Arba Minch Kenema vs Ethiopian Medhin: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to an even contest between two teams from the lower regions of the table. Arba Minch Kenema sits in last place (20th) and has not won a single home game this season (0% Win%), recording a massive 55% loss rate at their own stadium and a -10 goal difference. Ethiopian Medhin is placed slightly higher in 19th position and demonstrates better away form - a 27% away win rate, a superior shot conversion rate (12% vs 9%), and more shots on target per match (3.18 vs 1.8). The recent form of both teams over their last five matches is quite similar, however - the hosts with 1.6 PPG, and the visitors with 1.2 PPG. Taking into account the hosts' weakness in front of their home crowd, as well as the visitors' moderate offensive capabilities (0.91 goals/match away), a draw in a low-scoring encounter seems the most probable scenario.
Arba Minch Kenema vs Ethiopian Medhin: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Arba Minch Kenema played against Ethiopian Medhin in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on March 14, 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Recent form
Arba Minch Kenema has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Ethiopian Medhin has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Arba Minch Kenema scores 0.70 goals per game and allows 1.17. Ethiopian Medhin scores 0.73 and allows 0.82. Games in this league average 1.75 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 43% of Arba Minch Kenema's games and 41% of Ethiopian Medhin's. The Over 2.5 rates are 22% and 27%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 26% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Ethiopian Medhin has the higher season xG average, 1.26 to 1.15 per game. Arba Minch Kenema takes 6.9 shots per game, while Ethiopian Medhin takes 7.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Arba Minch Kenema leads at halftime in 17% of its games and scores 0.35 goals per game after halftime. Ethiopian Medhin leads at halftime in 18% and scores 0.23 after halftime.
When the teams score
Arba Minch Kenema's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). For Ethiopian Medhin, it is minutes 16-30 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.75 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 26% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to an even contest between two teams from the lower regions of the table. Arba Minch Kenema sits in last place (20th) and has not won a single home game this season (0% Win%), recording a massive 55% loss rate at their own stadium and a -10 goal difference. Ethiopian Medhin is placed slightly higher in 19th position and demonstrates better away form - a 27% away win rate, a superior shot conversion rate (12% vs 9%), and more shots on target per match (3.18 vs 1.8). The recent form of both teams over their last five matches is quite similar, however - the hosts with 1.6 PPG, and the visitors with 1.2 PPG. Taking into account the hosts' weakness in front of their home crowd, as well as the visitors' moderate offensive capabilities (0.91 goals/match away), a draw in a low-scoring encounter seems the most probable scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Arba Minch Kenema | Ethiopian Medhin | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Arba Minch Kenema is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Arba Minch Kenema · 1.2 pts / game - Ethiopian Medhin
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ethiopian Medhin is 43% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.17 goals / game - Arba Minch Kenema · 0.82 goals / game - Ethiopian Medhin
Arba Minch Kenema scores in 52% of games (12 of 23 meczów), while Ethiopian Medhin keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 meczów).
Ethiopian Medhin scores in 45% of games (10 of 22 meczów), while Arba Minch Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Arba Minch Kenema
Over / Under - Ethiopian Medhin
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ethiopian Medhin is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - Arba Minch Kenema · 1.23 pts / game - Ethiopian Medhin
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Arba Minch Kenema - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 13%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Ethiopian Medhin - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 18%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Arba Minch Kenema
Ethiopian Medhin
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Arba Minch Kenema | Liga | Ethiopian Medhin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 1.87 | 1.75 | ▼ 1.55 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 43% | 41% | • 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 22% | 26% | • 27% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 30% | 40% | ▼ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 61% | 53% | ▲ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 52% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Ethiopian MedhinGoalWogene Gezahegn
- Ethiopian MedhinAssistYared Moges
Head-to-head
Record from Arba Minch Kenema's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Ethiopian Medhin. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Arba Minch Kenema vs Ethiopian Medhin?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Arba Minch Kenema 0:2 Ethiopian Medhin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Arba Minch Kenema vs Ethiopian Medhin?
Arba Minch Kenema score 0.70 goals per game on average and Ethiopian Medhin 0.73. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Arba Minch Kenema's matches and 41% of Ethiopian Medhin's.
What form are Arba Minch Kenema and Ethiopian Medhin in?
Over the last 5 games Arba Minch Kenema have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Ethiopian Medhin 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arba Minch Kenema vs Ethiopian Medhin?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.