Alverca vs Moreirense FC: match statistics
Moreirense FC is showing clearly better disposition in recent matches with a points record of 1.6 PPG compared to Alverca's 1.2 PPG. The hosts occupy a distant 11th place in the table and hold a negative goal difference in home games (-6), with poor shooting efficiency of just 7% and an average of 0.78 goals per match at home. Despite a weaker away record (33% win rate), Moreirense possesses better efficiency (13%), a higher average of goals scored away (1.22), and a more solid run of recent fixtures (dldww). A key factor is also the visitors' significantly higher league position (6th place) and their shot conversion rate, which is double that of their opponents. Considering all statistics, Moreirense FC holds the advantage, although their weaker away form and the balanced xG metrics of both teams leave some room for surprises, suggesting a moderate probability of an away victory.
Alverca vs Moreirense FC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Alverca play Moreirense FC in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match date is 17 January 2026 at 19:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Alverca: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Moreirense FC: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Alverca scores 1.03 and concedes 1.53 goals per match. Moreirense FC scores 1.09 and concedes 1.44. League average: 2.68 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Alverca 56%, Moreirense FC 47%. Over 2.5: Alverca 50%, Moreirense FC 50%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Alverca has higher xG: 1.14 vs 1.02. Alverca: 9.7 shots per match, Moreirense FC: 8.9.
Match halves
Alverca: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.62. Moreirense FC: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Alverca: 76-90+ (12 goals). Moreirense FC: 61-75 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Moreirense FC is showing clearly better disposition in recent matches with a points record of 1.6 PPG compared to Alverca's 1.2 PPG. The hosts occupy a distant 11th place in the table and hold a negative goal difference in home games (-6), with poor shooting efficiency of just 7% and an average of 0.78 goals per match at home. Despite a weaker away record (33% win rate), Moreirense possesses better efficiency (13%), a higher average of goals scored away (1.22), and a more solid run of recent fixtures (dldww). A key factor is also the visitors' significantly higher league position (6th place) and their shot conversion rate, which is double that of their opponents. Considering all statistics, Moreirense FC holds the advantage, although their weaker away form and the balanced xG metrics of both teams leave some room for surprises, suggesting a moderate probability of an away victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Alverca | Moreirense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Moreirense FC is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Alverca · 1.4 pts / match - Moreirense FC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Moreirense FC is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
1.03 goals / match - Alverca · 1.09 goals / match - Moreirense FC
Moreirense FC is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.53 goals / match - Alverca · 1.44 goals / match - Moreirense FC
Alverca scores in 71% of matches (24 of 34 matches), while Moreirense FC keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).
Moreirense FC scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while Alverca keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Alverca
Over / Under — Moreirense FC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Alverca is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / match - Alverca · 1.06 pts / match - Moreirense FC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Alverca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Moreirense FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Alverca
Moreirense FC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Alverca | Liga | Moreirense FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.56 | 2.68 | ▼ 2.53 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 48% | • 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 54% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 29% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | • 68% | 69% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 80% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Alverca 0 - 0 - 1 Moreirense FC. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Alverca vs Moreirense FC?
The Liga NOS match finished Alverca 2:1 Moreirense FC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Alverca vs Moreirense FC?
Alverca score 1.03 goals per game on average and Moreirense FC 1.09. The Liga NOS average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Alverca's matches and 47% of Moreirense FC's.
What form are Alverca and Moreirense FC in?
Over the last 5 games Alverca have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Moreirense FC 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Alverca vs Moreirense FC?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Alverca vs Moreirense FC: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.