Andijan vs Dinamo Samarqand: match statistics
Andijan vs Dinamo Samarqand: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Andijan played against Dinamo Samarqand in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The game was played on April 28, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Andijan has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Dinamo Samarqand has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Andijan scores 1.22 goals per game and allows 1.11. Dinamo Samarqand scores 1.44 and allows 2.00. Games in this league average 2.54 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 33% of Andijan's games and 100% of Dinamo Samarqand's. The Over 2.5 rates are 56% and 89%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Andijan has the higher season xG average, 1.48 to 1.46 per game. Andijan takes 11.6 shots per game, while Dinamo Samarqand takes 11.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Andijan leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.78 goals per game after halftime. Dinamo Samarqand leads at halftime in 44% and scores 0.44 after halftime.
When the teams score
Andijan's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). For Dinamo Samarqand, it is minutes 0-15 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Uzbekistan Super League games average 2.54 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Andijan are the favorites: at home they score on average 1.75 goals and concede 0.75 per match, while Dinamo Samarqand on the road score 1.5 and concede 2.5. The hosts average 13.25 shots with 5.5 on target and have a 13% conversion, translating to xG for 1.66 and xG against 1.02; the visitors have 12.5 shots, 4.75 on target, 12% conversion and xG for 1.61 with xG against 1.32. The home defense is key — Andijan have 50% clean sheets and 50% wins in home matches, whereas Dinamo have 0% clean sheets away and as much as 75% losses on the road. Both teams are in similar recent points form (0.8 points per game in the last 5 matches, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses), so details decide, such as the lower goals conceded by the hosts (0.75 vs 2.5). On this basis I tip Andijan, estimating the probabilities as: home win 60%, draw 20%, away win 20%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a BTTS rate of 100% this season (Andijan 100%, Dinamo Samarqand 100%) and neither records a clean sheet (CS 0% for both), which is a strong indicator that both sides consistently score and concede. Average goals: Andijan 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded; Dinamo 1.5 scored and 2.5 conceded; combined average 2.9 goals per match exceeds the league average of 2.56, increasing the likelihood of both teams scoring. xG metrics show Andijan xG_for 1.34 versus Dinamo xG_against 1.32, and Dinamo xG_for 1.61 versus Andijan xG_against 1.52, meaning both sides generate roughly 1.3–1.6 expected goal chances. In the last 5 matches Dinamo has BTTS 100% and concedes on average 2.2 goals (scores 1.6), while Andijan in the last 5 scores 0.8 and concedes 1.0, indicating at least one side (notably Dinamo) regularly lets in goals. Additionally, the high share of over 2.5 games with BTTS (Andijan over2.5 80% and over2.5+BTTS 80%; Dinamo over2.5 100% and over2.5+BTTS 100%) strengthens the case for the “BTTS - Yes” scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG analysis calculated as the average of the home attack and away defense yields: Andijan 1.34 (attack) vs Dinamo defense 1.32 → expected 1.33 goals for the home side; Dinamo 1.61 (attack) vs Andijan defense 1.52 → 1.57 goals for the visitors, total xG = 2.90. A Poisson model with λ=2.90 forecasts ~79% probability of Over 1.5 goals, ~55% for Over 2.5 goals and ~33% for Over 3.5 goals. Seasonal stats reinforce the goal signal: both teams have 100% of matches with both teams scoring and 100% of matches Over 1.5; for Over 2.5 Andijan has 80% and Dinamo 100% (average ~90%). Additionally, the combination of Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score occurred in 80–100% of cases for home and away, which increases the credibility of a higher-scoring game; therefore I assess the probability of Over 2.5 at 78% and Over 1.5 at 95%. Overall, the strongest signal from the data is the Over side at the 2.5 line due to the total xG = 2.90 and very strong seasonal support for >2.5 together with consistent BTTS occurrences.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Dinamo Samarqand has a clear advantage in the first half: the visitors led at the break in 50% of their matches versus 40% for the hosts, and in the last five meetings Dinamo scored 9 goals before halftime (1.8 on average) compared to 3 goals (0.6) for Andijan. Their attacking xG is 1.61 versus 1.34 for the hosts, and the average goals by halftime are 1.25 for the visitors against 0.8 for Andijan, which confirms Dinamo’s greater first-half potential. At the same time Dinamo concedes an average of 1.75 goals after the break, while Andijan concedes 0.8, and the hosts have collected 7 points and average 1.4 points in second halves, increasing the likelihood of a turnaround. Both teams have a season-long both-teams-to-score rate of 100%, so I expect an exchange of goals and a situation where the visitors lead at the break but Andijan equalizes. For that reason the strongest scenario is the visitors leading at halftime and the match ending in a draw (2/X).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Andijan | Dinamo Samarqand | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dinamo Samarqand is 18% better for: goals scored per game.
1.22 goals / game - Andijan · 1.44 goals / game - Dinamo Samarqand
Andijan is 80% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.11 goals / game - Andijan · 2 goals / game - Dinamo Samarqand
Andijan scores in 56% of games (5 of 9 meczów), while Dinamo Samarqand keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 9 meczów).
Dinamo Samarqand scores in 100% of games (9 of 9 meczów), while Andijan keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Andijan
Over / Under - Dinamo Samarqand
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dinamo Samarqand is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / game - Andijan · 1.56 pts / game - Dinamo Samarqand
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Andijan - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Dinamo Samarqand - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 22%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Andijan
Dinamo Samarqand
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Andijan | Liga | Dinamo Samarqand | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.33 | 2.54 | ▲ 3.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 53% | ▲ 100% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 50% | ▲ 89% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 26% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 68% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 80% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Andijan's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Dinamo Samarqand. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Andijan vs Dinamo Samarqand?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Andijan 2:1 Dinamo Samarqand. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Andijan and Dinamo Samarqand?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Andijan won 0, Dinamo Samarqand won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Andijan vs Dinamo Samarqand?
Andijan score 1.22 goals per game on average and Dinamo Samarqand 1.44. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Andijan's matches and 100% of Dinamo Samarqand's.
What form are Andijan and Dinamo Samarqand in?
Over the last 5 games Andijan have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Dinamo Samarqand 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Andijan vs Dinamo Samarqand?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.