Arba Minch Kenema vs Fasil Ketema: match statistics
Fasil Ketema clearly dominates this clash in terms of all key indicators. The hosts, Arba Minch Kenema, have not won a single match this season, sit in last place in the table, and have scored merely 5 goals while conceding 17. Their home form is catastrophic with 0% wins and as many as 86% matches without scoring a goal. Fasil Ketema ranks 4th, possesses a solid defense (only 5 conceded goals in the season), and an impressive 86% clean sheets away. Although the guests have a tendency for draws on the road (71%), the distinct quality advantage and form (1.2 PPG in the last 5 matches versus 0.6 for the hosts) as well as a positive goal difference (+3) in away matches argue for their victory. xG statistics also favor the guests (1.25 xG For versus 0.89 for the hosts), confirming their offensive advantage.
Arba Minch Kenema vs Fasil Ketema: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Arba Minch Kenema played against Fasil Ketema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on January 25, 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Recent form
Arba Minch Kenema has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Fasil Ketema has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Arba Minch Kenema scores 0.31 goals per game and allows 1.06. Fasil Ketema scores 0.67 and allows 0.33. Games in this league average 1.76 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 31% of Arba Minch Kenema's games and 20% of Fasil Ketema's. The Over 2.5 rates are 13% and 0%, compared with league averages of 42% for BTTS and 29% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Fasil Ketema has the higher season xG average, 1.18 to 1.01 per game. Arba Minch Kenema takes 5.6 shots per game, while Fasil Ketema takes 8.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Arba Minch Kenema leads at halftime in 13% of its games and scores 0.13 goals per game after halftime. Fasil Ketema leads at halftime in 20% and scores 0.40 after halftime.
When the teams score
Arba Minch Kenema's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (2 goals). For Fasil Ketema, it is minutes 61-75 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.76 goals. Both teams score in 42% of games, and 29% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fasil Ketema clearly dominates this clash in terms of all key indicators. The hosts, Arba Minch Kenema, have not won a single match this season, sit in last place in the table, and have scored merely 5 goals while conceding 17. Their home form is catastrophic with 0% wins and as many as 86% matches without scoring a goal. Fasil Ketema ranks 4th, possesses a solid defense (only 5 conceded goals in the season), and an impressive 86% clean sheets away. Although the guests have a tendency for draws on the road (71%), the distinct quality advantage and form (1.2 PPG in the last 5 matches versus 0.6 for the hosts) as well as a positive goal difference (+3) in away matches argue for their victory. xG statistics also favor the guests (1.25 xG For versus 0.89 for the hosts), confirming their offensive advantage.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Arba Minch Kenema | Fasil Ketema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Fasil Ketema is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Arba Minch Kenema · 1.2 pts / game - Fasil Ketema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fasil Ketema is 116% better for: goals scored per game.
0.31 goals / game - Arba Minch Kenema · 0.67 goals / game - Fasil Ketema
Fasil Ketema is 221% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.06 goals / game - Arba Minch Kenema · 0.33 goals / game - Fasil Ketema
Arba Minch Kenema scores in 31% of games (5 of 16 meczów), while Fasil Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 73% (11 of 15 meczów).
Fasil Ketema scores in 60% of games (9 of 15 meczów), while Arba Minch Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Arba Minch Kenema
Over / Under - Fasil Ketema
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fasil Ketema is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.94 pts / game - Arba Minch Kenema · 1.4 pts / game - Fasil Ketema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Arba Minch Kenema - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 0%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Fasil Ketema - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Arba Minch Kenema
Fasil Ketema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Arba Minch Kenema | Liga | Fasil Ketema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.38 | 1.76 | ▼ 1.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 31% | 42% | ▼ 20% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 13% | 29% | ▼ 0% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 31% | 40% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▼ 27% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 44% | 57% | ▼ 47% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Arba Minch Kenema vs Fasil Ketema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Arba Minch Kenema 2:3 Fasil Ketema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Arba Minch Kenema vs Fasil Ketema?
Arba Minch Kenema score 0.31 goals per game on average and Fasil Ketema 0.67. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 31% of Arba Minch Kenema's matches and 20% of Fasil Ketema's.
What form are Arba Minch Kenema and Fasil Ketema in?
Over the last 5 games Arba Minch Kenema have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Fasil Ketema 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arba Minch Kenema vs Fasil Ketema?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.