Arba Minch Kenema vs Mekelakeya: match statistics
Arba Minch Kenema is in a dire situation at the bottom of the table in 20th place, having not won a single match this season and scoring just 5 goals while conceding 14. The hosts have catastrophic home form with a 0% win rate, failing to score in 83% of matches, and averaging just 0.17 goals per home game. Mekelakeya occupies a solid 7th place with a 19:15 record and impressive away performance—43% wins and 1.71 goals on average per match. The visitors hold a clear advantage in offensive statistics: 4 shots on target per match vs 1.4 for the hosts, and a much better conversion rate (18% vs 4%). The difference in quality between the two teams, confirmed by goal difference (+4 for the visitors, -4 for the hosts) and form, indicates a clear advantage for Mekelakeya, although the visitors' weaker recent run (0.8 PPG) may complicate a certain victory.
Arba Minch Kenema vs Mekelakeya: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Arba Minch Kenema played against Mekelakeya in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on January 17, 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Recent form
Arba Minch Kenema has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Mekelakeya has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Arba Minch Kenema scores 0.36 goals per game and allows 1.00. Mekelakeya scores 1.27 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 1.71 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 36% of Arba Minch Kenema's games and 53% of Mekelakeya's. The Over 2.5 rates are 14% and 40%, compared with league averages of 42% for BTTS and 27% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Mekelakeya has the higher season xG average, 1.40 to 1.06 per game. Arba Minch Kenema takes 5.6 shots per game, while Mekelakeya takes 9.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Arba Minch Kenema leads at halftime in 14% of its games and scores 0.14 goals per game after halftime. Mekelakeya leads at halftime in 40% and scores 0.33 after halftime.
When the teams score
Arba Minch Kenema's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (2 goals). For Mekelakeya, it is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.71 goals. Both teams score in 42% of games, and 27% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Arba Minch Kenema is in a dire situation at the bottom of the table in 20th place, having not won a single match this season and scoring just 5 goals while conceding 14. The hosts have catastrophic home form with a 0% win rate, failing to score in 83% of matches, and averaging just 0.17 goals per home game. Mekelakeya occupies a solid 7th place with a 19:15 record and impressive away performance—43% wins and 1.71 goals on average per match. The visitors hold a clear advantage in offensive statistics: 4 shots on target per match vs 1.4 for the hosts, and a much better conversion rate (18% vs 4%). The difference in quality between the two teams, confirmed by goal difference (+4 for the visitors, -4 for the hosts) and form, indicates a clear advantage for Mekelakeya, although the visitors' weaker recent run (0.8 PPG) may complicate a certain victory.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Arba Minch Kenema | Mekelakeya | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.19 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Mekelakeya is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Arba Minch Kenema · 0.8 pts / game - Mekelakeya
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mekelakeya is 253% better for: goals scored per game.
0.36 goals / game - Arba Minch Kenema · 1.27 goals / game - Mekelakeya
Arba Minch Kenema scores in 36% of games (5 of 14 meczów), while Mekelakeya keeps a clean sheet in 33% (5 of 15 meczów).
Mekelakeya scores in 73% of games (11 of 15 meczów), while Arba Minch Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 36% (5 of 14 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Arba Minch Kenema
Over / Under - Mekelakeya
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mekelakeya is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - Arba Minch Kenema · 1.6 pts / game - Mekelakeya
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Arba Minch Kenema - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 0%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Mekelakeya - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 33%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Arba Minch Kenema
Mekelakeya
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Arba Minch Kenema | Liga | Mekelakeya | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.36 | 1.71 | ▲ 2.27 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 36% | 42% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 14% | 27% | ▲ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 36% | 40% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 43% | 57% | ▲ 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- MekelakeyaGoalChernet Gugsa Beshah
FAQ
What was the result of Arba Minch Kenema vs Mekelakeya?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Arba Minch Kenema 0:2 Mekelakeya. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Arba Minch Kenema vs Mekelakeya?
Arba Minch Kenema score 0.36 goals per game on average and Mekelakeya 1.27. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Arba Minch Kenema's matches and 53% of Mekelakeya's.
What form are Arba Minch Kenema and Mekelakeya in?
Over the last 5 games Arba Minch Kenema have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Mekelakeya 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arba Minch Kenema vs Mekelakeya?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Arba Minch Kenema vs Mekelakeya: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.