Arba Minch Kenema vs Dire Dawa Kenema: match statistics
Arba Minch Kenema occupies the last, 20th place in the table with a catastrophic home record: 0% home wins, 75% of matches without scoring, and a goal difference of -7. The hosts have scored just 3 goals in 8 home matches, averaging 0.38 goals per game. Dire Dawa Kenema, despite their 11th position, looks much more solid away: 25% wins, 50% draws, and an impressive 50% clean sheets. The guests have better form in the last 5 matches (1.2 points per match) compared to the hosts (0.8 points). Considering Arba Minch's dramatic weakness in attack and Dire Dawa's defensive solidity on the road, I expect a victory for the guests or a draw, with a slight edge for the visiting team.
Arba Minch Kenema vs Dire Dawa Kenema: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Arba Minch Kenema played against Dire Dawa Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on February 6, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Arba Minch Kenema has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Dire Dawa Kenema has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Arba Minch Kenema scores 0.50 goals per game and allows 1.17. Dire Dawa Kenema scores 0.61 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 1.70 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 39% of Arba Minch Kenema's games and 28% of Dire Dawa Kenema's. The Over 2.5 rates are 22% and 28%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 26% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Arba Minch Kenema has the higher season xG average, 1.07 to 1.01 per game. Arba Minch Kenema takes 6.2 shots per game, while Dire Dawa Kenema takes 6.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Arba Minch Kenema leads at halftime in 11% of its games and scores 0.28 goals per game after halftime. Dire Dawa Kenema leads at halftime in 11% and scores 0.44 after halftime.
When the teams score
Arba Minch Kenema's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). For Dire Dawa Kenema, it is minutes 61-75 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.70 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 26% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Arba Minch Kenema occupies the last, 20th place in the table with a catastrophic home record: 0% home wins, 75% of matches without scoring, and a goal difference of -7. The hosts have scored just 3 goals in 8 home matches, averaging 0.38 goals per game. Dire Dawa Kenema, despite their 11th position, looks much more solid away: 25% wins, 50% draws, and an impressive 50% clean sheets. The guests have better form in the last 5 matches (1.2 points per match) compared to the hosts (0.8 points). Considering Arba Minch's dramatic weakness in attack and Dire Dawa's defensive solidity on the road, I expect a victory for the guests or a draw, with a slight edge for the visiting team.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Arba Minch Kenema | Dire Dawa Kenema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Dire Dawa Kenema is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Arba Minch Kenema · 1.2 pts / game - Dire Dawa Kenema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dire Dawa Kenema is 22% better for: goals scored per game.
0.5 goals / game - Arba Minch Kenema · 0.61 goals / game - Dire Dawa Kenema
Dire Dawa Kenema is 17% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.17 goals / game - Arba Minch Kenema · 1 goals / game - Dire Dawa Kenema
Arba Minch Kenema scores in 39% of games (7 of 18 meczów), while Dire Dawa Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 44% (8 of 18 meczów).
Dire Dawa Kenema scores in 39% of games (7 of 18 meczów), while Arba Minch Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Arba Minch Kenema
Over / Under - Dire Dawa Kenema
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Arba Minch Kenema is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.89 pts / game - Arba Minch Kenema · 0.83 pts / game - Dire Dawa Kenema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Arba Minch Kenema - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 11% of games and wins 6%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Dire Dawa Kenema - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 11% of games and wins 28%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Arba Minch Kenema
Dire Dawa Kenema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Arba Minch Kenema | Liga | Dire Dawa Kenema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 1.67 | 1.70 | • 1.61 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 41% | ▼ 28% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 22% | 26% | ▲ 28% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 28% | 41% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 54% | ▲ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▲ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Arba Minch Kenema vs Dire Dawa Kenema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Arba Minch Kenema 1:1 Dire Dawa Kenema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Arba Minch Kenema vs Dire Dawa Kenema?
Arba Minch Kenema score 0.50 goals per game on average and Dire Dawa Kenema 0.61. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Arba Minch Kenema's matches and 28% of Dire Dawa Kenema's.
What form are Arba Minch Kenema and Dire Dawa Kenema in?
Over the last 5 games Arba Minch Kenema have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Dire Dawa Kenema 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arba Minch Kenema vs Dire Dawa Kenema?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Arba Minch Kenema vs Dire Dawa Kenema: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.