Alverca vs Casa Pia: match statistics
Alverca vs Casa Pia: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Alverca played against Casa Pia in Liga NOS (Portugal). The game was played on November 7, 2026. Venue: Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Alverca has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Casa Pia has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Alverca scores 1.30 goals per game and allows 1.40. Casa Pia scores 0.50 and allows 1.90. Games in this league average 2.66 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 60% of Alverca's games and 20% of Casa Pia's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 30%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Alverca has the higher season xG average, 1.22 to 1.13 per game. Alverca takes 11.5 shots per game, while Casa Pia takes 10.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Alverca leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 0.70 goals per game after halftime. Casa Pia leads at halftime in 10% and scores 0.30 after halftime.
When the teams score
Alverca's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). For Casa Pia, it is minutes 31-45+ (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga Portugal games average 2.66 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Alverca are 10th and Casa Pia 16th, but the last five matches favor the visitors: they have won three, compared with two for the hosts. Alverca’s strength remains their effectiveness at home, averaging 1 goal per match and failing to score in only 20% of games, while Casa Pia average 0.8 goals away and draw a blank in 60% of matches. The hosts should also have chances to score, as Casa Pia concede 1.84 xG away from home, compared with Alverca’s 1.19 xG at home. The visitors concede just 0.8 goals per match on the road and keep a clean sheet in 40% of games, so I rate Alverca’s chances slightly higher, although a draw or a Casa Pia win remains a realistic outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS has occurred in only 20% of matches involving either team so far, and in each team’s last 5 matches it has also stood at 20%, clearly supporting a BTTS - No pick. Alverca average 0.2 goals at home and have failed to score in 80% of those matches, while Casa Pia have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their away games. The visitors average 0.8 goals away from home and failed to score in 60% of matches, although the hosts concede as many as 3.0 goals per game at home. The attacking potential reflected in xG figures of 1.11 for Alverca and 1.15 for Casa Pia makes the prediction less certain, but the teams’ scoring records to date suggest that it is more likely at least one side will fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
In their last 5 matches, Alverca averaged 2.0 total goals and Casa Pia 1.8, with only 20% of games in each case going over 2.5 goals. Casa Pia did not play a match with at least 4 goals in the analyzed seasonal sample, while this occurred in 40% of Alverca’s matches. Although Alverca conceded an average of 3.0 goals, that figure fell to 1.0 across their last 5 appearances, while Casa Pia conceded 0.8 goals over the same period. Both teams have recently scored 1.0 goal per match, pointing to a total closer to 2 than 4 goals. Therefore, Under 3.5 goals is the strongest pick, although Alverca’s previously high average of goals conceded remains a significant risk.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome, as Casa Pia were level at the break in 3 of their 5 matches, while both teams averaged just 0.2 goals in the first half. The visitors kept a clean sheet at half-time in 80% of their matches, further limiting Alverca’s chances of taking an early lead. After the break, the advantage shifts towards Casa Pia: Alverca conceded an average of 2.0 goals and failed to score, while the visitors averaged 0.6 goals. The visitors’ win is also supported by the full-time results: Alverca lost all 5 matches in the sample, whereas Casa Pia won 2 of 5. Therefore, a draw at half-time followed by a Casa Pia win at full-time is the strongest signal, although the visitors leading at the break also remains a realistic possibility.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Alverca | Casa Pia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.19 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Alverca is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Alverca · 1.2 pts / game - Casa Pia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Alverca is 160% better for: goals scored per game.
1.3 goals / game - Alverca · 0.5 goals / game - Casa Pia
Alverca is 36% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.4 goals / game - Alverca · 1.9 goals / game - Casa Pia
Alverca scores in 70% of games (7 of 10 games), while Casa Pia keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 games).
Casa Pia scores in 30% of games (3 of 10 games), while Alverca keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Alverca
Over / Under - Casa Pia
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Alverca is 63% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / game - Alverca · 0.8 pts / game - Casa Pia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Alverca - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Casa Pia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 10% of games and wins 20%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Alverca
Casa Pia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Alverca | Liga | Casa Pia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.70 | 2.66 | ▼ 2.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 46% | ▼ 20% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 54% | ▼ 30% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 10% | 30% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | • 70% | 69% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 78% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Alverca's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Casa Pia. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Alverca vs Casa Pia?
The Liga NOS match finished Alverca 1:1 Casa Pia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Alverca and Casa Pia?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Alverca won 2, Casa Pia won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Alverca vs Casa Pia?
Alverca score 1.30 goals per game on average and Casa Pia 0.50. The Liga NOS average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Alverca's matches and 20% of Casa Pia's.
What form are Alverca and Casa Pia in?
Over the last 5 games Alverca have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Casa Pia 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Alverca vs Casa Pia?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.