Arba Minch Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank: match statistics
Arba Minch Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Arba Minch Kenema play Ethiopia Nigd Bank in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 30 April 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Arba Minch Kenema: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Ethiopia Nigd Bank: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Arba Minch Kenema scores 0.79 and concedes 1.21 goals per match. Ethiopia Nigd Bank scores 1.18 and concedes 1.18. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Arba Minch Kenema 42%, Ethiopia Nigd Bank 58%. Over 2.5: Arba Minch Kenema 29%, Ethiopia Nigd Bank 47%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Arba Minch Kenema: 7.3 shots per match, Ethiopia Nigd Bank: 6.6.
Match halves
Arba Minch Kenema: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.39. Ethiopia Nigd Bank: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
Arba Minch Kenema: 31-45+ (8 goals). Ethiopia Nigd Bank: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I back the away win (2). Ethiopia Nigd Bank have 35 goals this season vs 21 for Arba Minch and have scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches compared to the hosts’ 5; the visitors’ last 5 form is 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, while the hosts are 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses. Away, the visitors average 2.43 shots on target with a conversion rate of 17%, whereas the hosts at home average 1.85 SOT and a 9% conversion, indicating an efficiency edge for the away side. The hosts have not won at home yet (0% home wins) and fail to score in 57% of home matches, while the visitors are goalless in only 21% of away fixtures; both defenses concede over 1 goal per game (1.5 for the hosts vs 1.36 for the visitors), so the advantage should favor the more clinical attack. With similar average xG (1.14 home vs 1.09 away), the decisive factors are finishing and recent trends — points per game over the last 5 are 1.0 for the hosts and 1.4 for the visitors — hence a higher probability of an away victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Arba Minch Kenema | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Arba Minch Kenema is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Arba Minch Kenema · 1 pts / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank is 49% better for: goals scored per match.
0.79 goals / match - Arba Minch Kenema · 1.18 goals / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Arba Minch Kenema scores in 53% of matches (20 of 38 matches), while Ethiopia Nigd Bank keeps a clean sheet in 26% (10 of 38 matches).
Ethiopia Nigd Bank scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while Arba Minch Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 29% (11 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Arba Minch Kenema
Over / Under — Ethiopia Nigd Bank
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - Arba Minch Kenema · 1.18 pts / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Arba Minch Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 18%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Arba Minch Kenema
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Arba Minch Kenema | Liga | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.00 | 1.78 | ▲ 2.37 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 42% | 40% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 29% | 28% | ▲ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 29% | 40% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 56% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | • 58% | 59% | ▲ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Arba Minch Kenema 0 - 0 - 1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Arba Minch Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Arba Minch Kenema 0:0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Arba Minch Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
Arba Minch Kenema score 0.79 goals per game on average and Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1.18. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Arba Minch Kenema's matches and 58% of Ethiopia Nigd Bank's.
What form are Arba Minch Kenema and Ethiopia Nigd Bank in?
Over the last 5 games Arba Minch Kenema have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arba Minch Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Arba Minch Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.