Aluminij and Mura in?
Over the last 5 games Aluminij have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Mura 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aluminij vs Mura?
The statistical background for Aluminij vs Mura — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.