Arbroath vs Dunfermline Athletic: match statistics
Arbroath sits in 3rd place in the table and shows solid home form with a 45% win rate at home, but their last 5 matches overall have yielded only 1.2 points per game. Dunfermline Athletic is in 6th position, but demonstrates better recent form (1.8 PPG) and an impressive 42% away win rate. The hosts have a possession advantage in home matches (47% vs the visitors' 50% away), but their goal-scoring efficiency (1.55 goals/match) is similar to the away side's (1.42 goals/match). A key factor is that Dunfermline has better form in the last 5 matches and an identical goal difference (+5) in their away fixtures as Arbroath has at home. Considering the high number of draws for the hosts at home (45%) and the balanced statistics of both teams, the most probable outcome appears to be a draw, although the slight home advantage from playing in front of their own crowd cannot be ignored.
Arbroath vs Dunfermline Athletic: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Arbroath played against Dunfermline Athletic in Championship (Scotland). The game was played on February 21, 2026. Final score: 4:2.
Recent form
Arbroath has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Dunfermline Athletic has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Arbroath scores 1.33 goals per game and allows 1.25. Dunfermline Athletic scores 1.26 and allows 1.13. Games in this league average 2.42 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 58% of Arbroath's games and 35% of Dunfermline Athletic's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 39%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Arbroath has the higher season xG average, 1.35 to 1.33 per game. Arbroath takes 10.8 shots per game, while Dunfermline Athletic takes 10.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Arbroath leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.92 goals per game after halftime. Dunfermline Athletic leads at halftime in 35% and scores 0.61 after halftime.
When the teams score
Arbroath's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). For Dunfermline Athletic, it is minutes 31-45+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Championship games average 2.42 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Arbroath sits in 3rd place in the table and shows solid home form with a 45% win rate at home, but their last 5 matches overall have yielded only 1.2 points per game. Dunfermline Athletic is in 6th position, but demonstrates better recent form (1.8 PPG) and an impressive 42% away win rate. The hosts have a possession advantage in home matches (47% vs the visitors' 50% away), but their goal-scoring efficiency (1.55 goals/match) is similar to the away side's (1.42 goals/match). A key factor is that Dunfermline has better form in the last 5 matches and an identical goal difference (+5) in their away fixtures as Arbroath has at home. Considering the high number of draws for the hosts at home (45%) and the balanced statistics of both teams, the most probable outcome appears to be a draw, although the slight home advantage from playing in front of their own crowd cannot be ignored.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Arbroath | Dunfermline Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Dunfermline Athletic is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Arbroath · 1.2 pts / game - Dunfermline Athletic
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Arbroath is 6% better for: goals scored per game.
1.33 goals / game - Arbroath · 1.26 goals / game - Dunfermline Athletic
Dunfermline Athletic is 11% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.25 goals / game - Arbroath · 1.13 goals / game - Dunfermline Athletic
Arbroath scores in 71% of games (17 of 24 meczów), while Dunfermline Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 39% (9 of 23 meczów).
Dunfermline Athletic scores in 65% of games (15 of 23 meczów), while Arbroath keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Arbroath
Over / Under - Dunfermline Athletic
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dunfermline Athletic is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / game - Arbroath · 1.3 pts / game - Dunfermline Athletic
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Arbroath - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Dunfermline Athletic - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Arbroath
Dunfermline Athletic
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Arbroath | Liga | Dunfermline Athletic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.58 | 2.42 | • 2.39 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 49% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 44% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 32% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 69% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 71% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Arbroath's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Dunfermline Athletic. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Arbroath vs Dunfermline Athletic?
The Championship match finished Arbroath 4:2 Dunfermline Athletic. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Arbroath and Dunfermline Athletic?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Arbroath won 1, Dunfermline Athletic won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Arbroath vs Dunfermline Athletic?
Arbroath score 1.33 goals per game on average and Dunfermline Athletic 1.26. The Championship average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Arbroath's matches and 35% of Dunfermline Athletic's.
What form are Arbroath and Dunfermline Athletic in?
Over the last 5 games Arbroath have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Dunfermline Athletic 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arbroath vs Dunfermline Athletic?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.