Anyang vs Daejeon Citizen: match statistics

Anyang sit higher in the table and have scored 10 goals in their last five matches, winning 3 times, which points to strong current attacking form. However, at home the hosts have won only 20% of their matches, drawn 50%, and have also failed to keep a single clean sheet. Daejeon boast a better away record: they score an average of 1.6 goals, concede 0.9, have a 40% win rate and keep a clean sheet in 40% of their matches. The visitors also create slightly better chances, with an average xG of 1.36 compared with Anyang’s 1.16, although they have won only once in their last five matches and scored just 6 goals. The combination of Daejeon’s solid away defense and Anyang’s strong tendency to draw at home points to a share of the spoils as the most likely outcome.

Anyang recorded BTTS in 100% of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.0 goals and conceding 1.6, which clearly supports an open game scenario. Daejeon averaged 1.2 goals per match during this period, with an xG of 1.41, while Anyang allowed opponents an xG of 1.67. However, the hosts have been less effective over the course of the season, averaging just 0.82 goals and failing to score in 45% of their matches, so the BTTS edge is not significant. On the other hand, Daejeon kept a clean sheet in 40% of their matches, while Anyang averages 3.55 shots on target and scored a total of 10 goals in their last five matches. Anyang’s current attacking form and both teams’ vulnerability to conceding goals marginally support BTTS - Yes.

The strongest signal comes from the low-scoring profile: 82% of Anyang’s matches and 60% of Daejeon’s ended with Under 3.5 goals. Anyang scores just 0.82 goals per game this season, while Daejeon concedes only 0.90 away from home, with the visitors keeping a clean sheet in 40% of matches. However, the underlying potential is higher than the results alone suggest, as Anyang’s xG stands at 1.59 against Daejeon’s 1.55 xG conceded, while the visitors average 1.36 xG against 1.35 xG allowed by the hosts. Anyang’s last five matches were more open, averaging 3.6 goals with Over 2.5 landing in 80% of games, but Daejeon conceded only 1.0 goal per match during this period. The projected total of 2.50 goals primarily supports the Under 3.5 line, leaving room for typical scorelines such as 1:1, 2:0 or 2:1.

A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome, as Anyang were level after 45 minutes in 45% of their matches, compared with 50% for Daejeon. The hosts score just 0.18 goals per match before the break and have failed to score in the first half in as many as 91% of their outings, while Daejeon concede only 0.40 goals during this period. After the interval, both teams frequently remain evenly matched: Anyang drew the second half in 55% of their matches, while Daejeon did so in as many as 70%, averaging 1.36 and 1.30 goals respectively in this period. Daejeon have the stronger overall season record, averaging 1.50 points and 1.60 goals scored per match compared with Anyang’s 0.73 points and 0.82 goals. However, the hosts have won 60% of their last five matches, which reduces confidence in an away victory. The strongest scenario therefore remains a draw after a cautious first half, with the points shared until the final whistle.