Amarante vs Varzim: match statistics
Amarante vs Varzim: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Amarante play Varzim in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match date is 4 April 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Amarante: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Varzim: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Amarante scores 1.28 and concedes 0.88 goals per match. Varzim scores 1.22 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.23 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Amarante 47%, Varzim 47%. Over 2.5: Amarante 41%, Varzim 44%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 40%.
xG, shots and style
Varzim has higher xG: 1.28 vs 1.07. Amarante: 8.1 shots per match, Varzim: 9.8.
Match halves
Amarante: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.81. Varzim: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Amarante: 76-90+ (13 goals). Varzim: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.23 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 40%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 0-1-2. Average goals 1.33, BTTS 33%.
Match description
Amarante are the favorites based on current form and home metrics: in their last 5 matches they have 4 wins and 1 draw, scoring 8 and conceding 4, averaging 2.6 points per game. At home the hosts win 54% of fixtures, average 1.31 goals for and 0.92 conceded, keep a clean sheet in 38% of matches and fail to score in only 15% of games. Varzim are weaker on the road: they win 25% of away matches, average 1.08 goals scored but concede 1.42 and fail to score in 42% of away trips; in their last 5 they have 2 wins and 3 losses, 5 goals for and 7 against. Quality of chances also favors Amarante — home xG is 1.11 with 3.15 shots on target and 8.54 shots overall, while Varzim posts an xG of 1.06, 2.67 shots on target and an xG against of 1.51, suggesting greater defensive exposure for the visitors. Considering the form edge, better defensive organization at home and a higher clean sheet rate, I forecast an Amarante win (65% probability), 20% for a draw and 15% for a Varzim victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Amarante | Varzim | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Amarante is 120% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Amarante · 1 pts / match - Varzim
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Amarante is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.28 goals / match - Amarante · 1.22 goals / match - Varzim
Amarante is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.88 goals / match - Amarante · 1.13 goals / match - Varzim
Amarante scores in 75% of matches (24 of 32 matches), while Varzim keeps a clean sheet in 25% (8 of 32 matches).
Varzim scores in 66% of matches (21 of 32 matches), while Amarante keeps a clean sheet in 41% (13 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Amarante
Over / Under — Varzim
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Amarante - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Varzim - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Amarante
Varzim
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| Amarante | Liga | Varzim | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.16 | 2.23 | ▲ 2.34 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 49% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 41% | 40% | ▲ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 31% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 66% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 74% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Amarante 0 - 1 - 2 Varzim. Average goals 1.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Amarante vs Varzim?
The Liga 3 match finished Amarante 1:0 Varzim. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Amarante and Varzim?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Amarante won 0, Varzim won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Amarante vs Varzim?
Amarante score 1.28 goals per game on average and Varzim 1.22. The Liga 3 average is 2.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Amarante's matches and 47% of Varzim's.
What form are Amarante and Varzim in?
Over the last 5 games Amarante have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Varzim 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Amarante vs Varzim?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.