Arda vs Slavia Sofia: match statistics
The match promises to be very evenly contested. Arda is in 10th place in the table and has a poor home record with just 20% wins at home, while Slavia Sofia is in 7th position, but also struggles away from home (22% wins). The recent form of both teams is average - Arda with 2.0 PPG in the last 5 matches, Slavia with 1.4 PPG. A key factor is the goal difference: Arda scores an average of 0.7 goals at home and concedes 1.0, while Slavia scores 0.89 and concedes 1.33 goals away. xG statistics show Arda's advantage in chance creation (1.65 vs 1.42), but their low efficiency (5% conversion rate) and the fact that they fail to score in 60% of home matches suggest offensive issues. Considering the high draw percentages of both teams (40% for Arda at home, 33% for Slavia away) and the balanced statistics, the most likely outcome appears to be a share of the points.
Arda vs Slavia Sofia: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Arda played against Slavia Sofia in First League (Bulgaria). The game was played on February 14, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Arda has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Slavia Sofia has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Arda scores 1.05 goals per game and allows 1.10. Slavia Sofia scores 1.15 and allows 1.15. Games in this league average 2.40 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 25% of Arda's games and 50% of Slavia Sofia's. The Over 2.5 rates are 35% and 40%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Slavia Sofia has the higher season xG average, 1.47 to 1.44 per game. Arda takes 11.2 shots per game, while Slavia Sofia takes 11.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Arda leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 0.35 goals per game after halftime. Slavia Sofia leads at halftime in 30% and scores 0.55 after halftime.
When the teams score
Arda's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). For Slavia Sofia, it is minutes 16-30 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
First League games average 2.40 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be very evenly contested. Arda is in 10th place in the table and has a poor home record with just 20% wins at home, while Slavia Sofia is in 7th position, but also struggles away from home (22% wins). The recent form of both teams is average - Arda with 2.0 PPG in the last 5 matches, Slavia with 1.4 PPG. A key factor is the goal difference: Arda scores an average of 0.7 goals at home and concedes 1.0, while Slavia scores 0.89 and concedes 1.33 goals away. xG statistics show Arda's advantage in chance creation (1.65 vs 1.42), but their low efficiency (5% conversion rate) and the fact that they fail to score in 60% of home matches suggest offensive issues. Considering the high draw percentages of both teams (40% for Arda at home, 33% for Slavia away) and the balanced statistics, the most likely outcome appears to be a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Arda | Slavia Sofia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Slavia Sofia is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Arda · 2 pts / game - Slavia Sofia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Slavia Sofia is 10% better for: goals scored per game.
1.05 goals / game - Arda · 1.15 goals / game - Slavia Sofia
Arda is 5% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.1 goals / game - Arda · 1.15 goals / game - Slavia Sofia
Arda scores in 50% of games (10 of 20 meczów), while Slavia Sofia keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 meczów).
Slavia Sofia scores in 75% of games (15 of 20 meczów), while Arda keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Arda
Over / Under - Slavia Sofia
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Arda - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Slavia Sofia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Arda
Slavia Sofia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Arda | Liga | Slavia Sofia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.15 | 2.40 | ▼ 2.30 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 48% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 46% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 33% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 69% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 55% | 70% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Arda's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Slavia Sofia. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Arda vs Slavia Sofia?
The First League match finished Arda 2:1 Slavia Sofia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Arda vs Slavia Sofia?
Arda score 1.05 goals per game on average and Slavia Sofia 1.15. The First League average is 2.40 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Arda's matches and 50% of Slavia Sofia's.
What form are Arda and Slavia Sofia in?
Over the last 5 games Arda have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Slavia Sofia 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arda vs Slavia Sofia?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.