Arba Minch Kenema vs Mekelle Kenema: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Arba Minch Kenema play Mekelle Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 24 December 2025 at 13:00. Final score: 0:2.

Current form

Arba Minch Kenema: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Mekelle Kenema: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Arba Minch Kenema scores 0.79 and concedes 1.21 goals per match. Mekelle Kenema scores 0.79 and concedes 0.95. League average: 1.78 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Arba Minch Kenema 42%, Mekelle Kenema 37%. Over 2.5: Arba Minch Kenema 29%, Mekelle Kenema 34%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.

xG, shots and style

Arba Minch Kenema has higher xG: 1.12 vs 1.10. Arba Minch Kenema: 7.3 shots per match, Mekelle Kenema: 6.4.

Match halves

Arba Minch Kenema: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.39. Mekelle Kenema: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.42.

Goals by minute

Arba Minch Kenema: 31-45+ (8 goals). Mekelle Kenema: 46-60 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

61Possession (%)39
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
4Shots8
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
1Shots on target4
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
0.99xG1.3
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
3Corners1
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
90Dangerous attacks71
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
12Fouls8
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
0Cards0
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
0.79Goals scored / match0.79
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
1.21Goals conceded / match0.95
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
49%Average possession49%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
2.29Shots on target / match2.42
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7.26Shots per match6.37
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
2.29Shots on target2.42
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
10.9%Shot conversion12.4%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
49%Possession49%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
1.12xG for1.1
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
1.2xG against1.17
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema

Shooting quality

Arba Minch Kenema: BalancedMekelle Kenema: Balanced
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
Accuracy (shots on target)32%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.17
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Arba Minch Kenema
WWLLL
Season result split
18% W37% R45% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-14-17
0.92 pts / match · goal difference -16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-7-11
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
DLLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.20Opponent xG: 1.32BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Mekelle Kenema
DDDLW
Season result split
21% W45% R34% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-17-13
1.08 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-7-8
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DLWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.12Opponent xG: 1.16BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Mekelle Kenema is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.21 goals / match - Arba Minch Kenema · 0.95 goals / match - Mekelle Kenema

Arba Minch Kenema scoring profile: mixed

Arba Minch Kenema scores in 53% of matches (20 of 38 matches), while Mekelle Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 39% (15 of 38 matches).

Mekelle Kenema scoring profile: mixed

Mekelle Kenema scores in 53% of matches (20 of 38 matches), while Arba Minch Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 29% (11 of 38 matches).

30Goals scored (season)30
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
46Goals conceded (season)36
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
2Average goals in match1.74
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
5Goals scored (last 5)3
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
6Goals conceded (last 5)3
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema

How often they score at least...

53%1 goal53%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
26%2 goals21%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
0%3 goals5%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
0%4 goals0%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal61%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
32%2 goals26%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
16%3 goals8%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
3%4 goals0%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

42%
Arba Minch Kenema - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.16 of 38 matches
40%
League average

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time11%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
3%BTTS in both halves3%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
16%Scored in both halves16%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema

BTTS and goal count

26%Min. 3 goals and BTTS24%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
40%BTTS - last 50%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time55%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
24%Min. 2 goals before half-time18%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time3%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema

2nd half

58%Min. 1 goal after half-time61%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
26%Min. 2 goals after half-time32%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time5%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Mekelle Kenema is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.05 pts / match - Arba Minch Kenema · 1.16 pts / match - Mekelle Kenema

Arba Minch Kenema - half-time state
24% leading34% draw42% trailing
Mekelle Kenema - half-time state
21% leading53% draw26% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.05Points per match (1st half)1.16
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
0.39Goals scored (1st half)0.37
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
0.63Goals conceded (1st half)0.39
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
1.03Average goals (1st half)0.76
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
53%Clean sheet before half-time66%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
66%No goal before half-time68%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema

After half-time (2nd half)

1.11Points per match (2nd half)1.11
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
0.39Goals scored (2nd half)0.42
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
0.58Goals conceded (2nd half)0.55
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
0.97Average goals (2nd half)0.97
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
58%Clean sheet after half-time58%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema
66%No goal after half-time63%
Arba Minch KenemaMekelle Kenema

Arba Minch Kenema - second-half results

18% W55% R26% P
40
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-9
Goal difference (1st half)
42
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.05
PPG before half-time
Lead holding75%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 18%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Mekelle Kenema - second-half results

18% W55% R26% P
44
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
42
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.16
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Arba Minch Kenema - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.00
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.01.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Mekelle Kenema - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.20
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match0.60.6
1 goal40%40%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Arba Minch Kenema
ScoredConceded
3
9
0-15
4
9
16-30
8
6
31-45
5
8
46-60
2
4
61-75
8
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Mekelle Kenema
ScoredConceded
3
4
0-15
8
5
16-30
3
6
31-45
9
7
46-60
2
5
61-75
5
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.87
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
40%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+7%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
28%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
22%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Arba Minch Kenema

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.34
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
87%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
139%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.28
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Mekelle Kenema

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
104%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.12
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

Arba Minch KenemaLigaMekelle Kenema
Average goals in match 2.001.78 1.74
Both teams scored 42%40% 37%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 29%28% 34%
Clean sheets 29%40% 39%
Goal before half-time 71%56% 55%
Goal after half-time 58%59% 61%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.78
Average goals per match
40%
Both teams scored
28%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
40%
Clean sheets
0.91
Home goals / match
0.87
Away goals / match
+5%
Home attack advantage
+4%
Home defence advantage
+1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Arba Minch Kenema 1 - 0 - 0 Mekelle Kenema. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Arba Minch Kenema vs Mekelle Kenema?

The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Arba Minch Kenema 0:2 Mekelle Kenema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Arba Minch Kenema vs Mekelle Kenema?

Arba Minch Kenema score 0.79 goals per game on average and Mekelle Kenema 0.79. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Arba Minch Kenema's matches and 37% of Mekelle Kenema's.

What form are Arba Minch Kenema and Mekelle Kenema in?

Over the last 5 games Arba Minch Kenema have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Mekelle Kenema 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arba Minch Kenema vs Mekelle Kenema?

The statistical background for Arba Minch Kenema vs Mekelle Kenema — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.