Alverca vs GD Estoril Praia: match statistics
Alverca vs GD Estoril Praia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Alverca play GD Estoril Praia in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match date is 10 May 2026 at 21:30. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Alverca: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. GD Estoril Praia: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Alverca scores 1.03 and concedes 1.53 goals per match. GD Estoril Praia scores 1.59 and concedes 1.68. League average: 2.68 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Alverca 56%, GD Estoril Praia 59%. Over 2.5: Alverca 50%, GD Estoril Praia 62%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
GD Estoril Praia has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.14. Alverca: 9.7 shots per match, GD Estoril Praia: 11.7.
Match halves
Alverca: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.62. GD Estoril Praia: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.82.
Goals by minute
Alverca: 76-90+ (12 goals). GD Estoril Praia: 31-45+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I back the home win (1). Alverca shows clearly better recent form — 3 wins and 2 losses in the last five, averaging 1.8 points per game, whereas GD Estoril has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, averaging only 0.2 points per game. Over the season Estoril scored more goals (52 vs 34), and away they average 1.5 goals per game vs Alverca’s 1.06 at home, but in the last five matches Estoril managed only 4 goals while Alverca scored 7, indicating a drop in the visitors’ form. Defensively the home side has a clear edge: Alverca concedes 1.38 goals per home game and 5 goals in the last five, while Estoril concedes 1.88 on the road and as many as 9 goals in their last five; Alverca also has 31% clean sheets vs 19% for the visitors and a lower share of matches without scoring (25% vs 38%). Chance-quality analysis shows very similar xG for both teams (1.27 for Alverca at home vs 1.30 for Estoril away), average shots 10.75 vs 11.31 and shots on target approximately 3.75 vs 3.69, but Estoril has better conversion (13% vs 10%) and higher possession (52% vs 47%). Considering superior form (1.8 vs 0.2 pts/game), lower susceptibility to conceding (1.38 vs 1.88) and comparable xG, I give the edge to Alverca; probabilities: home 55%, draw 20%, away 25%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Alverca | GD Estoril Praia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Alverca is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Alverca · 0.4 pts / match - GD Estoril Praia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
GD Estoril Praia is 54% better for: goals scored per match.
1.03 goals / match - Alverca · 1.59 goals / match - GD Estoril Praia
Alverca is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.53 goals / match - Alverca · 1.68 goals / match - GD Estoril Praia
Alverca scores in 71% of matches (24 of 34 matches), while GD Estoril Praia keeps a clean sheet in 15% (5 of 34 matches).
GD Estoril Praia scores in 71% of matches (24 of 34 matches), while Alverca keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Alverca
Over / Under — GD Estoril Praia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Alverca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
GD Estoril Praia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -6 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Alverca
GD Estoril Praia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Alverca | Liga | GD Estoril Praia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.56 | 2.68 | ▲ 3.26 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 48% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 54% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 29% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | • 68% | 69% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 80% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Alverca 0 - 0 - 1 GD Estoril Praia. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Alverca vs GD Estoril Praia?
The Liga NOS match finished Alverca 1:1 GD Estoril Praia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Alverca vs GD Estoril Praia?
Alverca score 1.03 goals per game on average and GD Estoril Praia 1.59. The Liga NOS average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Alverca's matches and 59% of GD Estoril Praia's.
What form are Alverca and GD Estoril Praia in?
Over the last 5 games Alverca have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and GD Estoril Praia 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Alverca vs GD Estoril Praia?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.