Alverca vs Estrela Amadora: match statistics
Alverca displays significantly better home form with a 50% win rate at their own stadium, while Estrela Amadora wins only 22% of their away matches. The hosts hold the advantage in ball possession (46% vs 41%) and boast a superior shot accuracy (8% vs 15% with fewer attempts), indicating better game organization. Estrela Amadora has a very high rate of away matches without a scored goal (56%) and concedes an average of 2.11 goals per away game. This, combined with Alverca's solid home defense (40% clean sheets at home), gives the hosts a clear advantage. The recent form of both teams is average, but Alverca has a better points-per-game record in the last 5 matches (1.2 vs 1.0 PPG). The xG differential confirms the hosts' superiority, as they create more scoring chances in home matches.
Alverca vs Estrela Amadora: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Alverca played against Estrela Amadora in Liga NOS (Portugal). The game was played on January 31, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Alverca has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Estrela Amadora has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Alverca scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.74. Estrela Amadora scores 1.21 and allows 1.89. Games in this league average 2.77 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 42% of Alverca's games and 47% of Estrela Amadora's. The Over 2.5 rates are 58% and 58%, compared with league averages of 44% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Estrela Amadora has the higher season xG average, 1.15 to 1.10 per game. Alverca takes 9.3 shots per game, while Estrela Amadora takes 10.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Alverca leads at halftime in 16% of its games and scores 0.63 goals per game after halftime. Estrela Amadora leads at halftime in 21% and scores 0.58 after halftime.
When the teams score
Alverca's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Estrela Amadora, it is minutes 61-75 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga Portugal games average 2.77 goals. Both teams score in 44% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Alverca displays significantly better home form with a 50% win rate at their own stadium, while Estrela Amadora wins only 22% of their away matches. The hosts hold the advantage in ball possession (46% vs 41%) and boast a superior shot accuracy (8% vs 15% with fewer attempts), indicating better game organization. Estrela Amadora has a very high rate of away matches without a scored goal (56%) and concedes an average of 2.11 goals per away game. This, combined with Alverca's solid home defense (40% clean sheets at home), gives the hosts a clear advantage. The recent form of both teams is average, but Alverca has a better points-per-game record in the last 5 matches (1.2 vs 1.0 PPG). The xG differential confirms the hosts' superiority, as they create more scoring chances in home matches.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Alverca | Estrela Amadora | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Alverca is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Alverca · 1 pts / game - Estrela Amadora
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Estrela Amadora is 21% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Alverca · 1.21 goals / game - Estrela Amadora
Alverca is 9% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.74 goals / game - Alverca · 1.89 goals / game - Estrela Amadora
Alverca scores in 68% of games (13 of 19 meczów), while Estrela Amadora keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 meczów).
Estrela Amadora scores in 53% of games (10 of 19 meczów), while Alverca keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Alverca
Over / Under - Estrela Amadora
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Alverca - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 16% of games and wins 37%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Estrela Amadora - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 21%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -7 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -6 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Alverca
Estrela Amadora
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Alverca | Liga | Estrela Amadora | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.74 | 2.77 | ▲ 3.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 44% | ▲ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 55% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 30% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 73% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 78% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Alverca's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Estrela Amadora. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Alverca vs Estrela Amadora?
The Liga NOS match finished Alverca 1:1 Estrela Amadora. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Alverca vs Estrela Amadora?
Alverca score 1.00 goals per game on average and Estrela Amadora 1.21. The Liga NOS average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Alverca's matches and 47% of Estrela Amadora's.
What form are Alverca and Estrela Amadora in?
Over the last 5 games Alverca have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Estrela Amadora 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Alverca vs Estrela Amadora?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Alverca vs Estrela Amadora: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.