América vs Atlas: match statistics
América vs Atlas: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
América played against Atlas in Liga MX (Mexico). The game was played on April 26, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
América has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Atlas has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
América scores 1.57 goals per game and allows 1.06. Atlas scores 1.18 and allows 1.61. Games in this league average 2.91 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 54% of América's games and 52% of Atlas's. The Over 2.5 rates are 49% and 48%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
América has the higher season xG average, 1.64 to 1.10 per game. América takes 14.5 shots per game, while Atlas takes 10.4.
First-half and second-half trends
América leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Atlas leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.55 after halftime.
When the teams score
América's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (16 goals). For Atlas, it is minutes 0-15 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga MX games average 2.91 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 6.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
América is the clear favorite: the team wins 71% of home matches and has a +14 goal differential at their stadium. At home their averages are 1.76 goals per match with xG 1.92 and 6.41 shots on target per match, while Atlas away records only 0.88 goals per game with xG 0.96 and 2.75 shots on target. Defensively the gap is significant — América concedes 0.94 goals at home (xG against 1.00), whereas Atlas concedes 1.94 on the road (xG against 1.66), and Atlas fail to score in 38% of away matches versus just 6% for the home side. In the last 5 matches América has scored 6 goals and averages 1.6 points per game, while Atlas have scored only 1 goal in their last five and average 1.2 points per game, confirming the visitors’ low efficiency. Based on this I assess a high probability of a home win, moderate chances of a draw and low chances of an Atlas victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back 'No' (BTTS - No) with an estimated probability of 65% vs 35% for 'Yes'. Atlas averages 0.88 goals away per game, has scored a total of 1 goal in the last 5 matches (0.2 avg) and has 0% BTTS in that run, strongly indicating offensive issues for the visitors. América scores 1.47 goals per game with xG 1.24, has 55 goals this season and generates on average 11.35 shots and 3.82 shots on target per match; additionally they keep a clean sheet in 41% of games, which increases the likelihood hosts score while visitors do not. Atlas concedes 1.94 goals per game, has 39 goals this season, xG 0.96 and only 2.75 shots on target per game, indicating low response potential. Although the league has an overall BTTS level of 59%, the strong signal from the visitors’ last 5 matches (0% BTTS, 0.2 goals) plus the hosts’ advantage in xG and shot volume favor the 'No' scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate total expected goals at 2.71: América 1.45 (average of attacking xG 1.24 and xG conceded by Atlas 1.66) and Atlas 1.26 (average of attacking xG 0.96 and xG conceded by América 1.56). Seasonal rates show Over 1.5 occurred in 65% of América’s matches and 81% of Atlas’s matches, while Over 2.5 is 59% for América and 38% for Atlas, which provides a stronger signal for >1.5 than for >2.5. A Poisson model with λ=2.71 yields probabilities of approximately 75% for Over 1.5, 51% for Over 2.5 and 29% for Over 3.5, i.e. a moderate chance to exceed 2.5 goals. Additionally, América scores on average 1.47 goals per match and Atlas concedes on average 1.94 goals (the league average is 2.9 goals per match), which increases the probability of home goals. Based on this, I recommend betting the over at the 1.5 line as the strongest and most reliable signal from the available data.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is América leading at half-time and ultimately winning the match (1/1). América led at the break in 47% of matches and has a 41% win rate this season, with an average of 0.88 first-half goals versus Atlas’s 0.38, which strongly supports a half-time lead. Supporting the likelihood of them holding the lead are xG figures of 1.24 vs 0.96, 3.82 shots on target versus 2.75, and superior shot conversion of 13% vs 9%, so the home side creates and converts more chances. Atlas were behind at half-time in 44% of games and concede an average of 0.94 first-half goals, limiting their chances of a turnaround; at the same time, 80% of América’s recent five matches were level at HT, which justifies some occurrence of X/1 and X/X scenarios.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| América | Atlas | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
América is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - América · 1.2 pts / game - Atlas
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
América is 33% better for: goals scored per game.
1.57 goals / game - América · 1.18 goals / game - Atlas
América is 52% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.06 goals / game - América · 1.61 goals / game - Atlas
América scores in 80% of games (28 of 35 meczów), while Atlas keeps a clean sheet in 27% (9 of 33 meczów).
Atlas scores in 67% of games (22 of 33 meczów), while América keeps a clean sheet in 31% (11 of 35 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - América
Over / Under - Atlas
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
América - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 51%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Atlas - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 30%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
América
Atlas
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| América | Liga | Atlas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.63 | 2.91 | ▼ 2.79 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 54% | 59% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 49% | 56% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 24% | ▲ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 73% | • 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 76% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from América's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Atlas. Games average 6.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of América vs Atlas?
The Liga MX match finished América 0:1 Atlas. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before América vs Atlas?
América score 1.57 goals per game on average and Atlas 1.18. The Liga MX average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 54% of América's matches and 52% of Atlas's.
What form are América and Atlas in?
Over the last 5 games América have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Atlas 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for América vs Atlas?
The statistical background for América vs Atlas — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.