APOEL vs AEK Larnaca: match statistics
The match promises to be extremely evenly matched, which justifies predicting a draw. AEK Larnaca is higher in the table (2nd place vs 6th place) and shows better form in the last five matches (1.8 PPG vs 1.4 PPG), however, APOEL has the home advantage and solid home statistics (50% wins, 40% clean sheets). A key factor is the similar average goals scored per match for both teams (1.7 goals), with the hosts generating higher xG values at home (1.94 vs 1.4 for the away team). AEK Larnaca has better shot accuracy (16% vs 11%), but APOEL dominates in possession (60% vs 53%) and takes more shots (15.8 vs 10.7). Considering that both teams have an identical percentage of matches without conceding a goal at their respective venues and a similar number of goals conceded, a tight, tactical battle ending in a share of the points is expected.
APOEL vs AEK Larnaca: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
APOEL played against AEK Larnaca in First Division (Cyprus). The game was played on February 8, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
APOEL has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. AEK Larnaca has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.
Scoring records
APOEL scores 1.80 goals per game and allows 0.85. AEK Larnaca scores 2.00 and allows 0.85. Games in this league average 2.54 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of APOEL's games and 55% of AEK Larnaca's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 50%, compared with league averages of 37% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
APOEL has the higher season xG average, 1.73 to 1.51 per game. APOEL takes 14.1 shots per game, while AEK Larnaca takes 12.1.
First-half and second-half trends
APOEL leads at halftime in 40% of its games and scores 1.30 goals per game after halftime. AEK Larnaca leads at halftime in 60% and scores 0.90 after halftime.
When the teams score
APOEL's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (14 goals). For AEK Larnaca, it is minutes 0-15 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
First Division games average 2.54 goals. Both teams score in 37% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be extremely evenly matched, which justifies predicting a draw. AEK Larnaca is higher in the table (2nd place vs 6th place) and shows better form in the last five matches (1.8 PPG vs 1.4 PPG), however, APOEL has the home advantage and solid home statistics (50% wins, 40% clean sheets). A key factor is the similar average goals scored per match for both teams (1.7 goals), with the hosts generating higher xG values at home (1.94 vs 1.4 for the away team). AEK Larnaca has better shot accuracy (16% vs 11%), but APOEL dominates in possession (60% vs 53%) and takes more shots (15.8 vs 10.7). Considering that both teams have an identical percentage of matches without conceding a goal at their respective venues and a similar number of goals conceded, a tight, tactical battle ending in a share of the points is expected.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| APOEL | AEK Larnaca | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
AEK Larnaca is 71% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - APOEL · 2.4 pts / game - AEK Larnaca
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AEK Larnaca is 11% better for: goals scored per game.
1.8 goals / game - APOEL · 2 goals / game - AEK Larnaca
APOEL scores in 85% of games (17 of 20 meczów), while AEK Larnaca keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 meczów).
AEK Larnaca scores in 90% of games (18 of 20 meczów), while APOEL keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - APOEL
Over / Under - AEK Larnaca
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AEK Larnaca is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.55 pts / game - APOEL · 2.05 pts / game - AEK Larnaca
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
APOEL - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
AEK Larnaca - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 60% of games and wins 65%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +7 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
APOEL
AEK Larnaca
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| APOEL | Liga | AEK Larnaca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.65 | 2.54 | ▲ 2.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 37% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 34% | • 35% |
| Goal before half-time | • 70% | 70% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 81% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from APOEL's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against AEK Larnaca. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of APOEL vs AEK Larnaca?
The First Division match finished APOEL 1:2 AEK Larnaca. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before APOEL vs AEK Larnaca?
APOEL score 1.80 goals per game on average and AEK Larnaca 2.00. The First Division average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 50% of APOEL's matches and 55% of AEK Larnaca's.
What form are APOEL and AEK Larnaca in?
Over the last 5 games APOEL have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and AEK Larnaca 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for APOEL vs AEK Larnaca?
The statistical background for APOEL vs AEK Larnaca — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.