Araz vs Sumqayıt: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates balanced chances for both teams, which suggests a draw. Araz holds the home advantage with a 56% win rate in home matches, but their recent form (2 wins out of 5 matches) raises doubts. Sumqayıt displays solid defensive performances on the road, conceding an average of only 0.89 goals per match, which is significantly better than the 1.56 goals conceded by Araz at home. Both teams share an identical shot conversion rate (13%) and similar xG statistics, confirming their balanced offensive potential. Considering the poor recent form of both sides (Araz 1.2 PPG, Sumqayıt 0.8 PPG) and the fact that both teams fail to score in 22% of their matches, the most likely outcome is a share of the points.
Araz vs Sumqayıt: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Araz played against Sumqayıt in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The game was played on February 15, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Araz has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Sumqayıt has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Araz scores 1.53 goals per game and allows 1.79. Sumqayıt scores 1.47 and allows 1.42. Games in this league average 2.54 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 68% of Araz's games and 53% of Sumqayıt's. The Over 2.5 rates are 63% and 53%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Sumqayıt has the higher season xG average, 1.30 to 1.28 per game. Araz takes 9.8 shots per game, while Sumqayıt takes 9.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Araz leads at halftime in 32% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Sumqayıt leads at halftime in 11% and scores 0.95 after halftime.
When the teams score
Araz's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Sumqayıt, it is minutes 61-75 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premyer Liqası games average 2.54 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates balanced chances for both teams, which suggests a draw. Araz holds the home advantage with a 56% win rate in home matches, but their recent form (2 wins out of 5 matches) raises doubts. Sumqayıt displays solid defensive performances on the road, conceding an average of only 0.89 goals per match, which is significantly better than the 1.56 goals conceded by Araz at home. Both teams share an identical shot conversion rate (13%) and similar xG statistics, confirming their balanced offensive potential. Considering the poor recent form of both sides (Araz 1.2 PPG, Sumqayıt 0.8 PPG) and the fact that both teams fail to score in 22% of their matches, the most likely outcome is a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Araz | Sumqayıt | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Araz is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Araz · 0.8 pts / game - Sumqayıt
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sumqayıt is 26% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.79 goals / game - Araz · 1.42 goals / game - Sumqayıt
Araz scores in 89% of games (17 of 19 meczów), while Sumqayıt keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 meczów).
Sumqayıt scores in 79% of games (15 of 19 meczów), while Araz keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Araz
Over / Under - Sumqayıt
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Araz is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.26 pts / game - Araz · 0.84 pts / game - Sumqayıt
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Araz - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Sumqayıt - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 11% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Araz
Sumqayıt
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Araz | Liga | Sumqayıt | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.32 | 2.54 | ▲ 2.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 46% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 48% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 31% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 84% | 68% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 95% | 73% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Araz's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Sumqayıt. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Araz vs Sumqayıt?
The Premyer Liqası match finished Araz 1:0 Sumqayıt. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Araz vs Sumqayıt?
Araz score 1.53 goals per game on average and Sumqayıt 1.47. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Araz's matches and 53% of Sumqayıt's.
What form are Araz and Sumqayıt in?
Over the last 5 games Araz have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Sumqayıt 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Araz vs Sumqayıt?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.