Ammanford vs Caernarfon Town: match statistics
Ammanford vs Caernarfon Town: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ammanford played against Caernarfon Town in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The game was played on September 11, 2026. Venue: Manor Road. Final score: 0:5.
Recent form
Ammanford has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Caernarfon Town has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Ammanford scores 0.57 goals per game and allows 2.29. Caernarfon Town scores 2.57 and allows 1.29. Games in this league average 3.14 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 43% of Ammanford's games and 57% of Caernarfon Town's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 86%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 57% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Caernarfon Town has the higher season xG average, 1.53 to 0.75 per game. Ammanford takes 5.7 shots per game, while Caernarfon Town takes 13.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Ammanford leads at halftime in 14% of its games and scores 0.29 goals per game after halftime. Caernarfon Town leads at halftime in 57% and scores 1.29 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ammanford's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (1 goals). For Caernarfon Town, it is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Welsh Premier League games average 3.14 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 57% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Caernarfon Town sit 4th, having won 5 of their 7 matches this season, while their last five games have produced 4 victories and an impressive 15 goals. Ammanford remain winless after 7 rounds, have scored just 4 goals, and have lost 4 of their last five matches, with a 1:12 goal difference. At home, the hosts average 0.67 goals scored, create chances worth just 0.72 xG, and have failed to find the net in 67% of their matches. The visitors have won every away game so far, averaging 3 goals scored, registering 6 shots on target per match, and recording 63% possession compared with Ammanford’s 41%. The disparity in attacking quality, combined with the hosts’ fragile home defense—conceding an average of 3 goals per game—strongly favors a Caernarfon Town victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Ammanford’s very poor recent scoring record: in their last 5 matches, the team scored just 1 goal, averaging 0.2 per game, while their xG was only 0.70. Over the same period, Caernarfon Town averaged 3.0 goals and won 4 of 5 matches, whereas Ammanford lost 4 of 5 and conceded an average of 2.4 goals. The hosts recorded BTTS in only 20% of their last five appearances, well below the 48% league-wide figure, suggesting a frequent scenario in which they fail to score. Caernarfon are not flawless defensively, but they concede an average of 1.2 goals in their last 5 matches; combining this defensive record with Ammanford’s attacking output of 0.2 goals makes a result in which at least one team fails to score more likely. BTTS - No does not automatically mean a 0:0 draw or that neither team will score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Caernarfon Town are in excellent attacking form, averaging 3.0 goals scored across their last five matches, while Ammanford conceded 2.4 goals per game during the same period. The hosts have shown limited recent attacking output, scoring just 1 goal in their last five appearances, but their defense has conceded 12 goals and allowed opponents an average of 1.87 xG. Both teams have recorded matches with at least 2 goals in 100% of their games this season, while Caernarfon Town have surpassed the 2.5-goal line in 67% of them. The strongest signal therefore points to Over 1.5 goals: even with a limited contribution from Ammanford, the visitors’ attacking efficiency and current form should be enough to produce at least two goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Caernarfon Town are showing significantly better current form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while Ammanford have failed to win any and have lost 4 of their 5. The visitors were leading at the break in 80% of their last five matches, while the hosts were trailing at half-time in 80% of their games over the same period. The attacking disparity is very clear, with Ammanford scoring just 0.2 goals per match recently and conceding 2.4, whereas Caernarfon Town average 3.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Before half-time, the visitors average 1.6 goals, compared with just 0.2 for the hosts, strongly supporting a lead for Caernarfon Town in the first half. After the break, Ammanford have still averaged no goals scored in their last five matches, while Caernarfon Town have added 1.4, making an HT/FT scenario in which the visitors lead at half-time and go on to win the most likely outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ammanford | Caernarfon Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Caernarfon Town is 1100% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / game - Ammanford · 2.4 pts / game - Caernarfon Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Caernarfon Town is 351% better for: goals scored per game.
0.57 goals / game - Ammanford · 2.57 goals / game - Caernarfon Town
Caernarfon Town is 78% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.29 goals / game - Ammanford · 1.29 goals / game - Caernarfon Town
Ammanford scores in 43% of games (3 of 7 games), while Caernarfon Town keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 games).
Caernarfon Town scores in 100% of games (7 of 7 games), while Ammanford keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ammanford
Over / Under - Caernarfon Town
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Caernarfon Town is 200% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.57 pts / game - Ammanford · 1.71 pts / game - Caernarfon Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ammanford - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 0%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Caernarfon Town - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 57% of games and wins 71%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ammanford
Caernarfon Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ammanford | Liga | Caernarfon Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.86 | 3.14 | ▲ 3.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 48% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 57% | ▲ 86% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 27% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 79% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 84% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Ammanford vs Caernarfon Town?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Ammanford 0:5 Caernarfon Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ammanford vs Caernarfon Town?
Ammanford score 0.57 goals per game on average and Caernarfon Town 2.57. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.14 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Ammanford's matches and 57% of Caernarfon Town's.
What form are Ammanford and Caernarfon Town in?
Over the last 5 games Ammanford have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Caernarfon Town 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ammanford vs Caernarfon Town?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ammanford vs Caernarfon Town: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.