América vs Toluca: match statistics
América vs Toluca: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
América played against Toluca in Liga MX (Mexico). The game was played on November 1, 2026. Venue: Estadio Banorte. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
América has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Toluca has 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
América scores 2.43 goals per game and allows 1.36. Toluca scores 2.07 and allows 1.36. Games in this league average 3.04 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 71% of América's games and 71% of Toluca's. The Over 2.5 rates are 64% and 64%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
América has the higher season xG average, 2.14 to 2.03 per game. América takes 19.9 shots per game, while Toluca takes 19.4.
First-half and second-half trends
América leads at halftime in 43% of its games and scores 1.50 goals per game after halftime. Toluca leads at halftime in 43% and scores 1.14 after halftime.
When the teams score
América's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Toluca, it is minutes 61-75 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga MX games average 3.04 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
América are favorites thanks to their greater attacking efficiency at home: they score an average of 2 goals per match, while Toluca average 1.57 away from home. The hosts also create better chances, recording an xG of 2.03 compared with the visitors’ 1.57, and average 6.5 shots on target to Toluca’s 5.29. Defensively, América concede 0.83 goals per home match, while Toluca concede 1.14 away, although both teams have conceded 10 goals in their last five matches. América’s current form also favors the hosts: they have won 3 of their last 5 matches, while Toluca are winless in that span, with 4 draws and a defeat. However, Toluca’s high away draw rate of 43% means a share of the points remains a significant possibility.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In each of their last 5 matches, both teams scored, and each conceded an average of 2.0 goals over that span. Across the full period analyzed, the hosts had BTTS - Yes in 86% of their matches, compared with 57% for the visitors and a league average of 61%. América average 2.57 goals per match and have an xG of 2.48, while Toluca allow opponents an xG of 1.73, strongly supporting the hosts’ chances of scoring. Toluca, in turn, average 1.57 goals, while América keep a clean sheet in just 14% of matches, making an away goal likely as well. Although Toluca have failed to score in 14% of their matches, both teams’ current run points more clearly to goals at both ends.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
América score an average of 2.57 goals per match and post an xG of 2.48, while Toluca allow opponents chances worth an average xG of 1.73. The visitors score an average of 1.57 goals, and the hosts concede 1.57, giving both teams a solid chance of finding the net. Over their last 5 matches, América averaged 3.2 goals scored and Toluca 1.8, while both teams conceded 2.0 goals per game. Over 1.5 goals landed in all of América’s matches and 71% of Toluca’s, making Over 1.5 the strongest pick, even though a higher-scoring outcome is possible.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
América led at the break in 5 of 7 matches, while Toluca were trailing at that stage in 2 of 7 and level in 4. The hosts average 1.43 goals before half-time compared with 0.43 for the visitors, which points to an early lead. Across the full match, América create chances worth 2.48 xG compared with Toluca’s 1.57 and average 7.14 shots on target versus 5.29. The risk with this HT/FT pick is Toluca’s strong second-half performance: they have not lost the second half in any of their 7 matches, while América concede an average of 1.14 goals in that period. Even so, the hosts’ stronger start and clear edge in chance creation make América leading at the break and winning at full-time the most likely scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| América | Toluca | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
América is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - América · 0.8 pts / game - Toluca
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
América is 17% better for: goals scored per game.
2.43 goals / game - América · 2.07 goals / game - Toluca
América scores in 100% of games (14 of 14 games), while Toluca keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 games).
Toluca scores in 93% of games (13 of 14 games), while América keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - América
Over / Under - Toluca
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
América - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 57%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Toluca - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
América
Toluca
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| América | Liga | Toluca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.79 | 3.04 | ▲ 3.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 62% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 53% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 21% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 93% | 71% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | • 86% | 85% | • 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from América's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Toluca. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of América vs Toluca?
The Liga MX match finished América 2:2 Toluca. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between América and Toluca?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches América won 1, Toluca won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before América vs Toluca?
América score 2.43 goals per game on average and Toluca 2.07. The Liga MX average is 3.04 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 71% of América's matches and 71% of Toluca's.
What form are América and Toluca in?
Over the last 5 games América have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Toluca 0-4-1 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for América vs Toluca?
The statistical background for América vs Toluca — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.