APS Bomet vs Tusker: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

APS Bomet play Tusker in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match date is 21 December 2025 at 13:00. Final score: 0:1.

Current form

APS Bomet: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Tusker: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

APS Bomet scores 1.00 and concedes 1.18 goals per match. Tusker scores 0.83 and concedes 0.93. League average: 2.01 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: APS Bomet 50%, Tusker 34%. Over 2.5: APS Bomet 43%, Tusker 28%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.

xG, shots and style

Tusker has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.17. APS Bomet: 7.3 shots per match, Tusker: 10.9.

Match halves

APS Bomet: half-time lead 4%, second-half goals 0.14. Tusker: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.21.

Goals by minute

APS Bomet: 0-15 (22 goals). Tusker: 0-15 (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Kenyan Premier League: 2.01 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

48Possession (%)52
APS BometTusker
11Shots8
APS BometTusker
2Shots on target3
APS BometTusker
1.2xG0.96
APS BometTusker
4Corners0
APS BometTusker
50Dangerous attacks32
APS BometTusker
-1Fouls-1
APS BometTusker
-1Cards-1
APS BometTusker

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1Goals scored / match0.83
APS BometTusker
1.18Goals conceded / match0.93
APS BometTusker
44%Average possession51%
APS BometTusker
2.54Shots on target / match3.79
APS BometTusker

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7.25Shots per match10.93
APS BometTusker
2.54Shots on target3.79
APS BometTusker
13.8%Shot conversion7.6%
APS BometTusker
44%Possession51%
APS BometTusker
1.17xG for1.42
APS BometTusker
1.4xG against1.4
APS BometTusker

Shooting quality

APS Bomet: Counter-attackingTusker: Balanced
APS BometTusker
Accuracy (shots on target)35%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.160.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.390.22

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

APS Bomet is 125% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - APS Bomet · 0.8 pts / match - Tusker

APS Bomet
DDDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
21% W36% R43% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-10-12
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-6-7
Last 5 at home
0-3-2
DLLDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 1.25Opponent xG: 1.30BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Tusker
LWLDL
Season result split
41% W17% R41% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-5-12
1.41 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-1-7
Last 5 away
1-0-4
WLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.11Opponent xG: 1.54BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

APS Bomet is 20% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - APS Bomet · 0.83 goals / match - Tusker

Tusker is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.18 goals / match - APS Bomet · 0.93 goals / match - Tusker

APS Bomet scoring profile: mixed

APS Bomet scores in 61% of matches (17 of 28 matches), while Tusker keeps a clean sheet in 38% (11 of 29 matches).

Tusker scoring profile: strong

Tusker scores in 66% of matches (19 of 29 matches), while APS Bomet keeps a clean sheet in 32% (9 of 28 matches).

28Goals scored (season)24
APS BometTusker
33Goals conceded (season)27
APS BometTusker
2.18Average goals in match1.76
APS BometTusker
5Goals scored (last 5)1
APS BometTusker
1Goals conceded (last 5)3
APS BometTusker

How often they score at least...

61%1 goal66%
APS BometTusker
25%2 goals17%
APS BometTusker
11%3 goals0%
APS BometTusker
4%4 goals0%
APS BometTusker

How often they concede at least...

68%1 goal62%
APS BometTusker
32%2 goals21%
APS BometTusker
11%3 goals7%
APS BometTusker
7%4 goals3%
APS BometTusker

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

43%
League average

Goal patterns

7%BTTS at half-time3%
APS BometTusker
4%BTTS in both halves0%
APS BometTusker
4%Scored in both halves3%
APS BometTusker

BTTS and goal count

39%Min. 3 goals and BTTS24%
APS BometTusker
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
APS BometTusker
20%BTTS - last 50%
APS BometTusker

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

14%Min. 1 goal before half-time31%
APS BometTusker
7%Min. 2 goals before half-time10%
APS BometTusker
4%Min. 3 goals before half-time3%
APS BometTusker

2nd half

25%Min. 1 goal after half-time21%
APS BometTusker
11%Min. 2 goals after half-time7%
APS BometTusker
4%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
APS BometTusker

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tusker is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - APS Bomet · 1.1 pts / match - Tusker

APS Bomet - half-time state
4% leading89% draw7% trailing
Tusker - half-time state
14% leading69% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.1
APS BometTusker
0.11Goals scored (1st half)0.17
APS BometTusker
0.18Goals conceded (1st half)0.28
APS BometTusker
0.29Average goals (1st half)0.45
APS BometTusker
89%Clean sheet before half-time83%
APS BometTusker
89%No goal before half-time83%
APS BometTusker

After half-time (2nd half)

0.93Points per match (2nd half)1.28
APS BometTusker
0.14Goals scored (2nd half)0.21
APS BometTusker
0.25Goals conceded (2nd half)0.07
APS BometTusker
0.39Average goals (2nd half)0.28
APS BometTusker
79%Clean sheet after half-time93%
APS BometTusker
86%No goal after half-time79%
APS BometTusker

APS Bomet - second-half results

4% W82% R14% P
28
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding525%

Leads at half-time in 4% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Tusker - second-half results

14% W86% R0% P
32
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.10
PPG before half-time
Lead holding293%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

APS Bomet - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.00
Goals scored / match0.20.0
Goals conceded / match0.00.0
Average goals in match0.20.0
1 goal20%0%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%100%
No goal80%100%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Tusker - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.00
Goals scored / match0.00.0
Goals conceded / match0.00.0
Average goals in match0.00.0
1 goal0%0%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%100%
No goal100%100%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

APS Bomet
ScoredConceded
22
25
0-15
0
1
16-30
1
0
31-45
0
2
46-60
0
0
61-75
5
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (22 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (25). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Tusker
ScoredConceded
14
20
0-15
1
4
16-30
2
1
31-45
1
0
46-60
1
0
61-75
5
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (14 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (20). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.97
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
42%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
40%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
13%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

APS Bomet

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
98%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
119%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.80
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 79% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Tusker

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.59
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.47
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
84%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
91%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.61
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 58% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).

Teams vs league

APS BometLigaTusker
Average goals in match 2.182.01 1.76
Both teams scored 50%43% 34%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 43%33% 28%
Clean sheets 32%36% 38%
Goal before half-time 14%21% 31%
Goal after half-time 25%22% 21%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.01
Average goals per match
43%
Both teams scored
33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
36%
Clean sheets
1.02
Home goals / match
0.99
Away goals / match
+3%
Home attack advantage
+3%
Home defence advantage
+-2%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
21%
1 goal
8%
2 goals
2%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
22%
1 goal
11%
2 goals
2%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of APS Bomet vs Tusker?

The Kenyan Premier League match finished APS Bomet 0:1 Tusker. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before APS Bomet vs Tusker?

APS Bomet score 1.00 goals per game on average and Tusker 0.83. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.01 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 50% of APS Bomet's matches and 34% of Tusker's.

What form are APS Bomet and Tusker in?

Over the last 5 games APS Bomet have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Tusker 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for APS Bomet vs Tusker?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.