Ammanford vs Penybont: match statistics
Ammanford vs Penybont: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ammanford played against Penybont in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The game was played on September 18, 2026. Venue: Manor Road. Final score: 1:5.
Recent form
Ammanford has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Penybont has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Ammanford scores 0.67 goals per game and allows 2.56. Penybont scores 1.67 and allows 0.78. Games in this league average 3.23 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 44% of Ammanford's games and 56% of Penybont's. The Over 2.5 rates are 56% and 56%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 61% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Penybont has the higher season xG average, 1.33 to 0.73 per game. Ammanford takes 5.4 shots per game, while Penybont takes 10.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Ammanford leads at halftime in 11% of its games and scores 0.44 goals per game after halftime. Penybont leads at halftime in 67% and scores 0.44 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ammanford's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (2 goals). For Penybont, it is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Welsh Premier League games average 3.23 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 61% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Penybont remain unbeaten after 8 league matches, with a record of 5 wins and 3 draws, and have collected 11 points from their last five games. Ammanford have failed to win any of their 8 matches, losing 6 times, and have conceded as many as 15 goals while scoring just 1 in their last five fixtures. At home, the hosts average only 0.5 goals, have failed to score in 75% of their matches and allow opponents 2.08 xG. Away from home, the visitors average 2 goals, create chances worth 1.68 xG and register 5.5 shots on target per match, compared with just 1 on-target effort for Ammanford. Penybont’s defense concedes 0.75 goals per away game and keeps a clean sheet in 50% of matches, making the visitors clear favorites.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS - No scenario is strongly supported by Ammanford’s poor current attacking form, with the hosts scoring just 1 goal in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.2 per game. Ammanford recorded BTTS in only 20% of their last five appearances, while their average xG over this period stands at just 0.60. Penybont concede an average of only 0.8 goals across their last 5 matches and have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games this season, further limiting the hosts’ chances of scoring. The visitors are considerably more dangerous in attack, creating an average of 1.52 xG and scoring 1.4 goals in their last 5 matches, so the most likely outcome is that Penybont score while Ammanford fail to respond. Although both teams have a 50% season-long BTTS rate, the current difference in form and the hosts’ very low attacking efficiency point more strongly towards BTTS - No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Penybont have a clear attacking advantage: they average 1.68 xG and 5.5 shots on target per match, compared with Ammanford’s 1.06 xG and 2.75 shots on target. The hosts’ last five matches are particularly alarming, as they have scored just 1 goal while conceding as many as 15, averaging 3.0 per match. Despite this, Penybont’s profile limits the risk of a very high-scoring game: the visitors concede an average of 0.75 goals, have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches, and Ammanford have not exceeded the 3.5-goal line in any match this season. Under 3.5 goals has landed in 100% of Ammanford’s matches and 75% of Penybont’s games, which is a stronger signal than the moderate 49% for Over 2.5 goals. The most likely outcome is a controlled 0:2 or 1:2 victory for the visitors, making Under 3.5 goals the preferred option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Penybont are in clearly superior current form: over their last five matches, they have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, remaining unbeaten, while Ammanford have scored just 0.2 goals per match and lost 80% of their games. The visitors were leading at the break in 60% of their last five outings, whereas the hosts were behind at half-time in as many as 80%; additionally, their half-time goal differences stand at +3 and -5, respectively. Penybont’s superiority is also evident in chance creation, with an average xG of 1.68 compared with Ammanford’s 1.06, while their numbers of shots on target are 5.5 and 2.75, respectively. After the interval, the hosts have failed to score in any of their last five matches and have conceded an average of 1.8 goals, which is why the most likely scenario remains a Penybont lead at the break followed by an away win at full time: 2/2.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ammanford | Penybont | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Penybont is 450% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Ammanford · 2.2 pts / game - Penybont
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Penybont is 149% better for: goals scored per game.
0.67 goals / game - Ammanford · 1.67 goals / game - Penybont
Penybont is 228% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.56 goals / game - Ammanford · 0.78 goals / game - Penybont
Ammanford scores in 44% of games (4 of 9 games), while Penybont keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 games).
Penybont scores in 89% of games (8 of 9 games), while Ammanford keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 9 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ammanford
Over / Under - Penybont
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Penybont is 430% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.44 pts / game - Ammanford · 2.33 pts / game - Penybont
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ammanford - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 11% of games and wins 0%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Penybont - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 67% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ammanford
Penybont
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ammanford | Liga | Penybont | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 3.22 | 3.23 | ▼ 2.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 49% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 56% | 61% | ▼ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 26% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 79% | • 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 85% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Ammanford vs Penybont?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Ammanford 1:5 Penybont. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ammanford vs Penybont?
Ammanford score 0.67 goals per game on average and Penybont 1.67. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Ammanford's matches and 56% of Penybont's.
What form are Ammanford and Penybont in?
Over the last 5 games Ammanford have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Penybont 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ammanford vs Penybont?
The statistical background for Ammanford vs Penybont — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.